URUGUAY PRIMERA DIVISIóN - APERTURA
--.--.---- --:--
Parque Artigas
Referee: J. Burgos
Juventud
Match Timeline
Wanderers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
39'
Pablo Lago
Juventud
43'
J. Alberti
Wanderers
🟨
44'
Nicolás Olivera
Wanderers
🟨
45+3'
Nahuel Furtado
Wanderers
🔄
46'
D. Morosini ↔ F. Barrandeguy
Juventud
🔄
46'
P. Lago ↔ R. Sanchez
Juventud
🟥
50'
Franco Risso
Juventud
🔄
55'
M. Izaguirre ↔ P. Pernicone
Juventud
🔄
55'
F. Perez ↔ E. Cecchini
Juventud
60'
P. Pernicone
Juventud
🔄
61'
J. Luna ↔ R. Roque
Wanderers
🔄
65'
R. Peralta ↔ R. Chagas
Juventud
🟨
68'
Renzo Rabino
Juventud
🔄
72'
F. Formiliano ↔ L. Zazpe
Wanderers
🔄
72'
J. Alberti ↔ A. Garcia
Wanderers
🔄
72'
L. N. Olivera Moreira ↔ J. Zeballos
Wanderers
🔄
72'
N. Furtado ↔ S. Guzman
Wanderers
🟨
74'
Darlin Mencía
Wanderers
🟨
74'
Santiago Guzman
Wanderers
🟨
90+9'
Santiago Benítez
Wanderers
90'
F. Mimbacas
Juventud

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 68.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
68.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Juventud Win 73.3%
Draw 0%
Wanderers Win 26.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Juventud1.25
Wanderers1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Juventud Juventud
WWDLW
21 GF / 28 GA
Wanderers Wanderers
WLDWL
14 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
1.08
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
12
BTTS Yes
7
10
Over 2.5
8
4.33
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Juventud Juventud 19 matches
Wanderers Wanderers 13 matches
Juventud Statistic Wanderers
4 Wins 5
5 Draws 2
10 Losses 6
21 Goals For 14
28 Goals Against 19
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 1.08
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46
12 BTTS Yes 7
12 Over 1.5 10
10 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 3
4.33 Shots On Goal 0
13.5 Total Shots 0
4.33 Corners 0
51% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Wanderers having the stronger overall control. Wanderers carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 11 with 17 points while Juventud sit 16 on 9, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Wanderers arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Wanderers.

Juventud Analysis

Juventud sit 16 with 9 points after 13 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 13:20 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on F. Mimbacas (6 goals), G. Gomez (2 goals), Ramiro Peralta (2 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Wanderers Analysis

With 17 points from 13 games and a place of 11, Wanderers still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 14:19 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on F. Labandeira (3 goals), J. Luna (3 goals), L. Cosentino (2 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Juventud won 8 times, Wanderers won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:24 from Juventud's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Juventud 4-3-3 / Wanderers -
H2H summary: Juventud wins 8, draws 1, Wanderers wins 6

Lineups

Juventud
Formation
Wanderers
S. Sosa
S. Sosa
D. Morosini
D. Morosini
F. Risso
F. Risso
E. Mas
E. Mas
R. Rabino
R. Rabino
F. Perez
F. Perez
M. Izaguirre
M. Izaguirre
R. Peralta
R. Peralta
P. Lago
P. Lago
F. Mimbacas
F. Mimbacas
A. Cruz
A. Cruz
A. Buffa
A. Buffa
S. Benitez
S. Benitez
F. Formiliano
F. Formiliano
L. N. Olivera Moreira
L. N. Olivera Moreira
N. Furtado
N. Furtado
J. Alberti
J. Alberti
J. Urretaviscaya
J. Urretaviscaya
N. Queiroz
N. Queiroz
D. J. Mencia Hernandez
D. J. Mencia Hernandez
J. Luna
J. Luna
F. Labandeira
F. Labandeira
Juventud 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
S. Sosa
G
5
D. Morosini
↓ 46'
D
28
F. Risso
🟥 50'
D
23
E. Mas
D
16
R. Rabino
🟨 68'
D
21
F. Perez
↓ 55'
M
8
M. Izaguirre
↓ 55'
M
37
R. Peralta
↓ 65'
M
11
P. Lago
↓ 46' 🟨 39'
M
80
F. Mimbacas
⚽ 90'
F
15
A. Cruz
M
Substitutes
12
N. Rossi
G
2
P. Pernicone
⚽ 60' ↑ 55'
D
24
F. Barrandeguy
↑ 46'
D
19
E. Cecchini
↑ 55'
M
22
R. Chagas
↑ 65'
M
30
G. Gomez
M
20
R. Sanchez
↑ 46'
F
26
G. Pereiro
F
27
J. Boselli
M
90
S. Guerrero
F
Wanderers 4-4-1 (estimated)
Starting XI
33
A. Buffa
G
21
S. Benitez
13
F. Formiliano
↓ 72'
D
23
L. N. Olivera Moreira
↓ 72' 🟨 44'
D
31
N. Furtado
↓ 72' 🟨 45+3'
D
16
J. Alberti
⚽ 43' ↓ 72'
M
80
J. Urretaviscaya
M
5
N. Queiroz
M
15
D. J. Mencia Hernandez
🟨 74'
D
11
J. Luna
↓ 61'
F
30
F. Labandeira
M
Substitutes
12
J. Rio
G
6
L. Zazpe
↑ 72'
D
7
R. Rivero
M
9
R. Roque
↑ 61'
F
14
M. Acosta
D
17
A. Garcia
↑ 72'
D
18
L. Baju
D
19
J. Zeballos
↑ 72'
F
20
S. Guzman
↑ 72' 🟨 74'
M
25
G. Freitas
M
Last matches: Juventud
05.07.26
Pri
Juventud
Danubio
1
1
D
06.06.26
Pri
Juventud
Club Nacional
1
2
L
31.05.26
Pri
Juventud
Wanderers
2
5
L
16.05.26
Pri
Juventud
Progreso
2
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
Juventud
Defensor Sporting
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pri
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
1
1
D
20.04.26
Pri
Juventud
Penarol
2
2
D
12.04.26
Pri
Juventud
Progreso
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Juventud
Racing Montevideo
1
2
L
30.03.26
Pri
Juventud
Boston River
1
2
L
25.03.26
Pri
Juventud
Cerro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Pri
Juventud
Albion FC
0
1
L
16.03.26
Pri
Juventud
Danubio
1
4
L
13.03.26
CON
Juventud
Independiente Medellin
1
2
L
08.03.26
Pri
Juventud
Club Nacional
3
1
W
06.03.26
CON
Juventud
Independiente Medellin
1
1
D
02.03.26
Pri
Juventud
Deportivo Maldonado
1
2
L
26.02.26
CON
Juventud
Club Guarani
2
1
W
22.02.26
Pri
Juventud
Central Espanol
0
1
L
19.02.26
CON
Juventud
Club Guarani
0
0
D
Last matches: Wanderers
05.06.26
Pri
Wanderers
Danubio
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
Wanderers
Juventud
5
2
W
24.05.26
Pri
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pri
Wanderers
Albion FC
0
0
D
08.05.26
Pri
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Wanderers
Penarol
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Wanderers
Progreso
1
2
L
12.04.26
Pri
Wanderers
Racing Montevideo
1
2
L
03.04.26
Pri
Wanderers
Boston River
1
4
L
28.03.26
Pri
Wanderers
Cerro
3
0
W
25.03.26
Pri
Wanderers
Albion FC
1
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Wanderers
Danubio
2
1
W
13.03.26
Pri
Wanderers
Club Nacional
0
2
L
06.03.26
Pri
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pri
Wanderers
Central Espanol
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
Wanderers
Atletico Torque
0
4
L
13.02.26
Pri
Wanderers
Cerro Largo
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pri
Wanderers
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
08.11.25
Pri
Wanderers
CA River Plate
0
4
L
31.10.25
Pri
Wanderers
Boston River
2
2
D
H2H: Juventud vs Wanderers
31.05.26
H2H
Juventud
Wanderers
2
5
L
02.05.26
H2H
Juventud
Wanderers
2
1
W
11.01.26
H2H
Juventud
Wanderers
3
0
W
22.08.25
H2H
Wanderers
Juventud
0
1
W
23.02.25
H2H
Juventud
Wanderers
1
0
W
25.10.19
H2H
Wanderers
Juventud
3
0
L
06.04.19
H2H
Juventud
Wanderers
4
1
W
03.12.17
H2H
Juventud
Wanderers
2
5
L
13.05.17
H2H
Wanderers
Juventud
1
2
W
08.10.16
H2H
Wanderers
Juventud
1
0
L
20.03.16
H2H
Juventud
Wanderers
3
3
D
20.09.15
H2H
Wanderers
Juventud
0
1
W
17.05.15
H2H
Juventud
Wanderers
1
0
W
08.11.14
H2H
Wanderers
Juventud
1
0
L
23.02.14
H2H
Juventud
Wanderers
2
3
L
Last matches: Juventud
31.05.26
Pri
Juventud
Wanderers
2
5
L
16.05.26
Pri
Juventud
Progreso
2
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pri
Juventud
Progreso
1
0
W
30.03.26
Pri
Juventud
Boston River
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pri
Juventud
Albion FC
0
1
L
08.03.26
Pri
Juventud
Club Nacional
3
1
W
06.03.26
CON
Juventud
Independiente Medellin
1
1
D
22.02.26
Pri
Juventud
Central Espanol
0
1
L
19.02.26
CON
Juventud
Club Guarani
0
0
D
08.02.26
Pri
Juventud
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
06.02.26
CON
Juventud
Universidad Catolica
0
1
L
09.11.25
Pri
Juventud
Progreso
1
1
D
25.10.25
Pri
Juventud
Plaza Colonia
0
2
L
12.10.25
Pri
Juventud
CA River Plate
1
2
L
28.09.25
Pri
Juventud
Club Nacional
0
0
D
14.09.25
Pri
Juventud
Atletico Torque
0
1
L
31.08.25
Pri
Juventud
Cerro
1
0
W
16.08.25
Pri
Juventud
Miramar
2
1
W
02.08.25
Pri
Juventud
Cerro Largo
0
2
L
H2H at home: Juventud
31.05.26
H2H
Juventud
Wanderers
2
5
L
02.05.26
H2H
Juventud
Wanderers
2
1
W
11.01.26
H2H
Juventud
Wanderers
3
0
W
23.02.25
H2H
Juventud
Wanderers
1
0
W
06.04.19
H2H
Juventud
Wanderers
4
1
W
03.12.17
H2H
Juventud
Wanderers
2
5
L
20.03.16
H2H
Juventud
Wanderers
3
3
D
17.05.15
H2H
Juventud
Wanderers
1
0
W
23.02.14
H2H
Juventud
Wanderers
2
3
L
Last matches: Wanderers
31.05.26
Pri
Wanderers
Juventud
5
2
W
17.05.26
Pri
Wanderers
Albion FC
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pri
Wanderers
Progreso
1
2
L
03.04.26
Pri
Wanderers
Boston River
1
4
L
25.03.26
Pri
Wanderers
Albion FC
1
2
L
13.03.26
Pri
Wanderers
Club Nacional
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Wanderers
Central Espanol
1
0
W
13.02.26
Pri
Wanderers
Cerro Largo
2
1
W
19.10.25
Pri
Wanderers
Penarol
0
3
L
12.10.25
Pri
Wanderers
Atletico Torque
2
2
D
06.10.25
Pri
Wanderers
Defensor Sporting
1
2
L
21.09.25
Pri
Wanderers
Progreso
0
2
L
14.09.25
Pri
Wanderers
Miramar
0
3
L
01.09.25
Pri
Wanderers
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
16.08.25
Pri
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
1
2
L
03.08.25
Pri
Wanderers
Racing Montevideo
0
1
L
H2H away: Wanderers
31.05.26
H2H
Juventud
Wanderers
2
5
W
02.05.26
H2H
Juventud
Wanderers
2
1
L
11.01.26
H2H
Juventud
Wanderers
3
0
L
23.02.25
H2H
Juventud
Wanderers
1
0
L
06.04.19
H2H
Juventud
Wanderers
4
1
L
03.12.17
H2H
Juventud
Wanderers
2
5
W
20.03.16
H2H
Juventud
Wanderers
3
3
D
17.05.15
H2H
Juventud
Wanderers
1
0
L
23.02.14
H2H
Juventud
Wanderers
2
3
W

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 12 3 4 35:20 15 39
W W D W W
2 19 10 7 2 25:15 10 37
D D D W L
3 19 11 3 5 28:18 10 36
W L W W W
4 19 9 5 5 29:20 9 32
W L L D W
5 19 10 1 8 31:26 5 31
W L W W W
6 19 9 4 6 27:25 2 31
D W L W W
7 19 8 5 6 29:24 5 29
L W W L W
8 19 7 5 7 22:24 -2 26
D W D D W
9 19 6 7 6 22:20 2 25
D W D L L
10 19 7 3 9 21:20 1 24
D W W L L
11 19 5 8 6 15:16 -1 23
D D L L L
12 19 6 3 10 19:26 -7 21
D L L W L
13 18 4 7 7 19:26 -7 19
D L L L L
14 18 5 3 10 22:29 -7 18
L L W W W
15 19 3 4 12 16:30 -14 13
L W L L L
16 19 3 4 12 10:31 -21 13
L L W L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)