27.09.2026 18:00
Parque Artigas

Juventud vs Cerro Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.4%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Juventud Win 41.9%
Draw 11.6%
Cerro Win 46.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Juventud1.33
Cerro1.01
Recent Form (Last 5)
Juventud Juventud
WWDLW
43 GF / 47 GA
Cerro Cerro
WLDWL
23 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
0.79
1.34
Average Goals Conceded
1.48
22
BTTS Yes
13
17
Over 2.5
12
4.33
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Juventud Juventud 35 matches
Cerro Cerro 29 matches
Juventud Statistic Cerro
11 Wins 9
10 Draws 5
14 Losses 15
43 Goals For 23
47 Goals Against 43
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 0.79
1.34 Avg Goals Conceded 1.48
22 BTTS Yes 13
24 Over 1.5 18
17 Over 2.5 12
9 Over 3.5 6
7 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 10
4.33 Shots On Goal 0
13.5 Total Shots 0
4.33 Corners 0
51% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Cerro. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Juventud Analysis

Juventud are currently 9 in the standings with 35 points from 29 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 8 draws, and 12 losses, while the 35:39 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cerro Analysis

From their first 29 matches, Cerro have collected 32 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. Their overall return of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 15 losses with goals at 23:43 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.4%)
Predicted formations: Juventud 4-3-3 / Cerro 4-3-3

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 17 5 6 46:23 23 55
W W W L D
2 28 16 5 7 51:32 19 53
W W W W W
3 29 14 11 4 35:22 13 53
D W L W D
4 29 15 7 7 44:27 17 52
W L W L D
5 29 14 4 11 43:38 5 46
W D D W W
6 29 12 8 9 36:35 1 44
D D L W L
7 29 11 10 8 37:27 10 43
D L W D W
8 29 10 8 11 31:37 -6 38
L D D L L
9 29 9 8 12 35:39 -4 35
W D D W W
10 29 9 7 13 37:38 -1 34
L L L L L
11 29 8 9 12 28:32 -4 33
L D L D D
12 29 7 11 11 25:33 -8 32
L W D L D
13
Cerro Away
29 9 5 15 23:43 -20 32
L W W D L
14 29 8 6 15 28:40 -12 30
L L L D W
15 29 4 14 11 24:38 -14 26
D D L L D
16 29 7 4 18 23:42 -19 25
W L W W L
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