URUGUAY PRIMERA DIVISIóN
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Parque Artigas

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59.9%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Juventud Win 32.4%
Draw 7.7%
Atletico Torque Win 59.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Juventud1.24
Atletico Torque1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
Juventud Juventud
WWDLW
34 GF / 42 GA
Atletico Torque Atletico Torque
WLDWL
34 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
19
BTTS Yes
15
15
Over 2.5
13
3.25
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Juventud Juventud 29 matches
Atletico Torque Atletico Torque 23 matches
Juventud Statistic Atletico Torque
8 Wins 10
8 Draws 5
13 Losses 8
34 Goals For 34
42 Goals Against 31
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
19 BTTS Yes 15
20 Over 1.5 17
15 Over 2.5 13
7 Over 3.5 8
5 Clean Sheets 5
7 Failed To Score 4
3.25 Shots On Goal 0
10.13 Total Shots 0
3.25 Corners 0
38.3% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Atletico Torque's more proactive style and Juventud's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Atletico Torque. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Juventud expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Atletico Torque in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atletico Torque having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Juventud Analysis

So far, Juventud have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 24 points from 23 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses, while the 26:34 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Atletico Torque Analysis

Atletico Torque come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 35 points after 22 matches. With 10 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 33:27, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, which underlines an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Juventud won 2 times, Atletico Torque won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:18 from Juventud's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.63 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.3%)
Predicted formations: Juventud 4-3-3 / Atletico Torque 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Juventud wins 2, draws 1, Atletico Torque wins 5
Last matches: Juventud
07.08.26
Pri
Juventud
Cerro Largo
1
1
D
01.08.26
Pri
Juventud
Deportivo Maldonado
0
0
D
17.07.26
Pri
Juventud
Albion FC
1
0
W
11.07.26
Pri
Juventud
Atletico Torque
1
3
L
05.07.26
Pri
Juventud
Danubio
1
1
D
06.06.26
Pri
Juventud
Club Nacional
1
2
L
31.05.26
Pri
Juventud
Wanderers
2
5
L
16.05.26
Pri
Juventud
Progreso
2
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
Juventud
Defensor Sporting
2
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Juventud
Wanderers
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pri
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
1
1
D
20.04.26
Pri
Juventud
Penarol
2
2
D
12.04.26
Pri
Juventud
Progreso
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Juventud
Racing Montevideo
1
2
L
30.03.26
Pri
Juventud
Boston River
1
2
L
25.03.26
Pri
Juventud
Cerro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Pri
Juventud
Albion FC
0
1
L
16.03.26
Pri
Juventud
Danubio
1
4
L
13.03.26
CON
Juventud
Independiente Medellin
1
2
L
08.03.26
Pri
Juventud
Club Nacional
3
1
W
Last matches: Atletico Torque
31.07.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
0
2
L
24.07.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Danubio
1
0
W
11.07.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Juventud
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Atletico Torque
Bahia
1
4
L
06.06.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Deportivo Maldonado
2
4
L
31.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Albion FC
2
1
W
23.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Progreso
2
1
W
15.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
1
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Progreso
2
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Boston River
4
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Cerro
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Albion FC
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Danubio
1
1
D
28.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
2
3
L
24.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Central Espanol
2
1
W
16.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Liverpool Montevideo
0
0
D
09.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
26.02.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
H2H: Juventud vs Atletico Torque
11.07.26
H2H
Juventud
Atletico Torque
1
3
L
17.02.26
H2H
Atletico Torque
Juventud
2
2
D
14.09.25
H2H
Juventud
Atletico Torque
0
1
L
24.05.25
H2H
Juventud
Atletico Torque
3
2
W
20.03.25
H2H
Atletico Torque
Juventud
2
4
W
30.09.24
H2H
Atletico Torque
Juventud
3
0
L
16.06.24
H2H
Juventud
Atletico Torque
1
3
L
04.05.24
H2H
Atletico Torque
Juventud
2
0
L
Last matches: Juventud
11.07.26
Pri
Juventud
Atletico Torque
1
3
L
31.05.26
Pri
Juventud
Wanderers
2
5
L
16.05.26
Pri
Juventud
Progreso
2
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Juventud
Wanderers
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pri
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pri
Juventud
Progreso
1
0
W
30.03.26
Pri
Juventud
Boston River
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pri
Juventud
Albion FC
0
1
L
08.03.26
Pri
Juventud
Club Nacional
3
1
W
06.03.26
CON
Juventud
Independiente Medellin
1
1
D
22.02.26
Pri
Juventud
Central Espanol
0
1
L
19.02.26
CON
Juventud
Club Guarani
0
0
D
08.02.26
Pri
Juventud
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
06.02.26
CON
Juventud
Universidad Catolica
0
1
L
09.11.25
Pri
Juventud
Progreso
1
1
D
25.10.25
Pri
Juventud
Plaza Colonia
0
2
L
12.10.25
Pri
Juventud
CA River Plate
1
2
L
28.09.25
Pri
Juventud
Club Nacional
0
0
D
14.09.25
Pri
Juventud
Atletico Torque
0
1
L
31.08.25
Pri
Juventud
Cerro
1
0
W
H2H at home: Juventud
11.07.26
H2H
Juventud
Atletico Torque
1
3
L
14.09.25
H2H
Juventud
Atletico Torque
0
1
L
24.05.25
H2H
Juventud
Atletico Torque
3
2
W
16.06.24
H2H
Juventud
Atletico Torque
1
3
L
Last matches: Atletico Torque
11.07.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Juventud
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Atletico Torque
Bahia
1
4
L
31.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Albion FC
2
1
W
23.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Progreso
2
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Cerro
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Danubio
1
1
D
24.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
16.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Liverpool Montevideo
0
0
D
09.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
4
0
W
07.02.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Penarol
1
3
L
01.11.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Progreso
5
0
W
24.10.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
28.09.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Danubio
0
2
L
14.09.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Juventud
1
0
W
31.08.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Plaza Colonia
4
2
W
17.08.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
CA River Plate
2
0
W
02.08.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
2
5
L
26.11.24
Seg
Atletico Torque
Uruguay Montevideo
3
1
W
H2H away: Atletico Torque
11.07.26
H2H
Juventud
Atletico Torque
1
3
W
14.09.25
H2H
Juventud
Atletico Torque
0
1
W
24.05.25
H2H
Juventud
Atletico Torque
3
2
L
16.06.24
H2H
Juventud
Atletico Torque
1
3
W

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 13 4 5 35:19 16 43
W W D W L
2 22 12 5 5 36:22 14 41
D L D W W
3 22 11 8 3 27:17 10 41
W L D D D
4 23 11 5 7 29:25 4 38
W W W W D
5 23 10 6 7 28:26 2 36
W D L D D
6 22 10 5 7 33:27 6 35
L W W L W
7 22 11 2 9 34:29 5 35
W L D W L
8 23 9 7 7 32:25 7 34
L D L D W
9 23 8 8 7 26:23 3 32
W D W L D
10 23 8 5 10 24:25 -1 29
D L W D D
11 23 6 9 8 19:21 -2 27
L W L D D
12 23 6 6 11 26:34 -8 24
D D W L D
13 23 4 10 9 22:31 -9 22
L D L D D
14 22 6 4 12 19:30 -11 22
L L D D L
15 23 6 4 13 15:34 -19 22
W L W W L
16 23 4 4 15 18:35 -17 16
L L W L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)