ITALY SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Stadio Romeo Menti
Referee: G. Ayroldi
Juve Stabia
Match Timeline
Monza
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
28'
Lorenzo Lucchesi
Monza
🟨
45+1'
Nicola Mosti
Juve Stabia
57'
N. Mosti · Assist: A. Cacciamani
Juve Stabia
🔄
62'
P. Cutrone ↔ A. Petagna
Monza
🔄
62'
P. Azzi ↔ A. Bakoune
Monza
🔄
67'
A. Gabrielloni ↔ K. Zeroli
Juve Stabia
🔄
67'
N. Mosti ↔ C. Pierobon
Juve Stabia
68'
A. Okoro · Assist: A. Cacciamani
Juve Stabia
🔄
74'
A. Okoro ↔ L. Candellone
Juve Stabia
🔄
74'
D. Mota ↔ G. Caso
Monza
🔄
74'
L. Ravanelli ↔ F. Delli Carri
Monza
77'
A. Carboni · Assist: A. Petagna
Monza
🔄
82'
M. Ricciardi ↔ L. Carissoni
Juve Stabia
🟨
84'
Christian Pierobon
Juve Stabia
89'
F. Delli Carri · Assist: Hernani
Monza
🟨
90+5'
Salim Diakité
Juve Stabia
🟨
90+4'
Adam Bakoune
Monza

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 47.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
47.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Juve Stabia Win 43.5%
Draw 4.4%
Monza Win 52.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Juve Stabia1.02
Monza1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Juve Stabia Juve Stabia
WWDLW
45 GF / 47 GA
Monza Monza
WLDWL
61 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.56
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
21
BTTS Yes
19
16
Over 2.5
18
3.88
Shots on Goal
4.79

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 40 matches
Monza Monza 39 matches
Juve Stabia Statistic Monza
12 Wins 22
18 Draws 10
10 Losses 7
45 Goals For 61
47 Goals Against 33
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
21 BTTS Yes 19
29 Over 1.5 27
16 Over 2.5 18
9 Over 3.5 8
12 Clean Sheets 16
11 Failed To Score 6
3.88 Shots On Goal 4.79
11.93 Total Shots 14.41
4.85 Corners 5.59
53.2% Ball Possession 53.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

In knockout conditions, this fixture pairs Monza's more proactive style and Juve Stabia's more cautious structure, which should make the margins especially important. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Monza have the edge after taking the first leg 2-1, leaving Juve Stabia needing to respond to a 1-goal deficit. In the previous meeting, possession was evenly shared in the first leg. Monza carried the greater threat on target, finishing with 7 shots on goal compared to 5. Juve Stabia also attempted more passes (484 to 480) and completed 395. Monza carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 76 points while Juve Stabia sit 7 on 51, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Juve Stabia expected to line up in 3-5-1-1 and Monza in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Monza having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Monza. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Juve Stabia Analysis

Juve Stabia enter this tie with a season profile built on 51 points from 38 matches, placing them 7 in their league. The return of 11 wins, 18 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 44:45 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by L. Candellone (7 goals), N. Mosti (7 goals), L. Carissoni (6 goals), with creative support from F. Maistro (7 assists), A. Gabrielloni (3 assists), N. Mosti (2 assists), and at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the return of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 2 losses suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.

Monza Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Monza arrive from a league campaign that has them 3 with 76 points after 38 matches. Their record of 22 wins, 10 draws, and 6 defeats with goals at 61:32 reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on A. Petagna (9 goals), D. Mota (5 goals), Hernani (5 goals), with creative support from P. Azzi (6 assists), A. Izzo (4 assists), P. Cutrone (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Juve Stabia won 0 times, Monza won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:8 from Juve Stabia's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
Predicted formations: Juve Stabia 3-5-1-1 / Monza 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Juve Stabia wins 0, draws 2, Monza wins 2
Stats
Juve Stabia Juve Stabia
Monza Monza
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
2
1 Corner Kicks 3
15 Fouls 17
0 Offsides 4
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Goal 3
6 Shots off Goal 4
3 Blocked Shots 2
7 Shots insidebox 6
6 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
536 Total passes 277
427 Passes accurate 179
2.20 expected_goals 0.72
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Juve Stabia
Formation
Monza
A. Confente
A. Confente
S. Diakite
S. Diakite
A. Giorgini
A. Giorgini
M. Bellich
M. Bellich
M. Ricciardi
M. Ricciardi
N. Mosti
N. Mosti
G. Leone
G. Leone
O. Correia
O. Correia
A. Cacciamani
🎯
A. Cacciamani
A. Gabrielloni
A. Gabrielloni
A. Okoro
A. Okoro
D. Thiam
D. Thiam
A. Carboni
A. Carboni
L. Ravanelli
L. Ravanelli
L. Lucchesi
L. Lucchesi
S. Birindelli
S. Birindelli
P. Obiang
P. Obiang
M. Pessina
M. Pessina
P. Azzi
P. Azzi
Hernani
🎯
Hernani
D. Mota
D. Mota
P. Cutrone
P. Cutrone
Juve Stabia 3-5-2
Starting XI
1
A. Confente
G
46
S. Diakite
🟨 90+5'
D
33
A. Giorgini
D
6
M. Bellich
D
2
M. Ricciardi
↓ 82'
M
98
N. Mosti
⚽ 57' ↓ 67' 🟨 45+1'
M
55
G. Leone
M
29
O. Correia
M
77
A. Cacciamani
🎯 57' 🎯 68'
M
9
A. Gabrielloni
↓ 67'
F
90
A. Okoro
⚽ 68' ↓ 74'
F
Substitutes
23
P. Boer
G
27
L. Candellone
↑ 74'
F
13
M. Varnier
D
37
F. Maistro
M
28
E. Torrasi
14
C. Dalle Mura
D
17
A. Ciammaglichella
M
8
K. Zeroli
↑ 67'
M
24
L. Carissoni
↑ 82'
D
10
C. Pierobon
↑ 67' 🟨 84'
M
7
R. Burnete
F
76
M. Mannini
D
Monza 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
20
D. Thiam
G
44
A. Carboni
⚽ 77'
D
13
L. Ravanelli
↓ 74'
D
3
L. Lucchesi
🟨 28'
D
19
S. Birindelli
M
14
P. Obiang
M
32
M. Pessina
M
7
P. Azzi
↓ 62'
M
8
Hernani
🎯 89'
F
47
D. Mota
↓ 74'
F
10
P. Cutrone
↓ 62'
F
Substitutes
1
S. Pizzignacco
G
37
A. Petagna
🎯 77' ↑ 62'
F
26
P. Ciurria
F
30
G. Caso
↑ 74'
M
25
A. Alvarez
F
21
L. Colombo
M
6
V. Antov
D
2
A. Brorsson
D
15
F. Delli Carri
⚽ 89' ↑ 74'
D
28
A. Colpani
M
24
A. Bakoune
↑ 62' 🟨 90+4'
D
27
S. Capolupo
Last matches: Juve Stabia
19.05.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Monza
1
2
L
12.05.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Modena
1
0
W
08.05.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Sudtirol
1
1
D
01.05.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Frosinone
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Pescara
1
1
D
18.04.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Catanzaro
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Cesena
2
0
W
06.04.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Venezia
1
3
L
21.03.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Spezia
3
1
W
17.03.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Palermo
2
2
D
14.03.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Carrarese
1
1
D
08.03.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Mantova
0
2
L
04.03.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Sampdoria
1
1
D
28.02.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Avellino
0
0
D
22.02.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Modena
1
2
L
15.02.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Monza
1
2
L
11.02.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Empoli
2
1
W
07.02.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Padova
3
3
D
01.02.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Reggiana
1
1
D
24.01.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Virtus Entella
1
0
W
Last matches: Monza
29.05.26
Ser
Monza
Catanzaro
0
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Monza
Catanzaro
2
0
W
19.05.26
Ser
Monza
Juve Stabia
2
1
W
08.05.26
Ser
Monza
Empoli
2
2
D
01.05.26
Ser
Monza
Mantova
2
3
L
24.04.26
Ser
Monza
Modena
1
0
W
17.04.26
Ser
Monza
Sampdoria
3
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Monza
Bari
2
0
W
06.04.26
Ser
Monza
Catanzaro
1
1
D
21.03.26
Ser
Monza
Venezia
1
1
D
17.03.26
Ser
Monza
Reggiana
0
0
D
14.03.26
Ser
Monza
Palermo
3
0
W
07.03.26
Ser
Monza
Spezia
2
4
L
03.03.26
Ser
Monza
Cesena
3
1
W
27.02.26
Ser
Monza
Virtus Entella
2
0
W
21.02.26
Ser
Monza
Carrarese
1
0
W
15.02.26
Ser
Monza
Juve Stabia
2
1
W
11.02.26
Ser
Monza
Sudtirol
0
0
D
08.02.26
Ser
Monza
Avellino
2
1
W
01.02.26
Ser
Monza
Padova
2
1
W
H2H: Juve Stabia vs Monza
19.05.26
H2H
Monza
Juve Stabia
2
1
L
16.05.26
H2H
Juve Stabia
Monza
2
2
D
15.02.26
H2H
Monza
Juve Stabia
2
1
L
30.11.25
H2H
Juve Stabia
Monza
2
2
D
Last matches: Juve Stabia
01.05.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Frosinone
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Catanzaro
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Cesena
2
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Spezia
3
1
W
14.03.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Carrarese
1
1
D
04.03.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Sampdoria
1
1
D
22.02.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Modena
1
2
L
07.02.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Padova
3
3
D
24.01.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Virtus Entella
1
0
W
10.01.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Pescara
2
2
D
27.12.25
Ser
Juve Stabia
Sudtirol
1
0
W
13.12.25
Ser
Juve Stabia
Empoli
2
0
W
04.12.25
Ser
Juve Stabia
Bari
0
0
D
30.11.25
Ser
Juve Stabia
Monza
2
2
D
08.11.25
Ser
Juve Stabia
Palermo
1
0
W
18.10.25
Ser
Juve Stabia
Avellino
2
0
W
30.09.25
Ser
Juve Stabia
Mantova
2
1
W
13.09.25
Ser
Juve Stabia
Reggiana
0
0
D
30.08.25
Ser
Juve Stabia
Venezia
0
0
D
H2H at home: Juve Stabia
16.05.26
H2H
Juve Stabia
Monza
2
2
D
30.11.25
H2H
Juve Stabia
Monza
2
2
D
Last matches: Monza
24.05.26
Ser
Monza
Catanzaro
2
0
W
01.05.26
Ser
Monza
Mantova
2
3
L
17.04.26
Ser
Monza
Sampdoria
3
0
W
06.04.26
Ser
Monza
Catanzaro
1
1
D
17.03.26
Ser
Monza
Reggiana
0
0
D
07.03.26
Ser
Monza
Spezia
2
4
L
03.03.26
Ser
Monza
Cesena
3
1
W
21.02.26
Ser
Monza
Carrarese
1
0
W
11.02.26
Ser
Monza
Sudtirol
0
0
D
01.02.26
Ser
Monza
Padova
2
1
W
10.01.26
Ser
Monza
Virtus Entella
0
1
L
26.12.25
Ser
Monza
Modena
2
1
W
13.12.25
Ser
Monza
Venezia
0
2
L
30.11.25
Ser
Monza
Juve Stabia
2
2
D
09.11.25
Ser
Monza
Pescara
2
0
W
28.10.25
Ser
Monza
Palermo
3
0
W
18.10.25
Ser
Monza
Frosinone
1
0
W
01.10.25
Ser
Monza
Empoli
1
1
D
12.09.25
Ser
Monza
Avellino
1
2
L
31.08.25
Ser
Monza
Bari
1
1
D
H2H away: Monza
16.05.26
H2H
Juve Stabia
Monza
2
2
D
30.11.25
H2H
Juve Stabia
Monza
2
2
D

Standings

Serie B: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 24 10 4 77:31 46 82
W D W W D
2 38 23 12 3 76:34 42 81
W W W W D
3
Monza Away
38 22 10 6 61:32 29 76
D L W W W
4 38 20 12 6 61:33 28 72
L W D W D
5 38 15 14 9 62:51 11 59
L L W D D
6 38 15 10 13 49:36 13 55
L W L L D
7 38 11 18 9 44:45 -1 51
D L D D W
8 38 13 10 15 43:55 -12 49
W L W W D
9 38 13 7 18 45:57 -12 46
L W W L W
10 38 12 10 16 39:49 -10 46
W W L W W
11 38 12 10 16 45:56 -11 46
L D D L L
12 38 10 14 14 47:52 -5 44
L D L D L
13 38 11 11 16 35:48 -13 44
L W D L W
14 38 10 12 16 36:51 -15 42
W L W D D
15 38 9 14 15 47:54 -7 41
D W L D L
16 38 8 17 13 38:48 -10 41
D L L L D
17 38 10 10 18 38:60 -22 40
W W L L L
18 38 9 10 19 36:56 -20 37
W L D L W
19 38 8 11 19 43:59 -16 35
D D L W L
20 38 7 14 17 51:66 -15 35
D L D D L
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation