03.05.2026 18:15
Estadio Municipal de la Juventud
Referee: Jordi Espinoza, Peru
Juan Pablo II College
Match Timeline
Universitario
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
3'
Christian Cueva
Juan Pablo II College
🟨
3'
Christian Cueva
Juan Pablo II College
🟥
3'
Christian Cueva
Juan Pablo II College
🟨
22'
Héctor Fértoli
Universitario
23'
E. Flores · Assist: A. Polo
Universitario
24'
E. Flores · Assist: A. Polo
Universitario
30'
Miguel Silveira · Assist: A. Santamaria
Universitario
🔄
46'
M. Juambeltz ↔ C. Garcia
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
46'
E. Flores ↔ L. Alzugaray
Universitario
🔄
65'
Miguel Silveira ↔ M. Perez Guedes
Universitario
🔄
65'
H. Fertoli ↔ J. Concha
Universitario
🟨
70'
Matías Di Benedetto
Universitario
🔄
74'
J. Murrugarra ↔ J. Castillo
Universitario
🔄
75'
F. Agurto ↔ M. Peralta
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
75'
J. Toledo ↔ J. Canova
Juan Pablo II College
🟨
79'
Anderson Santamaría
Universitario
🔄
79'
A. Valera ↔ B. Reyna
Universitario
🟨
81'
Martín Pérez Guedes
Universitario
82'
M. Alaniz
Juan Pablo II College
🟨
83'
Paolo Fuentes
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
88'
C. Tizon ↔ N. Ramirez
Juan Pablo II College
90'
C. Fara · Assist: J. Concha
Universitario

Juan Pablo II College vs Universitario Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 13.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
13.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Juan Pablo II College Win 55.8%
Draw 0%
Universitario Win 44.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Juan Pablo II College1.4
Universitario1.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College
WWDLW
21 GF / 27 GA
Universitario Universitario
WLDWL
28 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.62
Average Goals Scored
1.56
2.08
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
9
BTTS Yes
9
10
Over 2.5
9
3.25
Shots on Goal
4.47

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 13 matches
Universitario Universitario 18 matches
Juan Pablo II College Statistic Universitario
5 Wins 9
3 Draws 4
5 Losses 5
21 Goals For 28
27 Goals Against 19
1.62 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
2.08 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
9 BTTS Yes 9
13 Over 1.5 13
10 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 5
1 Clean Sheets 7
3 Failed To Score 4
3.25 Shots On Goal 4.47
8.83 Total Shots 14.2
3.33 Corners 6.27
40.4% Ball Possession 53.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Universitario's more proactive style and Juan Pablo II College's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Universitario. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Juan Pablo II College expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Universitario in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Universitario having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Juan Pablo II College Analysis

Juan Pablo II College are currently 10 in the standings with 15 points from 12 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 18:27 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Juambeltz (3 goals), P. Fuentes (3 goals), C. Cueva (2 goals), with creative support from M. Alaniz (6 assists), C. Cueva (3 assists), M. Juambeltz (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Universitario Analysis

Placed 4 with 21 points from 12 outings, Universitario continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 18:12 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Valera (7 goals), J. Concha (2 goals), L. Alzugaray (2 goals), with creative support from J. Concha (4 assists), J. Carabali (3 assists), A. Valera (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Juan Pablo II College won 1 times, Universitario won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:7 from Juan Pablo II College's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Juan Pablo II College 4-4-2 / Universitario 3-5-2
H2H summary: Juan Pablo II College wins 1, draws 0, Universitario wins 2

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 8 3 42:18 24 53
L D L D W
2 26 14 7 5 43:27 16 49
W D W W W
3 26 13 6 7 44:28 16 45
W W L D W
4 26 13 6 7 35:24 11 45
L W W W D
5 26 13 3 10 38:37 1 42
L W W L W
6 26 12 5 9 35:44 -9 41
L L L L L
7 25 12 4 9 44:37 7 40
W L L D L
8 26 10 7 9 38:34 4 37
L W W W D
9 26 10 7 9 28:25 3 37
W L W W D
10 26 10 5 11 45:39 6 35
W W L L W
11 26 9 5 12 25:28 -3 32
W L W W W
12 26 9 5 12 34:42 -8 32
W W W L L
13 26 8 7 11 38:52 -14 31
W D W W L
14 26 7 9 10 34:36 -2 30
L D L W L
15 26 7 6 13 40:50 -10 27
W L W L L
16 26 6 7 13 24:37 -13 25
L L L W D
17 25 5 7 13 27:39 -12 22
L L L D D
18 26 4 8 14 30:47 -17 15
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2