PERU PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Complejo Deportivo Juan Pablo II
Referee: Micke Palomino, Peru
Juan Pablo II College
Match Timeline
FBC Melgar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
B. Cuesta · Assist: J. Caceres
FBC Melgar
🟨
45+2'
Juan Escobar
FBC Melgar
56'
M. Peralta
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
59'
A. Espinoza ↔ F. Agurto
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
63'
J. Caceres ↔ L. Guzman
FBC Melgar
🔄
71'
E. Ramirez ↔ M. Juambeltz
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
71'
C. Cueva ↔ C. Flores
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
77'
B. Cuesta ↔ P. Erustes
FBC Melgar
🔄
84'
J. Duran ↔ N. Ramirez
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
86'
N. Quagliata ↔ C. Bordacahar
FBC Melgar
🟥
90+2'
Martin Peralta
Juan Pablo II College

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
58.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79.4%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Juan Pablo II College Win 21.6%
Draw 19.6%
FBC Melgar Win 58.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Juan Pablo II College1.35
FBC Melgar1.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College
WWDLW
23 GF / 35 GA
FBC Melgar FBC Melgar
WLDWL
31 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1.72
2.19
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
11
BTTS Yes
12
12
Over 2.5
11
2.8
Shots on Goal
4.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 16 matches
FBC Melgar FBC Melgar 18 matches
Juan Pablo II College Statistic FBC Melgar
5 Wins 9
3 Draws 3
8 Losses 6
23 Goals For 31
35 Goals Against 22
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.72
2.19 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
11 BTTS Yes 12
16 Over 1.5 16
12 Over 2.5 11
6 Over 3.5 7
1 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 2
2.8 Shots On Goal 4.13
8.13 Total Shots 13
3.33 Corners 4.93
41.3% Ball Possession 52.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by FBC Melgar's more proactive style and Juan Pablo II College's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. FBC Melgar carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 24 points while Juan Pablo II College sit 17 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Juan Pablo II College have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Juan Pablo II College expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and FBC Melgar in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FBC Melgar having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward FBC Melgar. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Juan Pablo II College Analysis

Juan Pablo II College sit 17 with 15 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats with a 20:35 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Alaniz (4 goals), M. Juambeltz (3 goals), P. Fuentes (3 goals), with creative support from M. Alaniz (6 assists), C. Cueva (3 assists), M. Juambeltz (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

FBC Melgar Analysis

FBC Melgar come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 24 points after 15 matches. With 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 25:18, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by B. Cuesta (6 goals), J. Vidales (5 goals), M. Zegarra (3 goals), with creative support from N. Quagliata (7 assists), M. Zegarra (4 assists), B. Cuesta (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Juan Pablo II College won 0 times, FBC Melgar won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:3 from Juan Pablo II College's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.4%)
Predicted formations: Juan Pablo II College 4-1-4-1 / FBC Melgar 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Juan Pablo II College wins 0, draws 3, FBC Melgar wins 0
Stats
Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College
FBC Melgar FBC Melgar
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
8
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
5
6 Corner Kicks 4
12 Fouls 9
0 Offsides 3
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Goal 8
5 Shots off Goal 6
4 Blocked Shots 5
6 Shots insidebox 14
8 Shots outsidebox 5
7 Goalkeeper Saves 4
339 Total passes 441
278 Passes accurate 374
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Juan Pablo II College
Formation
FBC Melgar
M. Vega
M. Vega
J. Toledo
J. Toledo
P. Fuentes
P. Fuentes
M. Peralta
M. Peralta
A. Espinoza
A. Espinoza
E. Ramirez
E. Ramirez
M. Alaniz
M. Alaniz
J. Duran
J. Duran
C. Tizon
C. Tizon
C. Cueva
C. Cueva
A. Henricks
A. Henricks
J. Cabezudo
J. Cabezudo
M. Lazo
M. Lazo
J. Escobar
J. Escobar
Jesus Alcantar
Jesus Alcantar
M. Zegarra
M. Zegarra
J. Caceres
🎯
J. Caceres
J. Salas
J. Salas
W. Tandazo
W. Tandazo
N. Quagliata
N. Quagliata
J. Vidales
J. Vidales
B. Cuesta
B. Cuesta
Juan Pablo II College 4-4-2
Starting XI
23
M. Vega
G
31
J. Toledo
D
6
P. Fuentes
D
22
M. Peralta
⚽ 56' 🟥 90+2'
D
17
A. Espinoza
↓ 59'
18
E. Ramirez
↓ 71'
M
50
M. Alaniz
M
28
J. Duran
↓ 84'
M
29
C. Tizon
M
10
C. Cueva
↓ 71'
F
7
A. Henricks
F
Substitutes
12
I. Quispe
G
20
H. Bazan
39
M. Juambeltz
↑ 71'
F
15
N. Ramirez
↑ 84'
M
11
R. Aliaga
M
5
C. Garcia
M
8
C. Flores
↑ 71'
M
26
F. Agurto
↑ 59'
D
80
J. Barreto
M
FBC Melgar 4-4-2
Starting XI
21
J. Cabezudo
G
33
M. Lazo
D
23
J. Escobar
🟨 45+2'
D
90
Jesus Alcantar
D
45
M. Zegarra
D
16
J. Caceres
🎯 6' ↓ 63'
M
6
J. Salas
M
24
W. Tandazo
M
10
N. Quagliata
↓ 86'
M
11
J. Vidales
F
9
B. Cuesta
⚽ 6' ↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
12
C. Caceda
G
4
A. Ramos
D
80
J. D'Arrigo
M
77
F. Zanelatto
F
22
P. Erustes
↑ 77'
F
7
C. Bordacahar
↑ 86'
F
8
L. Guzman
↑ 63'
F
14
Y. Gamero
M
20
G. Bernaola
Last matches: Juan Pablo II College
30.05.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Deportivo Garcilaso
1
4
L
16.05.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Alianza Atletico
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Sport Huancayo
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Universitario
1
4
L
26.04.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Sport Boys
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Comerciantes Unidos
2
2
D
14.04.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
UCV Moquegua
0
3
L
05.04.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
UTC Cajamarca
2
1
W
21.03.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Alianza Lima
0
2
L
14.03.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
2
3
L
08.03.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
ADT
3
2
W
01.03.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Cusco
2
1
W
22.02.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Atletico Grau
2
1
W
14.02.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Sporting Cristal
0
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Cienciano
1
6
L
31.01.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
FC Cajamarca
3
3
D
24.01.26
Fri
Juan Pablo II College
Alianza Atletico
3
0
W
Last matches: FBC Melgar
31.05.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Alianza Atletico
3
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Sport Huancayo
4
1
W
10.05.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Comerciantes Unidos
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
UTC Cajamarca
2
0
W
28.04.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Universitario
2
1
W
15.04.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Sport Boys
3
1
W
04.04.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Cusco
1
3
L
20.03.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
ADT
1
1
D
15.03.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Atletico Grau
0
0
D
10.03.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Alianza Lima
1
3
L
27.02.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
FC Cajamarca
1
3
L
15.02.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
UCV Moquegua
4
0
W
08.02.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Sporting Cristal
2
1
W
31.01.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Cienciano
2
0
W
25.01.26
Fri
FBC Melgar
Macara
2
1
W
20.01.26
Fri
FBC Melgar
Universitario
2
3
L
17.01.26
Fri
FBC Melgar
UCV Moquegua
2
0
W
H2H: Juan Pablo II College vs FBC Melgar
22.05.26
H2H
Juan Pablo II College
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
05.08.25
H2H
FBC Melgar
Juan Pablo II College
1
1
D
02.07.25
H2H
Juan Pablo II College
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
Last matches: Juan Pablo II College
16.05.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Alianza Atletico
0
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Universitario
1
4
L
18.04.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Comerciantes Unidos
2
2
D
05.04.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
UTC Cajamarca
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
2
3
L
01.03.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Cusco
2
1
W
14.02.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Sporting Cristal
0
2
L
31.01.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
FC Cajamarca
3
3
D
24.01.26
Fri
Juan Pablo II College
Alianza Atletico
3
0
W
H2H at home: Juan Pablo II College
22.05.26
H2H
Juan Pablo II College
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
02.07.25
H2H
Juan Pablo II College
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
Last matches: FBC Melgar
10.05.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Comerciantes Unidos
1
1
D
28.04.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
1
L
15.04.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Sport Boys
3
1
W
20.03.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
ADT
1
1
D
10.03.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Alianza Lima
1
3
L
21.02.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
FC Cajamarca
1
3
L
08.02.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Sporting Cristal
2
1
W
20.01.26
Fri
FBC Melgar
Universitario
2
3
L
H2H away: FBC Melgar
22.05.26
H2H
Juan Pablo II College
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
02.07.25
H2H
Juan Pablo II College
FBC Melgar
1
1
D

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 12 4 1 30:8 22 40
D W W D W
2 17 10 4 3 25:21 4 34
D L W D L
3 17 10 3 4 34:22 12 33
W D L W W
4 17 8 5 4 24:15 9 29
W D L D W
5 17 8 4 5 29:20 9 28
W D W D W
6 17 8 3 6 21:24 -3 27
W W L D D
7 17 7 5 5 21:18 3 26
W D W W W
8 17 5 6 6 20:18 2 21
L D W L W
9 17 5 6 6 18:20 -2 21
L D L D L
10 17 5 5 7 22:21 1 20
L L W D W
11 17 5 5 7 15:19 -4 20
W D W D L
12 17 5 4 8 28:30 -2 19
L W L D D
13 17 4 6 7 21:26 -5 18
D D L L L
14 17 5 3 9 17:24 -7 18
L D L D L
15 17 4 5 8 23:28 -5 17
D D W W W
16 17 4 4 9 12:18 -6 16
W L W L L
17 17 4 4 9 21:31 -10 16
L D L W L
18 17 4 4 9 22:40 -18 16
L D L L L