Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
43.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
74%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Jong AZ Win 40%
Draw 16.6%
MVV Win 43.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Jong AZ2.24
MVV1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Jong AZ
WWDLW
26 GF / 9 GA
MVV
WLDWL
17 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
2.89
Average Goals Scored
1.55
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
6
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
6
6.67
Shots on Goal
5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Jong AZ
9 matches
MVV
11 matches
| Jong AZ | Statistic | MVV |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 4 |
| 2 | Draws | 4 |
| 1 | Losses | 3 |
| 26 | Goals For | 17 |
| 9 | Goals Against | 14 |
| 2.89 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.55 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.27 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 6.67 | Shots On Goal | 5 |
| 13.67 | Total Shots | 13 |
| 3.67 | Corners | 3.33 |
| 50% | Ball Possession | 53% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Jong AZ won 6 times, MVV won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:28 from Jong AZ's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.4%)
Predicted formations: Jong AZ 4-3-3 / MVV 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Jong AZ wins 6, draws 2, MVV wins 6
Last matches: Jong AZ
21.08.26
Eer
Jong AZ
Emmen
0
0
D
17.08.26
Eer
Jong AZ
De Graafschap
5
2
W
10.08.26
Eer
Jong AZ
FC Eindhoven
0
1
L
01.08.26
Fri
Jong AZ
Ijsselmeervogels
7
1
W
28.07.26
Fri
Jong AZ
Quick Boys
4
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Jong AZ
Sparta Rotterdam II
3
2
W
17.07.26
Fri
Jong AZ
Jong Ajax
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Jong AZ
FC Volendam
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Jong AZ
Waalwijk
1
1
D
24.04.26
Eer
Jong AZ
Roda
2
0
W
17.04.26
Eer
Jong AZ
Willem II
0
3
L
13.04.26
Eer
Jong AZ
Jong PSV U21
0
2
L
06.04.26
Eer
Jong AZ
De Graafschap
0
5
L
03.04.26
Eer
Jong AZ
Helmond Sport
2
0
W
20.03.26
Eer
Jong AZ
Cambuur
4
3
W
16.03.26
Eer
Jong AZ
MVV
1
1
D
13.03.26
Eer
Jong AZ
Waalwijk
1
2
L
09.03.26
Eer
Jong AZ
Emmen
2
3
L
27.02.26
Eer
Jong AZ
Vitesse
0
2
L
23.02.26
Eer
Jong AZ
Den Bosch
2
2
D
Last matches: MVV
21.08.26
Eer
MVV
FC Volendam
1
0
W
14.08.26
Eer
MVV
FC Eindhoven
3
2
W
09.08.26
Eer
MVV
Jong Utrecht
2
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
MVV
Patro Eisden
1
1
D
28.07.26
Fri
MVV
KAA Gent II
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
MVV
SK Beveren
3
4
L
21.07.26
Fri
MVV
EVV
2
2
D
18.07.26
Fri
MVV
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
0
0
D
14.07.26
Fri
MVV
Seraing United
0
0
D
12.07.26
Fri
MVV
FC Viktoria Köln
4
1
W
07.07.26
Fri
MVV
Meerssen
1
2
L
24.04.26
Eer
MVV
FC OSS
0
2
L
17.04.26
Eer
MVV
Vitesse
0
0
D
10.04.26
Eer
MVV
Helmond Sport
0
0
D
06.04.26
Eer
MVV
Emmen
1
2
L
03.04.26
Eer
MVV
Waalwijk
1
3
L
22.03.26
Eer
MVV
Willem II
0
5
L
16.03.26
Eer
MVV
Jong AZ
1
1
D
13.03.26
Eer
MVV
VVV Venlo
2
1
W
06.03.26
Eer
MVV
Dordrecht
1
1
D
H2H: Jong AZ vs MVV
16.03.26
H2H
Jong AZ
MVV
1
1
D
21.11.25
H2H
MVV
Jong AZ
1
3
W
14.03.25
H2H
MVV
Jong AZ
0
1
W
02.12.24
H2H
Jong AZ
MVV
2
3
L
03.05.24
H2H
Jong AZ
MVV
2
3
L
01.12.23
H2H
MVV
Jong AZ
4
0
L
28.04.23
H2H
MVV
Jong AZ
1
3
W
08.08.22
H2H
Jong AZ
MVV
3
1
W
14.03.22
H2H
MVV
Jong AZ
2
3
W
05.11.21
H2H
Jong AZ
MVV
0
1
L
12.03.21
H2H
MVV
Jong AZ
3
2
L
02.10.20
H2H
Jong AZ
MVV
3
3
D
13.04.20
H2H
MVV
Jong AZ
0
0
D
08.11.19
H2H
Jong AZ
MVV
3
2
W
19.04.19
H2H
Jong AZ
MVV
2
3
L
Last matches: Jong AZ
10.08.26
Eer
Jong AZ
FC Eindhoven
0
1
L
17.07.26
Fri
Jong AZ
Jong Ajax
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Jong AZ
FC Volendam
3
1
W
24.04.26
Eer
Jong AZ
Roda
2
0
W
13.04.26
Eer
Jong AZ
Jong PSV U21
0
2
L
03.04.26
Eer
Jong AZ
Helmond Sport
2
0
W
16.03.26
Eer
Jong AZ
MVV
1
1
D
09.03.26
Eer
Jong AZ
Emmen
2
3
L
23.02.26
Eer
Jong AZ
Den Bosch
2
2
D
09.02.26
Eer
Jong AZ
Dordrecht
1
2
L
26.01.26
Eer
Jong AZ
Almere City FC
3
4
L
12.01.26
Eer
Jong AZ
Jong Ajax
1
2
L
12.12.25
Eer
Jong AZ
Jong Utrecht
1
4
L
24.11.25
Eer
Jong AZ
FC OSS
0
1
L
07.11.25
Eer
Jong AZ
VVV Venlo
0
2
L
03.11.25
Eer
Jong AZ
FC Eindhoven
0
2
L
20.10.25
Eer
Jong AZ
Willem II
4
0
W
03.10.25
Eer
Jong AZ
ADO Den Haag
0
4
L
22.09.25
Eer
Jong AZ
De Graafschap
1
3
L
12.09.25
Eer
Jong AZ
Vitesse
4
0
W
H2H at home: Jong AZ
16.03.26
H2H
Jong AZ
MVV
1
1
D
02.12.24
H2H
Jong AZ
MVV
2
3
L
03.05.24
H2H
Jong AZ
MVV
2
3
L
08.08.22
H2H
Jong AZ
MVV
3
1
W
05.11.21
H2H
Jong AZ
MVV
0
1
L
02.10.20
H2H
Jong AZ
MVV
3
3
D
08.11.19
H2H
Jong AZ
MVV
3
2
W
19.04.19
H2H
Jong AZ
MVV
2
3
L
Last matches: MVV
14.08.26
Eer
MVV
FC Eindhoven
3
2
W
28.07.26
Fri
MVV
KAA Gent II
0
1
L
21.07.26
Fri
MVV
EVV
2
2
D
14.07.26
Fri
MVV
Seraing United
0
0
D
12.07.26
Fri
MVV
FC Viktoria Köln
4
1
W
07.07.26
Fri
MVV
Meerssen
1
2
L
17.04.26
Eer
MVV
Vitesse
0
0
D
06.04.26
Eer
MVV
Emmen
1
2
L
16.03.26
Eer
MVV
Jong AZ
1
1
D
06.03.26
Eer
MVV
Dordrecht
1
1
D
22.02.26
Eer
MVV
Roda
0
2
L
13.02.26
Eer
MVV
ADO Den Haag
0
3
L
30.01.26
Eer
MVV
FC Eindhoven
0
5
L
18.01.26
Eer
MVV
Den Bosch
2
1
W
19.12.25
Eer
MVV
Cambuur
0
4
L
05.12.25
Eer
MVV
Helmond Sport
4
2
W
25.11.25
Eer
MVV
Waalwijk
0
1
L
07.11.25
Eer
MVV
Almere City FC
0
4
L
26.10.25
Eer
MVV
Willem II
2
2
D
17.10.25
Eer
MVV
Jong Utrecht
1
3
L
H2H away: MVV
16.03.26
H2H
Jong AZ
MVV
1
1
D
02.12.24
H2H
Jong AZ
MVV
2
3
W
03.05.24
H2H
Jong AZ
MVV
2
3
W
08.08.22
H2H
Jong AZ
MVV
3
1
L
05.11.21
H2H
Jong AZ
MVV
0
1
W
02.10.20
H2H
Jong AZ
MVV
3
3
D
08.11.19
H2H
Jong AZ
MVV
3
2
L
19.04.19
H2H
Jong AZ
MVV
2
3
W
Standings
Eerste Divisie: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 9 |
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
MVV
Away
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
W
W
W
|
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 7 |
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 4 |
W
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
L
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 3 |
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 |
Jong AZ
Home
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 3 |
L
W
L
|
| 14 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
L
L
|
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