NETHERLANDS EERSTE DIVISIE
28.08.2026 18:00
Sportcomplex De Toekomst
Referee: N. Boel
Jong Ajax
Match Timeline
Helmond Sport
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
12'
P. Nash · Assist: D. Pugno
Jong Ajax
14'
E. Unuvar · Assist: D. Pugno
Jong Ajax
18'
B. Koglin · Assist: W. Lantaki
Helmond Sport
🟨
42'
Wassim Lantaki
Helmond Sport
56'
S. Dekkers
Helmond Sport
🔄
62'
K. Ekoli ↔ J. van der Sluijs
Helmond Sport
64'
D. Pugno · Assist: J. Monserrate
Jong Ajax
🔄
74'
T. Peters ↔ L. Acheampong
Jong Ajax
🔄
74'
W. Lantaki ↔ T. Poll
Helmond Sport
🔄
74'
H. Ingason ↔ T. Essakkati
Helmond Sport
🔄
74'
M. Lenaerts ↔ L. Bajrami
Helmond Sport
🟨
77'
Jano Monserrate
Jong Ajax
🔄
79'
R. van de Pavert ↔ L. Frankel
Jong Ajax
🔄
80'
M. Ludwig ↔ P. Llonch
Helmond Sport
🔄
83'
J. Monserrate ↔ A. Camara
Jong Ajax
🔄
83'
D. Pugno ↔ J. Simeon
Jong Ajax
🟨
90+2'
Levi Acheampong
Jong Ajax

Jong Ajax vs Helmond Sport Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw
Probability 40.6%
Odds 4.07
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.54
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw
40.6%
4.07
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.44
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
1.54
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
75%
1.46
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
6.50
Correct Score 2-2
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Jong Ajax Win 32.9%
Draw 40.6%
Helmond Sport Win 26.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Jong Ajax1.72
Helmond Sport1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Jong Ajax Jong Ajax
WWDLW
7 GF / 14 GA
Helmond Sport Helmond Sport
WLDWL
6 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
0.67
3.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
3
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
3
5.33
Shots on Goal
2.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Jong Ajax Jong Ajax 4 matches
Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 9 matches
Jong Ajax Statistic Helmond Sport
0 Wins 1
0 Draws 3
4 Losses 5
7 Goals For 6
14 Goals Against 15
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
3.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
3 BTTS Yes 5
4 Over 1.5 8
4 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 3
5.33 Shots On Goal 2.33
11.67 Total Shots 6.33
3.33 Corners 3.67
48.3% Ball Possession 35.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Jong Ajax won 5 times, Helmond Sport won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:19 from Jong Ajax's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (73.5%)
Predicted formations: Jong Ajax 4-2-3-1 / Helmond Sport 4-4-2
H2H summary: Jong Ajax wins 5, draws 6, Helmond Sport wins 4

Standings

Eerste Divisie: Period 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 0 1 24:10 14 18
L W W W W
2 7 5 1 1 16:4 12 16
W W L W W
3 7 5 0 2 19:11 8 15
W W L W W
4 7 3 4 0 18:9 9 13
W W W D D
5 7 4 1 2 13:9 4 13
W L W W L
6 7 4 1 2 10:15 -5 13
L L D W W
7 9 4 1 4 22:17 5 13
W D L W W
8 7 3 3 1 7:5 2 12
D W D D W
9 7 4 0 3 17:17 0 12
L L W L W
10 9 3 3 3 14:16 -2 12
L D L W D
11 7 3 1 3 13:15 -2 10
W L L D W
12 7 3 1 3 11:13 -2 10
W W D L L
13 7 3 0 4 17:14 3 9
L W L W L
14 7 2 2 3 13:12 1 8
L W W L D
15 9 2 2 5 13:22 -9 8
D L L W D
16 7 2 1 4 12:16 -4 7
W L L L W
17 9 2 1 6 15:21 -6 7
L W W D L
18 7 2 0 5 8:12 -4 6
W L L W L
19 7 1 1 5 9:21 -12 4
L L L L L
20 7 1 1 5 8:20 -12 4
L W L L L
Promotion - Eredivisie (Promotion)