FINLAND YKKöNEN
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Harjun Stadion

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 96.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
96.6%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
JJK Win 50%
Draw 3.4%
FC jazz Win 46.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
JJK2.13
FC jazz1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
JJK JJK
WWDLW
43 GF / 31 GA
FC jazz FC jazz
WLDWL
16 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
2.39
Average Goals Scored
1.07
1.72
Average Goals Conceded
1.73
14
BTTS Yes
9
13
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

JJK JJK 18 matches
FC jazz FC jazz 15 matches
JJK Statistic FC jazz
7 Wins 5
6 Draws 2
5 Losses 8
43 Goals For 16
31 Goals Against 26
2.39 Avg Goals Scored 1.07
1.72 Avg Goals Conceded 1.73
14 BTTS Yes 9
15 Over 1.5 13
13 Over 2.5 8
9 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by JJK's more proactive style and FC jazz's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FC jazz. JJK arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 24 points compared to FC jazz in 9 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency. FC jazz arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FC jazz having the stronger overall control.

JJK Analysis

Placed 3 with 24 points from 14 outings, JJK continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, while the 35:22 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

FC jazz Analysis

FC jazz sit 9 with 14 points after 13 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 14:20 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, JJK won 7 times, FC jazz won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:21 from JJK's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.6%)
H2H summary: JJK wins 7, draws 5, FC jazz wins 3
Last matches: JJK
11.07.26
Ykk
JJK
KuPS Akatemia
4
4
D
05.07.26
Ykk
JJK
TPV
0
1
L
25.06.26
Ykk
JJK
Inter Turku II
11
1
W
13.06.26
Ykk
JJK
KPV-j
3
2
W
06.06.26
Ykk
JJK
PKKU
1
3
L
02.06.26
Ykk
JJK
VJS
2
2
D
28.05.26
Ykk
JJK
OLS
1
0
W
22.05.26
Ykk
JJK
Tampere United
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ykk
JJK
SalPa
2
2
D
09.05.26
Ykk
JJK
OLS
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ykk
JJK
Rops
3
3
D
25.04.26
Ykk
JJK
FC jazz
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ykk
JJK
TPV
2
1
W
10.04.26
Ykk
JJK
KuPS Akatemia
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ykk
JJK
Inter Turku II
5
3
W
28.03.26
Fri
JJK
MP
1
1
D
24.01.26
Fri
JJK
JIPPO
1
2
L
18.01.26
Fri
JJK
TPV
2
2
D
Last matches: FC jazz
11.07.26
Ykk
FC jazz
PKKU
1
2
L
02.07.26
Ykk
FC jazz
KPV-j
0
1
L
25.06.26
Ykk
FC jazz
Tampere United
0
1
L
12.06.26
Ykk
FC jazz
Inter Turku II
1
1
D
06.06.26
Ykk
FC jazz
VJS
1
1
D
28.05.26
Ykk
FC jazz
SalPa
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ykk
FC jazz
OLS
2
1
W
16.05.26
Ykk
FC jazz
Rops
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ykk
FC jazz
KuPS Akatemia
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ykk
FC jazz
TPV
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ykk
FC jazz
JJK
0
2
L
20.04.26
Ykk
FC jazz
KPV-j
2
0
W
11.04.26
Ykk
FC jazz
PKKU
1
5
L
02.04.26
Ykk
FC jazz
Tampere United
0
4
L
25.01.26
Fri
FC jazz
Tampere United
1
4
L
H2H: JJK vs FC jazz
25.04.26
H2H
FC jazz
JJK
0
2
W
27.08.25
H2H
FC jazz
JJK
0
1
W
02.06.25
H2H
JJK
FC jazz
3
1
W
10.08.24
H2H
FC jazz
JJK
1
1
D
26.05.24
H2H
JJK
FC jazz
2
4
L
25.09.16
H2H
FC jazz
JJK
1
2
W
03.08.16
H2H
JJK
FC jazz
2
0
W
21.05.16
H2H
FC jazz
JJK
2
2
D
19.04.16
H2H
JJK
FC jazz
4
4
D
04.10.15
H2H
FC jazz
JJK
0
1
W
05.08.15
H2H
JJK
FC jazz
1
2
L
07.06.15
H2H
FC jazz
JJK
2
2
D
25.08.14
H2H
JJK
FC jazz
1
3
L
25.07.14
H2H
FC jazz
JJK
1
1
D
17.05.14
H2H
JJK
FC jazz
1
0
W
Last matches: JJK
11.07.26
Ykk
JJK
KuPS Akatemia
4
4
D
25.06.26
Ykk
JJK
Inter Turku II
11
1
W
06.06.26
Ykk
JJK
PKKU
1
3
L
02.06.26
Ykk
JJK
VJS
2
2
D
28.05.26
Ykk
JJK
OLS
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ykk
JJK
SalPa
2
2
D
02.05.26
Ykk
JJK
Rops
3
3
D
18.04.26
Ykk
JJK
TPV
2
1
W
H2H at home: JJK
02.06.25
H2H
JJK
FC jazz
3
1
W
26.05.24
H2H
JJK
FC jazz
2
4
L
03.08.16
H2H
JJK
FC jazz
2
0
W
19.04.16
H2H
JJK
FC jazz
4
4
D
05.08.15
H2H
JJK
FC jazz
1
2
L
25.08.14
H2H
JJK
FC jazz
1
3
L
17.05.14
H2H
JJK
FC jazz
1
0
W
Last matches: FC jazz
11.07.26
Ykk
FC jazz
PKKU
1
2
L
12.06.26
Ykk
FC jazz
Inter Turku II
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ykk
FC jazz
OLS
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ykk
FC jazz
KuPS Akatemia
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ykk
FC jazz
TPV
2
0
W
20.04.26
Ykk
FC jazz
KPV-j
2
0
W
02.04.26
Ykk
FC jazz
Tampere United
0
4
L
25.01.26
Fri
FC jazz
Tampere United
1
4
L
H2H away: FC jazz
02.06.25
H2H
JJK
FC jazz
3
1
L
26.05.24
H2H
JJK
FC jazz
2
4
W
03.08.16
H2H
JJK
FC jazz
2
0
L
19.04.16
H2H
JJK
FC jazz
4
4
D
05.08.15
H2H
JJK
FC jazz
1
2
W
25.08.14
H2H
JJK
FC jazz
1
3
W
17.05.14
H2H
JJK
FC jazz
1
0
L

Standings

Ykkonen
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 1 3 28:9 19 31
L W W W W
2 14 8 4 2 30:15 15 28
W W D W L
3
JJK Home
15 7 4 4 39:26 13 25
D L W W L
4 14 6 5 3 29:24 5 23
W D D W L
5 15 6 4 5 29:22 7 22
L L D L W
6 13 6 3 4 26:18 8 21
W L W D W
7 13 5 5 3 25:18 7 20
W D W L D
8 14 4 3 7 25:39 -14 15
L W L D D
9 14 5 2 7 15:22 -7 14
L L L D D
10 14 3 4 7 16:24 -8 13
W W L D D
11 14 2 3 9 24:34 -10 9
D L D L W
12 14 2 2 10 12:47 -35 8
L W L L L
Promotion - Ykkonen (Championship Group)
Ykkonen (Relegation Group)