FINLAND YKKöSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
FT
3 - 1
Referee: M. Haapakoski
JIPPO
Match Timeline
MP
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
21'
A. Ring
MP
49'
A. Tarvonen · Assist: Y. Kikuchi
JIPPO
🔄
56'
A. Tarvonen ↔ E. Honkola
JIPPO
🔄
56'
S. Stenius ↔ V. Laiho
MP
🔄
56'
M. Koivuniemi ↔ A. Tervaniemi
MP
🔄
63'
J. Uronen ↔ T. Heikkinen
MP
🔄
71'
J. Kiuru ↔ M. Turunen
JIPPO
🔄
71'
O. Keturi ↔ E. Kinnunen
JIPPO
🟨
74'
E. Kinnunen
JIPPO
🔄
77'
S. Atakayi ↔ E. Ylonen
MP
🔄
77'
O. Kimari ↔ P. Kerminen
MP
78'
A. Traore
JIPPO
🟨
80'
A. Traore
MP
83'
A. Tervaniemi · Assist: A. Chishima
MP
🟨
84'
L. Forss
JIPPO
🔄
88'
L. Forss ↔ K. Mahugo
JIPPO
90'
E. Honkola · Assist: M. Turunen
JIPPO

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 76.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 74.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.8%
-
BTTS Yes
76.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
74.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
JIPPO Win 62.8%
Draw 8.3%
MP Win 28.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
JIPPO1.26
MP1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
JIPPO JIPPO
WWDLW
24 GF / 14 GA
MP MP
WLDWL
24 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.26
Average Goals Scored
1.2
0.74
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
9
BTTS Yes
10
6
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

JIPPO JIPPO 19 matches
MP MP 20 matches
JIPPO Statistic MP
8 Wins 8
8 Draws 3
3 Losses 9
24 Goals For 24
14 Goals Against 25
1.26 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
0.74 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
9 BTTS Yes 10
12 Over 1.5 13
6 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 5
8 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features JIPPO's more proactive style and MP's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward MP having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring MP.

JIPPO Analysis

JIPPO arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 24 points after 14 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 19:10 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

MP Analysis

MP are currently 6 in the standings with 17 points from 14 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, while the 13:16 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, JIPPO won 5 times, MP won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:26 from JIPPO's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.7%)
H2H summary: JIPPO wins 5, draws 4, MP wins 6

Lineups

JIPPO
Formation
MP
P. Piirainen
P. Piirainen
V. Vesiaho
V. Vesiaho
O. Keturi
O. Keturi
J. Kiuru
J. Kiuru
J. Lehtiranta
J. Lehtiranta
L. Sahimaa
L. Sahimaa
L. Forss
L. Forss
N. Tykkylainen
N. Tykkylainen
N. Haataja
N. Haataja
Y. Kikuchi
🎯
Y. Kikuchi
A. Tarvonen
A. Tarvonen
J. Uronen
J. Uronen
A. Chishima
🎯
A. Chishima
M. Koivuniemi
M. Koivuniemi
O. Kimari
O. Kimari
S. Stenius
S. Stenius
S. Obioha
S. Obioha
V. Janhunen
V. Janhunen
R. Kawale
R. Kawale
A. Ring
A. Ring
S. Atakayi
S. Atakayi
A. Traore
A. Traore
JIPPO 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
P. Piirainen
3
V. Vesiaho
10
O. Keturi
↓ 71'
11
J. Kiuru
↓ 71'
12
J. Lehtiranta
15
L. Sahimaa
20
L. Forss
↓ 88' 🟨 84'
21
N. Tykkylainen
24
N. Haataja
41
Y. Kikuchi
🎯 49'
90
A. Tarvonen
⚽ 49' ↓ 56'
Substitutes
22
V. Vainikainen
2
K. Mahugo
↑ 88'
4
Victor de Paula
5
E. Erguner
8
T. Smith
9
M. Turunen
🎯 90' ↑ 71'
14
A. Nuutinen
18
E. Kinnunen
↑ 71' 🟨 74'
28
E. Honkola
⚽ 90' ↑ 56'
MP 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
22
J. Uronen
↓ 63'
7
A. Chishima
🎯 83'
8
M. Koivuniemi
↓ 56'
12
O. Kimari
↓ 77'
15
S. Stenius
↓ 56'
16
S. Obioha
19
V. Janhunen
24
R. Kawale
29
A. Ring
🟨 21'
45
S. Atakayi
↓ 77'
97
A. Traore
⚽ 78' 🟨 80'
Substitutes
30
T. Heikkinen
↑ 63'
2
S. Sarkka
4
V. Laiho
↑ 56'
10
E. Ylonen
↑ 77'
14
M. Snellman
17
S. Seppanen
28
A. Tervaniemi
⚽ 83' ↑ 56'
87
M. Kastrati
99
P. Kerminen
↑ 77'
Last matches: JIPPO
29.08.26
Ykk
JIPPO
EIF
2
0
W
20.08.26
Ykk
JIPPO
KäPa
3
1
W
15.08.26
Ykk
JIPPO
SJK Akatemia
0
1
L
07.08.26
Ykk
JIPPO
Haka
0
3
L
30.07.26
Ykk
JIPPO
JäPS
1
0
W
25.07.26
Ykk
JIPPO
PK-35
1
1
D
11.07.26
Ykk
JIPPO
Klubi-04
2
0
W
03.07.26
Ykk
JIPPO
Kooteepee
3
3
D
27.06.26
Ykk
JIPPO
EIF
1
1
D
13.06.26
Ykk
JIPPO
KäPa
3
0
W
09.06.26
Ykk
JIPPO
SJK Akatemia
0
0
D
29.05.26
Ykk
JIPPO
Haka
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ykk
JIPPO
PK-35
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ykk
JIPPO
MP
3
1
W
09.05.26
Ykk
JIPPO
Klubi-04
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ykk
JIPPO
KäPa
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ykk
JIPPO
SJK Akatemia
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ykk
JIPPO
Kooteepee
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ykk
JIPPO
EIF
2
1
W
06.04.26
Ykk
JIPPO
JäPS
0
0
D
Last matches: MP
29.08.26
Ykk
MP
PK-35
0
3
L
22.08.26
Ykk
MP
Klubi-04
3
4
L
16.08.26
Ykk
MP
EIF
0
2
L
07.08.26
Ykk
MP
JäPS
0
1
L
29.07.26
Ykk
MP
KäPa
2
1
W
25.07.26
Ykk
MP
Kooteepee
3
3
D
11.07.26
Ykk
MP
SJK Akatemia
1
1
D
05.07.26
Ykk
MP
Haka
2
1
W
26.06.26
Ykk
MP
PK-35
1
2
L
14.06.26
Ykk
MP
Klubi-04
2
2
D
06.06.26
Ykk
MP
EIF
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ykk
MP
EIF
1
0
W
22.05.26
Ykk
MP
JäPS
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ykk
MP
JIPPO
1
3
L
07.05.26
Ykk
MP
PK-35
1
3
L
02.05.26
Ykk
MP
Haka
1
0
W
24.04.26
Ykk
MP
Klubi-04
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ykk
MP
KäPa
0
1
L
10.04.26
Ykk
MP
Kooteepee
0
1
L
06.04.26
Ykk
MP
SJK Akatemia
0
1
L
H2H: JIPPO vs MP
15.07.26
H2H
JIPPO
MP
3
1
W
17.05.26
H2H
MP
JIPPO
1
3
W
14.04.26
H2H
JIPPO
MP
1
2
L
14.02.26
H2H
MP
JIPPO
1
3
W
10.08.24
H2H
JIPPO
MP
2
4
L
19.06.24
H2H
JIPPO
MP
0
0
D
24.04.24
H2H
MP
JIPPO
1
1
D
24.02.24
H2H
MP
JIPPO
0
2
W
18.03.23
H2H
MP
JIPPO
3
1
L
23.10.21
H2H
MP
JIPPO
2
0
L
28.08.21
H2H
JIPPO
MP
4
2
W
20.06.21
H2H
MP
JIPPO
4
1
L
03.03.21
H2H
MP
JIPPO
5
0
L
04.08.19
H2H
MP
JIPPO
0
0
D
25.05.19
H2H
JIPPO
MP
0
0
D
Last matches: JIPPO
15.08.26
Ykk
JIPPO
SJK Akatemia
0
1
L
30.07.26
Ykk
JIPPO
JäPS
1
0
W
27.06.26
Ykk
JIPPO
EIF
1
1
D
13.06.26
Ykk
JIPPO
KäPa
3
0
W
23.05.26
Ykk
JIPPO
PK-35
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ykk
JIPPO
Klubi-04
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ykk
JIPPO
SJK Akatemia
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ykk
JIPPO
Kooteepee
0
0
D
06.04.26
Ykk
JIPPO
JäPS
0
0
D
24.01.26
Fri
JIPPO
JJK
2
1
W
10.01.26
Fri
JIPPO
KuPS Akatemia
1
0
W
H2H at home: JIPPO
15.07.26
H2H
JIPPO
MP
3
1
W
14.04.26
H2H
JIPPO
MP
1
2
L
10.08.24
H2H
JIPPO
MP
2
4
L
19.06.24
H2H
JIPPO
MP
0
0
D
28.08.21
H2H
JIPPO
MP
4
2
W
25.05.19
H2H
JIPPO
MP
0
0
D
Last matches: MP
22.08.26
Ykk
MP
Klubi-04
3
4
L
07.08.26
Ykk
MP
JäPS
0
1
L
11.07.26
Ykk
MP
SJK Akatemia
1
1
D
26.06.26
Ykk
MP
PK-35
1
2
L
06.06.26
Ykk
MP
EIF
0
1
L
22.05.26
Ykk
MP
JäPS
2
0
W
07.05.26
Ykk
MP
PK-35
1
3
L
24.04.26
Ykk
MP
Klubi-04
1
0
W
10.04.26
Ykk
MP
Kooteepee
0
1
L
06.04.26
Ykk
MP
SJK Akatemia
0
1
L
27.03.26
Fri
MP
Ilves
0
2
L
13.03.26
Fri
MP
PK-35
0
2
L
H2H away: MP
15.07.26
H2H
JIPPO
MP
3
1
L
14.04.26
H2H
JIPPO
MP
1
2
W
10.08.24
H2H
JIPPO
MP
2
4
W
19.06.24
H2H
JIPPO
MP
0
0
D
28.08.21
H2H
JIPPO
MP
4
2
L
25.05.19
H2H
JIPPO
MP
0
0
D

Standings

Ykkösliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 15 3 3 36:21 15 48
W W W W W
2 21 13 5 3 37:14 23 44
W W D W L
3 21 12 4 5 41:22 19 40
L W W W W
4
JIPPO Home
21 10 7 4 29:17 12 37
W W L L W
5 21 9 2 10 18:29 -11 29
D L L W L
6 21 8 2 11 26:33 -7 26
L L W W W
7
MP Away
21 6 3 12 22:33 -11 21
L L L L W
8 21 4 5 12 21:35 -14 17
D L L L L
9 20 3 7 10 19:27 -8 16
W D L L L
10 20 2 6 12 9:27 -18 12
L W L L D
Promotion - Veikkausliiga
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Promotion)
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen