FINLAND YKKöSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: A. Ropponen
JIPPO
Match Timeline
KäPa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
M. Turunen
JIPPO
34'
M. Turunen · Assist: J. Kiuru
JIPPO
🔄
46'
S. Sillah ↔ E. Jantunen
KäPa
🟨
53'
N. Nurmi
KäPa
🟨
58'
N. Nurmi
KäPa
🟥
58'
N. Nurmi
KäPa
🟨
61'
Y. Lika
KäPa
🔄
63'
N. Leinonen ↔ D. Ripatti
KäPa
🟨
68'
P. Forsman
JIPPO
🔄
71'
V. Vesiaho ↔ K. Mahugo
JIPPO
🔄
71'
J. Kiuru ↔ T. Smith
JIPPO
🔄
71'
P. Forsman ↔ L. Sahimaa
JIPPO
🔄
72'
D. Rokman ↔ D. Cukici
KäPa
🔄
81'
L. Forss ↔ J. Malinen
JIPPO
🔄
83'
P. Lindberg ↔ A. Pastinen
KäPa
🔄
83'
R. Huhtamaki ↔ A. Pitkanen
KäPa
84'
T. Smith · Assist: M. Turunen
JIPPO
🔄
86'
E. Honkola ↔ A. Tarvonen
JIPPO
🟨
88'
L. Sahimaa
JIPPO

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 76.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
76.2%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
JIPPO Win 37.1%
Draw 23.8%
KäPa Win 39.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
JIPPO1.09
KäPa0.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
JIPPO JIPPO
WWDLW
15 GF / 10 GA
KäPa KäPa
WLDWL
15 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.15
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.23
7
BTTS Yes
7
4
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

JIPPO JIPPO 15 matches
KäPa KäPa 13 matches
JIPPO Statistic KäPa
6 Wins 5
6 Draws 3
3 Losses 5
15 Goals For 15
10 Goals Against 16
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
0.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.23
7 BTTS Yes 7
8 Over 1.5 8
4 Over 2.5 7
1 Over 3.5 3
6 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features JIPPO's more proactive style and KäPa's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward KäPa having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring KäPa. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

JIPPO Analysis

Placed 5 with 15 points from 9 outings, JIPPO continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, while the 10:6 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on J. Kiuru (4 goals), Y. Kikuchi (3 goals), E. Honkola (1 goals), with creative support from Y. Kikuchi (1 assists), E. Honkola (1 assists), J. Watanabe (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

KäPa Analysis

From their first 10 matches, KäPa have collected 12 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 11:13 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by A. Almen (3 goals), Y. Lika (3 goals), D. Cukici (1 goals), with creative support from N. Leinonen (2 assists), N. Nurmi (1 assists), S. Sillah (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, JIPPO won 7 times, KäPa won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:9 from JIPPO's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.58 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.2%)
H2H summary: JIPPO wins 7, draws 4, KäPa wins 1

Lineups

JIPPO
Formation
KäPa
P. Piirainen
P. Piirainen
V. Vesiaho
V. Vesiaho
J. Watanabe
J. Watanabe
M. Turunen
⚽ 2 🎯
M. Turunen
J. Kiuru
🎯
J. Kiuru
J. Lehtiranta
J. Lehtiranta
P. Forsman
P. Forsman
L. Forss
L. Forss
N. Haataja
N. Haataja
E. Honkola
E. Honkola
Y. Kikuchi
Y. Kikuchi
T. Collin
T. Collin
U. Huhtamaki
U. Huhtamaki
P. Hietalahti
P. Hietalahti
P. Lindberg
P. Lindberg
N. Nurmi
N. Nurmi
N. Leinonen
N. Leinonen
R. Huhtamaki
R. Huhtamaki
A. Almen
A. Almen
Y. Lika
Y. Lika
S. Sillah
S. Sillah
D. Rokman
D. Rokman
JIPPO 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
P. Piirainen
3
V. Vesiaho
↓ 71'
6
J. Watanabe
9
M. Turunen
⚽ 8' ⚽ 34' 🎯 84'
11
J. Kiuru
🎯 34' ↓ 71'
12
J. Lehtiranta
16
P. Forsman
↓ 71' 🟨 68'
20
L. Forss
↓ 81'
24
N. Haataja
28
E. Honkola
↓ 86'
41
Y. Kikuchi
Substitutes
22
V. Vainikainen
2
K. Mahugo
↑ 71'
4
Victor de Paula
7
J. Malinen
↑ 81'
8
T. Smith
⚽ 84' ↑ 71'
15
L. Sahimaa
↑ 71' 🟨 88'
18
E. Kinnunen
21
N. Tykkylainen
90
A. Tarvonen
↑ 86'
KäPa 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
T. Collin
2
U. Huhtamaki
4
P. Hietalahti
5
P. Lindberg
↓ 83'
6
N. Nurmi
🟨 53' 🟨 58' 🟥 58'
7
N. Leinonen
↓ 63'
8
R. Huhtamaki
↓ 83'
9
A. Almen
10
Y. Lika
🟨 61'
11
S. Sillah
↓ 46'
21
D. Rokman
↓ 72'
Substitutes
3
S. Puputti
15
A. Pastinen
↑ 83'
18
E. Jantunen
↑ 46'
22
D. Ripatti
↑ 63'
36
D. Cukici
↑ 72'
53
A. Pitkanen
↑ 83'
Last matches: JIPPO
03.07.26
Ykk
JIPPO
Kooteepee
3
3
D
27.06.26
Ykk
JIPPO
EIF
1
1
D
09.06.26
Ykk
JIPPO
SJK Akatemia
0
0
D
29.05.26
Ykk
JIPPO
Haka
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ykk
JIPPO
PK-35
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ykk
JIPPO
MP
3
1
W
09.05.26
Ykk
JIPPO
Klubi-04
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ykk
JIPPO
KäPa
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ykk
JIPPO
SJK Akatemia
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ykk
JIPPO
Kooteepee
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ykk
JIPPO
EIF
2
1
W
06.04.26
Ykk
JIPPO
JäPS
0
0
D
28.03.26
Fri
JIPPO
Lahti
1
1
D
21.03.26
Fri
JIPPO
KuPS
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
JIPPO
JJK
2
1
W
18.01.26
Fri
JIPPO
AC Oulu
1
1
D
10.01.26
Fri
JIPPO
KuPS Akatemia
1
0
W
Last matches: KäPa
28.06.26
Ykk
KäPa
JäPS
3
1
W
05.06.26
Ykk
KäPa
Kooteepee
1
2
L
29.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
JäPS
2
1
W
23.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
EIF
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
PK-35
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
Kooteepee
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
JIPPO
0
2
L
25.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
Haka
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
MP
1
0
W
10.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
2
2
D
06.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
Klubi-04
2
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
KäPa
VJS
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
KäPa
Honka
3
2
W
17.01.26
Fri
KäPa
JäPS
1
0
W
H2H: JIPPO vs KäPa
13.06.26
H2H
JIPPO
KäPa
3
0
W
02.05.26
H2H
KäPa
JIPPO
0
2
W
07.03.26
H2H
JIPPO
KäPa
1
1
D
04.10.25
H2H
JIPPO
KäPa
2
1
W
29.06.25
H2H
JIPPO
KäPa
3
1
W
04.05.25
H2H
KäPa
JIPPO
1
1
D
15.02.25
H2H
JIPPO
KäPa
2
1
W
25.08.24
H2H
KäPa
JIPPO
2
1
L
17.07.24
H2H
KäPa
JIPPO
1
4
W
18.05.24
H2H
JIPPO
KäPa
2
0
W
01.10.22
H2H
JIPPO
KäPa
1
1
D
09.07.22
H2H
KäPa
JIPPO
0
0
D
Last matches: JIPPO
27.06.26
Ykk
JIPPO
EIF
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ykk
JIPPO
PK-35
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ykk
JIPPO
Klubi-04
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ykk
JIPPO
SJK Akatemia
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ykk
JIPPO
Kooteepee
0
0
D
06.04.26
Ykk
JIPPO
JäPS
0
0
D
24.01.26
Fri
JIPPO
JJK
2
1
W
10.01.26
Fri
JIPPO
KuPS Akatemia
1
0
W
H2H at home: JIPPO
13.06.26
H2H
JIPPO
KäPa
3
0
W
07.03.26
H2H
JIPPO
KäPa
1
1
D
04.10.25
H2H
JIPPO
KäPa
2
1
W
29.06.25
H2H
JIPPO
KäPa
3
1
W
15.02.25
H2H
JIPPO
KäPa
2
1
W
18.05.24
H2H
JIPPO
KäPa
2
0
W
01.10.22
H2H
JIPPO
KäPa
1
1
D
Last matches: KäPa
23.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
EIF
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
Kooteepee
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
Haka
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
MP
1
0
W
06.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
Klubi-04
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
KäPa
Honka
3
2
W
17.01.26
Fri
KäPa
JäPS
1
0
W
H2H away: KäPa
13.06.26
H2H
JIPPO
KäPa
3
0
L
07.03.26
H2H
JIPPO
KäPa
1
1
D
04.10.25
H2H
JIPPO
KäPa
2
1
L
29.06.25
H2H
JIPPO
KäPa
3
1
L
15.02.25
H2H
JIPPO
KäPa
2
1
L
18.05.24
H2H
JIPPO
KäPa
2
0
L
01.10.22
H2H
JIPPO
KäPa
1
1
D

Standings

Ykkösliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 9 2 2 21:13 8 29
D W W L W
2 13 8 3 2 21:7 14 27
W W W D W
3 13 6 3 4 21:14 7 21
L L W W L
4
JIPPO Home
13 5 6 2 17:10 7 21
D D W D L
5 13 6 1 6 12:19 -7 19
W L L W L
6 13 5 1 7 12:15 -3 16
W L D L W
7 13 5 1 7 20:26 -6 16
L D L W L
8
KäPa Away
12 4 3 5 14:17 -3 15
W L L W L
9 12 1 5 6 10:14 -4 8
W D D L L
10 13 1 3 9 4:17 -13 6
L L L D L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Promotion)
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen