MONTENEGRO FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Pod Racinom
Jezero
Match Timeline
Mornar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
45'
M. Rovcanin
Mornar
🔄
46'
B. Boricic ↔ M. Kojic
Jezero
🔄
46'
N. Jovicic ↔ E. Redzepagic
Jezero
🔄
46'
O. Rolovic ↔ R. Redzic
Jezero
🔄
46'
D. Zoric ↔ J. Dasic
Mornar
🔄
46'
V. Dragovic ↔ P. Vukcevic
Mornar
56'
Y. Yao
Mornar
🔄
57'
M. Rovcanin ↔ E. Hajdarpasic
Mornar
🔄
59'
N. Krivokapic ↔ A. Julevic
Jezero
🔄
65'
B. Dubljevic ↔ V. Ljutica
Mornar
🔄
73'
N. Stijepovic ↔ D. Skrijelj
Mornar
🔄
78'
A. Adzovic ↔ N. Jovicevic
Jezero
🟨
79'
J. Dasic
Mornar

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 86.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
86.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
60.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Jezero Win 13.8%
Draw 0%
Mornar Win 86.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Jezero0.99
Mornar1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Jezero Jezero
WWDLW
38 GF / 46 GA
Mornar Mornar
WLDWL
49 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.09
Average Goals Scored
1.4
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
19
BTTS Yes
17
16
Over 2.5
18
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Jezero Jezero 35 matches
Mornar Mornar 35 matches
Jezero Statistic Mornar
10 Wins 19
11 Draws 9
14 Losses 7
38 Goals For 49
46 Goals Against 29
1.09 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
19 BTTS Yes 17
27 Over 1.5 24
16 Over 2.5 18
7 Over 3.5 5
8 Clean Sheets 15
9 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Mornar's more proactive style and Jezero's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Mornar. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Mornar carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 65 points while Jezero sit 8 on 41, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Mornar having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Jezero Analysis

Jezero are currently 8 in the standings with 41 points from 34 matches. The record of 10 wins, 11 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 38:44 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through D. Maksimovic (14 goals), M. Raicevic (8 goals), O. Rolovic (6 goals), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Mornar Analysis

Mornar come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 65 points after 34 matches. The return of 19 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 48:28, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through B. Sekulic (15 goals), S. Denkovic (10 goals), D. Zoric (6 goals), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Jezero won 3 times, Mornar won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:21 from Jezero's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.43 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Jezero wins 3, draws 2, Mornar wins 9

Lineups

Jezero
Formation
Mornar
I. Asanovic
I. Asanovic
A. Osmanovic
A. Osmanovic
A. Adzovic
A. Adzovic
N. Krivokapic
N. Krivokapic
M. Gjolaj
M. Gjolaj
I. Tucevic
I. Tucevic
O. Rolovic
O. Rolovic
N. Jovicic
N. Jovicic
M. Bojovic
M. Bojovic
D. Maksimovic
D. Maksimovic
B. Boricic
B. Boricic
S. Popovic
S. Popovic
M. Djurisic
M. Djurisic
Y. Yao
Y. Yao
N. Vukovic
N. Vukovic
F. Mitrovic
F. Mitrovic
D. Zoric
D. Zoric
M. Rovcanin
M. Rovcanin
B. Dubljevic
B. Dubljevic
N. Stijepovic
N. Stijepovic
N. Vujnovic
N. Vujnovic
V. Dragovic
V. Dragovic
Jezero 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
50
I. Asanovic
2
A. Osmanovic
5
A. Adzovic
↓ 78'
11
N. Krivokapic
↓ 59'
14
M. Gjolaj
17
I. Tucevic
19
O. Rolovic
↓ 46'
27
N. Jovicic
↓ 46'
29
M. Bojovic
44
D. Maksimovic
80
B. Boricic
↓ 46'
Substitutes
1
S. Kolic
3
M. Kojic
↑ 46'
6
N. Jovicevic
↑ 78'
9
E. Redzepagic
↑ 46'
15
R. Markovic
21
R. Redzic
↑ 46'
25
S. Vucetovic
35
A. Djesevic
99
A. Julevic
↑ 59'
Mornar 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
S. Popovic
8
M. Djurisic
11
Y. Yao
⚽ 56'
14
N. Vukovic
16
F. Mitrovic
18
D. Zoric
↓ 46'
21
M. Rovcanin
⚽ 45' ↓ 57'
23
B. Dubljevic
↓ 65'
33
N. Stijepovic
↓ 73'
97
N. Vujnovic
99
V. Dragovic
↓ 46'
Substitutes
13
V. Stojanovic
4
A. Kaludjerovic
9
B. Sekulic
10
D. Skrijelj
↑ 73'
17
J. Dasic
↑ 46' 🟨 79'
19
P. Vukcevic
↑ 46'
32
V. Ljutica
↑ 65'
35
E. Hajdarpasic
↑ 57'
Last matches: Jezero
03.06.26
Fir
Jezero
Iskra
5
1
W
29.05.26
Fir
Jezero
Iskra
3
0
W
20.05.26
Fir
Jezero
Jedinstvo
0
2
L
16.05.26
Fir
Jezero
Mladost DG
2
2
D
10.05.26
Fir
Jezero
Dečić
0
3
L
02.05.26
Fir
Jezero
Arsenal Tivat
0
0
D
26.04.26
Fir
Jezero
Sutjeska
1
1
D
18.04.26
Fir
Jezero
Bokelj
2
0
W
12.04.26
Fir
Jezero
Petrovac
1
1
D
08.04.26
Fir
Jezero
Buducnost Podgorica
0
2
L
04.04.26
Fir
Jezero
Mornar
0
2
L
21.03.26
Fir
Jezero
Jedinstvo
0
1
L
15.03.26
Fir
Jezero
Mladost DG
1
3
L
11.03.26
Fir
Jezero
Dečić
1
2
L
07.03.26
Fir
Jezero
Arsenal Tivat
2
1
W
01.03.26
Fir
Jezero
Sutjeska
1
1
D
25.02.26
Fir
Jezero
Bokelj
1
1
D
21.02.26
Fir
Jezero
Petrovac
1
2
L
10.02.26
Fri
Jezero
Sutjeska
1
0
W
05.02.26
Fri
Jezero
Arsenal Tivat
3
1
W
Last matches: Mornar
24.06.26
Fri
Mornar
Sutjeska
1
0
W
20.05.26
Fir
Mornar
Petrovac
1
1
D
16.05.26
Fir
Mornar
Buducnost Podgorica
0
0
D
10.05.26
Fir
Mornar
Bokelj
0
0
D
02.05.26
Fir
Mornar
Jedinstvo
3
0
W
26.04.26
Fir
Mornar
Mladost DG
2
1
W
18.04.26
Fir
Mornar
Dečić
1
0
W
12.04.26
Fir
Mornar
Arsenal Tivat
1
0
W
08.04.26
Fir
Mornar
Sutjeska
2
1
W
04.04.26
Fir
Mornar
Jezero
2
0
W
21.03.26
Fir
Mornar
Petrovac
2
0
W
15.03.26
Fir
Mornar
Buducnost Podgorica
3
0
W
11.03.26
Fir
Mornar
Bokelj
2
1
W
07.03.26
Fir
Mornar
Jedinstvo
0
1
L
01.03.26
Fir
Mornar
Mladost DG
3
0
W
25.02.26
Fir
Mornar
Dečić
0
0
D
21.02.26
Fir
Mornar
Arsenal Tivat
1
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Mornar
Sutjeska
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Mornar
FC Orenburg
0
1
L
17.01.26
Fri
Mornar
Semendrija 1924
0
1
L
H2H: Jezero vs Mornar
24.05.26
H2H
Jezero
Mornar
0
2
L
06.05.26
H2H
Jezero
Mornar
1
2
L
22.04.26
H2H
Mornar
Jezero
1
0
L
04.04.26
H2H
Mornar
Jezero
2
0
L
06.12.25
H2H
Jezero
Mornar
2
1
W
27.09.25
H2H
Mornar
Jezero
2
2
D
12.04.25
H2H
Mornar
Jezero
0
1
W
22.02.25
H2H
Jezero
Mornar
1
2
L
06.10.24
H2H
Mornar
Jezero
2
0
L
18.09.24
H2H
Jezero
Mornar
2
2
D
25.05.24
H2H
Mornar
Jezero
1
0
L
30.03.24
H2H
Jezero
Mornar
3
1
W
04.12.23
H2H
Mornar
Jezero
2
1
L
01.11.23
H2H
Mornar
Jezero
0
0
D
23.09.23
H2H
Jezero
Mornar
0
1
L
Last matches: Jezero
29.05.26
Fir
Jezero
Iskra
3
0
W
16.05.26
Fir
Jezero
Mladost DG
2
2
D
02.05.26
Fir
Jezero
Arsenal Tivat
0
0
D
12.04.26
Fir
Jezero
Petrovac
1
1
D
21.03.26
Fir
Jezero
Jedinstvo
0
1
L
11.03.26
Fir
Jezero
Dečić
1
2
L
01.03.26
Fir
Jezero
Sutjeska
1
1
D
25.02.26
Fir
Jezero
Bokelj
1
1
D
10.12.25
Fir
Jezero
Buducnost Podgorica
1
0
W
06.12.25
Fir
Jezero
Mornar
2
1
W
22.11.25
Fir
Jezero
Mladost DG
1
0
W
02.11.25
Fir
Jezero
Arsenal Tivat
2
0
W
05.10.25
Fir
Jezero
Petrovac
1
3
L
21.09.25
Fir
Jezero
Jedinstvo
1
2
L
13.09.25
Fir
Jezero
Dečić
4
0
W
24.08.25
Fir
Jezero
Sutjeska
2
1
W
17.08.25
Fir
Jezero
Bokelj
2
2
D
04.08.25
Fir
Jezero
Buducnost Podgorica
1
2
L
H2H at home: Jezero
24.05.26
H2H
Jezero
Mornar
0
2
L
06.05.26
H2H
Jezero
Mornar
1
2
L
06.12.25
H2H
Jezero
Mornar
2
1
W
22.02.25
H2H
Jezero
Mornar
1
2
L
18.09.24
H2H
Jezero
Mornar
2
2
D
30.03.24
H2H
Jezero
Mornar
3
1
W
23.09.23
H2H
Jezero
Mornar
0
1
L
Last matches: Mornar
16.05.26
Fir
Mornar
Buducnost Podgorica
0
0
D
26.04.26
Fir
Mornar
Mladost DG
2
1
W
12.04.26
Fir
Mornar
Arsenal Tivat
1
0
W
21.03.26
Fir
Mornar
Petrovac
2
0
W
11.03.26
Fir
Mornar
Bokelj
2
1
W
07.03.26
Fir
Mornar
Jedinstvo
0
1
L
25.02.26
Fir
Mornar
Dečić
0
0
D
14.02.26
Fri
Mornar
Sutjeska
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Mornar
FC Orenburg
0
1
L
10.12.25
Fir
Mornar
Sutjeska
1
0
W
06.12.25
Fir
Mornar
Jezero
1
2
L
22.11.25
Fir
Mornar
Buducnost Podgorica
0
2
L
26.10.25
Fir
Mornar
Mladost DG
3
1
W
08.10.25
Fir
Mornar
Arsenal Tivat
1
0
W
21.09.25
Fir
Mornar
Petrovac
1
1
D
13.09.25
Fir
Mornar
Bokelj
2
1
W
30.08.25
Fir
Mornar
Jedinstvo
1
2
L
17.08.25
Fir
Mornar
Dečić
1
2
L
04.08.25
Fir
Mornar
Sutjeska
0
3
L
H2H away: Mornar
24.05.26
H2H
Jezero
Mornar
0
2
W
06.05.26
H2H
Jezero
Mornar
1
2
W
06.12.25
H2H
Jezero
Mornar
2
1
L
22.02.25
H2H
Jezero
Mornar
1
2
W
18.09.24
H2H
Jezero
Mornar
2
2
D
30.03.24
H2H
Jezero
Mornar
3
1
L
23.09.23
H2H
Jezero
Mornar
0
1
W

Standings

1. CFL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 22 6 8 61:36 25 72
L W W D W
2 36 20 9 7 51:29 22 69
W D D D W
3 36 13 12 11 44:36 8 51
D D W L D
4 36 14 9 13 43:45 -2 51
L L L W D
5 36 13 9 14 36:35 1 48
D W D D L
6 36 14 4 18 49:54 -5 46
W L D W W
7 36 12 10 14 36:46 -10 46
L W L D D
8 36 10 11 15 38:48 -10 41
W W L L D
9 36 8 12 16 38:48 -10 36
W D W L W
10 36 9 8 19 30:49 -19 35
W W L D L
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation