MONTENEGRO FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Pod Racinom
Jezero
Match Timeline
Arsenal Tivat
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
16'
D. Maksimovic
Jezero
🔄
21'
Z. Mikijelj ↔ J. Montenegro
Arsenal Tivat
🟨
28'
U. Bulatovic
Jezero
🟨
45+1'
G. Petovic
Arsenal Tivat
🟨
45+1'
N. Jovicic
Jezero
🟨
52'
P. Malisic
Arsenal Tivat
🔄
73'
U. Bulatovic ↔ I. Redzepagic
Jezero
🔄
73'
D. Maksimovic ↔ O. Rolovic
Jezero
🟨
80'
I. Vukcevic
Arsenal Tivat
🔄
83'
P. Bogdanovic ↔ E. Redzepagic
Jezero
🔄
90+3'
M. Cukovic ↔ N. Bojanic
Arsenal Tivat
🔄
90+3'
I. Vukcevic ↔ N. Gluscevic
Arsenal Tivat

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 93.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 41.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 41.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
93.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
41.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
41.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Jezero Win 42.9%
Draw 6.8%
Arsenal Tivat Win 50.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Jezero1.17
Arsenal Tivat1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Jezero Jezero
WWDLW
36 GF / 39 GA
Arsenal Tivat Arsenal Tivat
WLDWL
32 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.16
Average Goals Scored
1.03
1.26
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
18
BTTS Yes
12
14
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Jezero Jezero 31 matches
Arsenal Tivat Arsenal Tivat 31 matches
Jezero Statistic Arsenal Tivat
10 Wins 11
9 Draws 8
12 Losses 12
36 Goals For 32
39 Goals Against 37
1.16 Avg Goals Scored 1.03
1.26 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
18 BTTS Yes 12
24 Over 1.5 19
14 Over 2.5 11
6 Over 3.5 7
7 Clean Sheets 11
6 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Arsenal Tivat look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Arsenal Tivat having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Arsenal Tivat.

Jezero Analysis

Jezero are currently 7 in the standings with 39 points from 31 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 9 draws, and 12 losses, while the 36:39 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on D. Maksimovic (13 goals), M. Raicevic (8 goals), O. Rolovic (5 goals), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Arsenal Tivat Analysis

Arsenal Tivat are currently 6 in the standings with 41 points from 31 matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 8 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 32:37 reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Bosnjak (5 goals), P. Raznatovic (4 goals), A. Cetkovic (3 goals), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses fits a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Jezero won 7 times, Arsenal Tivat won 2 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:11 from Jezero's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.2%)
H2H summary: Jezero wins 7, draws 6, Arsenal Tivat wins 2

Lineups

Jezero
Formation
Arsenal Tivat
I. Asanovic
I. Asanovic
M. Ilic
M. Ilic
A. Adzovic
A. Adzovic
P. Bogdanovic
P. Bogdanovic
U. Bulatovic
U. Bulatovic
M. Gjolaj
M. Gjolaj
I. Tucevic
I. Tucevic
N. Jovicic
N. Jovicic
M. Bojovic
M. Bojovic
D. Maksimovic
D. Maksimovic
B. Boricic
B. Boricic
B. Zogovic
B. Zogovic
M. Cukovic
M. Cukovic
J. Nikolic
J. Nikolic
G. Petovic
G. Petovic
I. Sahman
I. Sahman
I. Vukcevic
I. Vukcevic
P. Malisic
P. Malisic
V. Kascelan
V. Kascelan
Z. Mikijelj
Z. Mikijelj
M. Zivanovic
M. Zivanovic
A. Cetkovic
A. Cetkovic
Jezero 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
50
I. Asanovic
4
M. Ilic
5
A. Adzovic
7
P. Bogdanovic
↓ 83'
8
U. Bulatovic
↓ 73' 🟨 28'
14
M. Gjolaj
17
I. Tucevic
27
N. Jovicic
🟨 45+1'
29
M. Bojovic
44
D. Maksimovic
↓ 73' 🟨 16'
80
B. Boricic
Substitutes
1
S. Kolic
3
M. Kojic
9
E. Redzepagic
↑ 83'
15
R. Markovic
16
I. Redzepagic
↑ 73'
19
O. Rolovic
↑ 73'
21
R. Redzic
25
S. Vucetovic
99
A. Julevic
Arsenal Tivat 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
B. Zogovic
2
M. Cukovic
↓ 90+3'
4
J. Nikolic
5
G. Petovic
🟨 45+1'
8
I. Sahman
9
I. Vukcevic
↓ 90+3' 🟨 80'
15
P. Malisic
🟨 52'
16
V. Kascelan
19
Z. Mikijelj
↓ 21'
26
M. Zivanovic
28
A. Cetkovic
Substitutes
31
L. Petkovic
3
M. Zivaljevic
11
J. Montenegro
↑ 21'
13
V. Shamarin
18
N. Bojanic
↑ 90+3'
21
N. Gluscevic
↑ 90+3'
22
P. Soskic
27
A. Kralj
Last matches: Jezero
03.06.26
Fir
Jezero
Iskra
5
1
W
29.05.26
Fir
Jezero
Iskra
3
0
W
24.05.26
Fir
Jezero
Mornar
0
2
L
20.05.26
Fir
Jezero
Jedinstvo
0
2
L
16.05.26
Fir
Jezero
Mladost DG
2
2
D
10.05.26
Fir
Jezero
Dečić
0
3
L
26.04.26
Fir
Jezero
Sutjeska
1
1
D
18.04.26
Fir
Jezero
Bokelj
2
0
W
12.04.26
Fir
Jezero
Petrovac
1
1
D
08.04.26
Fir
Jezero
Buducnost Podgorica
0
2
L
04.04.26
Fir
Jezero
Mornar
0
2
L
21.03.26
Fir
Jezero
Jedinstvo
0
1
L
15.03.26
Fir
Jezero
Mladost DG
1
3
L
11.03.26
Fir
Jezero
Dečić
1
2
L
07.03.26
Fir
Jezero
Arsenal Tivat
2
1
W
01.03.26
Fir
Jezero
Sutjeska
1
1
D
25.02.26
Fir
Jezero
Bokelj
1
1
D
21.02.26
Fir
Jezero
Petrovac
1
2
L
10.02.26
Fri
Jezero
Sutjeska
1
0
W
05.02.26
Fri
Jezero
Arsenal Tivat
3
1
W
Last matches: Arsenal Tivat
27.06.26
Fri
Arsenal Tivat
Buducnost Podgorica
1
4
L
24.05.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
1
4
L
20.05.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
2
1
W
16.05.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Bokelj
0
3
L
09.05.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
1
1
D
26.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Petrovac
3
1
W
18.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Buducnost Podgorica
2
0
W
12.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Mornar
0
1
L
08.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Jedinstvo
2
0
W
04.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
2
1
W
21.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
0
1
L
15.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Bokelj
1
0
W
11.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
1
4
L
07.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Jezero
1
2
L
01.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Petrovac
0
1
L
25.02.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Buducnost Podgorica
1
0
W
21.02.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Mornar
2
1
W
05.02.26
Fri
Arsenal Tivat
Jezero
1
3
L
24.01.26
Fri
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
0
3
L
10.12.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Jedinstvo
0
0
D
H2H: Jezero vs Arsenal Tivat
02.05.26
H2H
Jezero
Arsenal Tivat
0
0
D
07.03.26
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Jezero
1
2
W
05.02.26
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Jezero
1
3
W
02.11.25
H2H
Jezero
Arsenal Tivat
2
0
W
30.08.25
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Jezero
2
2
D
24.05.25
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Jezero
0
0
D
02.04.25
H2H
Jezero
Arsenal Tivat
2
0
W
01.12.24
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Jezero
0
1
W
28.09.24
H2H
Jezero
Arsenal Tivat
0
0
D
07.04.24
H2H
Jezero
Arsenal Tivat
4
0
W
17.02.24
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Jezero
3
1
L
01.10.23
H2H
Jezero
Arsenal Tivat
1
1
D
30.08.23
H2H
Jezero
Arsenal Tivat
1
0
W
30.07.23
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Jezero
2
2
D
15.04.23
H2H
Arsenal Tivat
Jezero
1
0
L
Last matches: Jezero
29.05.26
Fir
Jezero
Iskra
3
0
W
24.05.26
Fir
Jezero
Mornar
0
2
L
16.05.26
Fir
Jezero
Mladost DG
2
2
D
12.04.26
Fir
Jezero
Petrovac
1
1
D
21.03.26
Fir
Jezero
Jedinstvo
0
1
L
11.03.26
Fir
Jezero
Dečić
1
2
L
01.03.26
Fir
Jezero
Sutjeska
1
1
D
25.02.26
Fir
Jezero
Bokelj
1
1
D
10.12.25
Fir
Jezero
Buducnost Podgorica
1
0
W
06.12.25
Fir
Jezero
Mornar
2
1
W
22.11.25
Fir
Jezero
Mladost DG
1
0
W
02.11.25
Fir
Jezero
Arsenal Tivat
2
0
W
05.10.25
Fir
Jezero
Petrovac
1
3
L
21.09.25
Fir
Jezero
Jedinstvo
1
2
L
13.09.25
Fir
Jezero
Dečić
4
0
W
24.08.25
Fir
Jezero
Sutjeska
2
1
W
17.08.25
Fir
Jezero
Bokelj
2
2
D
04.08.25
Fir
Jezero
Buducnost Podgorica
1
2
L
H2H at home: Jezero
02.05.26
H2H
Jezero
Arsenal Tivat
0
0
D
02.11.25
H2H
Jezero
Arsenal Tivat
2
0
W
02.04.25
H2H
Jezero
Arsenal Tivat
2
0
W
28.09.24
H2H
Jezero
Arsenal Tivat
0
0
D
07.04.24
H2H
Jezero
Arsenal Tivat
4
0
W
01.10.23
H2H
Jezero
Arsenal Tivat
1
1
D
30.08.23
H2H
Jezero
Arsenal Tivat
1
0
W
Last matches: Arsenal Tivat
27.06.26
Fri
Arsenal Tivat
Buducnost Podgorica
1
4
L
20.05.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
2
1
W
16.05.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Bokelj
0
3
L
18.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Buducnost Podgorica
2
0
W
08.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Jedinstvo
2
0
W
04.04.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
2
1
W
11.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
1
4
L
01.03.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Petrovac
0
1
L
21.02.26
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Mornar
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
0
3
L
30.11.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Dečić
2
4
L
22.11.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Bokelj
0
2
L
02.11.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Jezero
0
2
L
18.10.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Buducnost Podgorica
2
4
L
01.10.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Jedinstvo
0
0
D
27.09.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Mladost DG
0
2
L
13.09.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Sutjeska
0
2
L
24.08.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Petrovac
0
0
D
10.08.25
Fir
Arsenal Tivat
Mornar
2
2
D
H2H away: Arsenal Tivat
02.05.26
H2H
Jezero
Arsenal Tivat
0
0
D
02.11.25
H2H
Jezero
Arsenal Tivat
2
0
L
02.04.25
H2H
Jezero
Arsenal Tivat
2
0
L
28.09.24
H2H
Jezero
Arsenal Tivat
0
0
D
07.04.24
H2H
Jezero
Arsenal Tivat
4
0
L
01.10.23
H2H
Jezero
Arsenal Tivat
1
1
D
30.08.23
H2H
Jezero
Arsenal Tivat
1
0
L

Standings

1. CFL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 22 6 8 61:36 25 72
L W W D W
2 36 20 9 7 51:29 22 69
W D D D W
3 36 13 12 11 44:36 8 51
D D W L D
4 36 14 9 13 43:45 -2 51
L L L W D
5 36 13 9 14 36:35 1 48
D W D D L
6 36 14 4 18 49:54 -5 46
W L D W W
7 36 12 10 14 36:46 -10 46
L W L D D
8 36 10 11 15 38:48 -10 41
W W L L D
9 36 8 12 16 38:48 -10 36
W D W L W
10 36 9 8 19 30:49 -19 35
W W L D L
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation