SWEDEN ETTAN - NORRA
17.09.2026 17:30
Jarfallavallen
Järfälla
Match Timeline
Karlberg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
A. Wurtz
Järfälla
🔄
46'
L. Sietsema ↔ N. Negash
Karlberg
🔄
46'
A. Fati ↔ F. Nieminen Eriksson
Karlberg
🟨
49'
E. Drugge
Järfälla
🔄
54'
A. Wurtz ↔ A. Abdulle
Järfälla
🟨
61'
C. F. Danha
Järfälla
🔄
62'
O. Ogestad ↔ C. Fox
Järfälla
🔄
63'
A. Khalil ↔ A. Sabery
Järfälla
67'
C. F. Danha
Järfälla
74'
C. F. Danha
Järfälla
🔄
75'
A. Sequar ↔ V. Hall
Karlberg
🔄
79'
H. Fernandez ↔ A. Backman
Karlberg
🔄
80'
D. Dibaga ↔ D. Markovski
Järfälla
🔄
80'
N. Akdemir ↔ K. Nisic
Järfälla
🟨
82'
Karlberg
Karlberg
🟨
82'
D. Markovski
Järfälla
90+2'
A. Sabery
Järfälla
90+4'
C. Fox
Järfälla

Järfälla vs Karlberg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 83.9%
Odds 1.85
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 2.38
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.51
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
83.9%
1.85
BTTS No
50.8%
2.38
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
1.51
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50
Correct Score 0-3
-
17.00
Probability Distribution
Järfälla Win 8%
Draw 8%
Karlberg Win 83.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Järfälla1.33
Karlberg2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Järfälla Järfälla
WWDLW
29 GF / 56 GA
Karlberg Karlberg
WLDWL
57 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.78
2.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
15
BTTS Yes
20
17
Over 2.5
22
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Järfälla Järfälla 24 matches
Karlberg Karlberg 32 matches
Järfälla Statistic Karlberg
4 Wins 15
4 Draws 5
16 Losses 12
29 Goals For 57
56 Goals Against 48
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.78
2.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
15 BTTS Yes 20
22 Over 1.5 27
17 Over 2.5 22
13 Over 3.5 14
2 Clean Sheets 8
7 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Karlberg. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Karlberg having the stronger overall control.

Järfälla Analysis

Järfälla sit 15 with 15 points after 20 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 13 defeats with a 23:44 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Karlberg Analysis

Karlberg approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 25 points from 20 matches. The overall return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats with a 28:31 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Järfälla won 2 times, Karlberg won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:11 from Järfälla's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (92%)
H2H summary: Järfälla wins 2, draws 1, Karlberg wins 2

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 16 3 4 55:19 36 51
W W W W W
2 23 13 4 6 41:30 11 43
L W W W W
3 22 12 6 4 46:18 28 42
D W L D D
4 23 11 6 6 35:23 12 39
D D L L D
5 22 11 6 5 36:25 11 39
W L L W W
6 23 11 6 6 36:32 4 39
D D W W W
7 23 12 3 8 37:38 -1 39
D W W W L
8 23 9 3 11 29:41 -12 30
W L W L D
9 22 8 5 9 37:39 -2 29
L L W W L
10 23 8 5 10 31:37 -6 29
W W L W W
11 23 8 4 11 29:38 -9 28
L L W L D
12 22 6 6 10 33:43 -10 24
D L L L W
13 23 5 9 9 21:31 -10 24
D L L W L
14 23 4 6 13 27:44 -17 18
W L L W L
15 23 5 3 15 30:50 -20 18
L W L L L
16 23 3 5 15 43:58 -15 14
L L W L L