SENEGAL LIGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
Stade de Diaraf

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 93.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 75.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 68.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
93.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
75.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
68.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Jaraaf Win 51.8%
Draw 6.5%
Casa Sport Win 41.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Jaraaf0.66
Casa Sport0.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
Jaraaf Jaraaf
WWDLW
19 GF / 16 GA
Casa Sport Casa Sport
WLDWL
28 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
0.68
Average Goals Scored
1
0.57
Average Goals Conceded
0.64
7
BTTS Yes
12
3
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Jaraaf Jaraaf 28 matches
Casa Sport Casa Sport 28 matches
Jaraaf Statistic Casa Sport
8 Wins 7
13 Draws 18
7 Losses 3
19 Goals For 28
16 Goals Against 18
0.68 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.57 Avg Goals Conceded 0.64
7 BTTS Yes 12
12 Over 1.5 16
3 Over 2.5 6
0 Over 3.5 3
14 Clean Sheets 14
15 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Casa Sport having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Casa Sport. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Jaraaf Analysis

Jaraaf are currently 8 in the standings with 37 points from 28 matches. The record of 8 wins, 13 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 19:16 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Casa Sport Analysis

Casa Sport sit 6 with 39 points after 28 league matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 18 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 28:18 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 12 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Jaraaf won 5 times, Casa Sport won 2 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:7 from Jaraaf's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.5%)
H2H summary: Jaraaf wins 5, draws 8, Casa Sport wins 2
Last matches: Jaraaf
04.06.26
Lig
Jaraaf
AS Camberene
2
0
W
17.05.26
Lig
Jaraaf
DSC
3
0
W
13.05.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Pikine
0
0
D
10.05.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Sonacos
0
0
D
02.05.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Génération Foot
0
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Jaraaf
La Linguère
1
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Gorée
0
0
D
11.04.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Guédiawaye
2
1
W
29.03.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Teungueth
0
1
L
25.03.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Stade de Mbour
2
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Wally Daan
0
1
L
08.03.26
Lig
Jaraaf
AJEL
0
1
L
01.03.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Ouakam
0
0
D
22.02.26
Lig
Jaraaf
HLM
0
0
D
15.02.26
Lig
Jaraaf
AS Camberene
1
1
D
08.02.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Casa Sport
1
1
D
01.02.26
Lig
Jaraaf
DSC
0
0
D
25.01.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Pikine
0
1
L
11.01.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Sonacos
0
0
D
08.01.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Génération Foot
1
1
D
Last matches: Casa Sport
04.06.26
Lig
Casa Sport
DSC
1
2
L
17.05.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Pikine
1
0
W
13.05.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Sonacos
3
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Génération Foot
1
2
L
03.05.26
Lig
Casa Sport
La Linguère
0
0
D
26.04.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Gorée
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Guédiawaye
1
1
D
12.04.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Teungueth
0
0
D
29.03.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Stade de Mbour
1
1
D
25.03.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Wally Daan
1
1
D
15.03.26
Lig
Casa Sport
AJEL
0
1
L
08.03.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Ouakam
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
Casa Sport
HLM
0
0
D
22.02.26
Lig
Casa Sport
AS Camberene
2
2
D
15.02.26
Lig
Casa Sport
DSC
1
1
D
08.02.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Jaraaf
1
1
D
01.02.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Pikine
1
1
D
25.01.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Sonacos
3
0
W
12.01.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Génération Foot
0
0
D
07.01.26
Lig
Casa Sport
La Linguère
3
2
W
H2H: Jaraaf vs Casa Sport
22.05.26
H2H
Jaraaf
Casa Sport
0
0
D
08.02.26
H2H
Casa Sport
Jaraaf
1
1
D
01.06.25
H2H
Casa Sport
Jaraaf
1
0
L
29.01.25
H2H
Jaraaf
Casa Sport
1
0
W
14.04.24
H2H
Jaraaf
Casa Sport
0
0
D
10.12.23
H2H
Casa Sport
Jaraaf
1
2
W
09.07.23
H2H
Jaraaf
Casa Sport
2
0
W
21.01.23
H2H
Jaraaf
Casa Sport
0
0
D
26.12.22
H2H
Casa Sport
Jaraaf
1
0
L
02.04.22
H2H
Jaraaf
Casa Sport
1
0
W
11.12.21
H2H
Casa Sport
Jaraaf
1
1
D
11.07.21
H2H
Jaraaf
Casa Sport
0
0
D
21.03.21
H2H
Casa Sport
Jaraaf
1
1
D
29.12.19
H2H
Jaraaf
Casa Sport
2
1
W
22.04.19
H2H
Jaraaf
Casa Sport
0
0
D
Last matches: Jaraaf
17.05.26
Lig
Jaraaf
DSC
3
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Sonacos
0
0
D
26.04.26
Lig
Jaraaf
La Linguère
1
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Guédiawaye
2
1
W
15.03.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Wally Daan
0
1
L
01.03.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Ouakam
0
0
D
15.02.26
Lig
Jaraaf
AS Camberene
1
1
D
25.01.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Pikine
0
1
L
08.01.26
Lig
Jaraaf
Génération Foot
1
1
D
21.12.25
Lig
Jaraaf
Gorée
2
0
W
06.12.25
Lig
Jaraaf
Teungueth
1
0
W
29.11.25
Lig
Jaraaf
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
16.11.25
Lig
Jaraaf
AJEL
0
2
L
02.11.25
Lig
Jaraaf
HLM
1
1
D
H2H at home: Jaraaf
22.05.26
H2H
Jaraaf
Casa Sport
0
0
D
29.01.25
H2H
Jaraaf
Casa Sport
1
0
W
14.04.24
H2H
Jaraaf
Casa Sport
0
0
D
09.07.23
H2H
Jaraaf
Casa Sport
2
0
W
21.01.23
H2H
Jaraaf
Casa Sport
0
0
D
02.04.22
H2H
Jaraaf
Casa Sport
1
0
W
11.07.21
H2H
Jaraaf
Casa Sport
0
0
D
29.12.19
H2H
Jaraaf
Casa Sport
2
1
W
22.04.19
H2H
Jaraaf
Casa Sport
0
0
D
Last matches: Casa Sport
13.05.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Sonacos
3
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Casa Sport
La Linguère
0
0
D
12.04.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Teungueth
0
0
D
25.03.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Wally Daan
1
1
D
08.03.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Ouakam
0
0
D
22.02.26
Lig
Casa Sport
AS Camberene
2
2
D
15.02.26
Lig
Casa Sport
DSC
1
1
D
01.02.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Pikine
1
1
D
12.01.26
Lig
Casa Sport
Génération Foot
0
0
D
28.12.25
Lig
Casa Sport
Gorée
1
1
D
21.12.25
Lig
Casa Sport
Guédiawaye
0
2
L
07.12.25
Lig
Casa Sport
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
22.11.25
Lig
Casa Sport
AJEL
1
1
D
09.11.25
Lig
Casa Sport
HLM
1
1
D
H2H away: Casa Sport
22.05.26
H2H
Jaraaf
Casa Sport
0
0
D
29.01.25
H2H
Jaraaf
Casa Sport
1
0
L
14.04.24
H2H
Jaraaf
Casa Sport
0
0
D
09.07.23
H2H
Jaraaf
Casa Sport
2
0
L
21.01.23
H2H
Jaraaf
Casa Sport
0
0
D
02.04.22
H2H
Jaraaf
Casa Sport
1
0
L
11.07.21
H2H
Jaraaf
Casa Sport
0
0
D
29.12.19
H2H
Jaraaf
Casa Sport
2
1
L
22.04.19
H2H
Jaraaf
Casa Sport
0
0
D

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 13 15 2 21:6 15 54
?
2 30 15 9 6 27:19 8 54
?
3 30 13 9 8 37:22 15 48
?
4 30 11 15 4 29:14 15 48
?
5 30 10 14 6 29:24 5 44
?
6 30 8 18 4 23:16 7 42
?
7 30 9 14 7 21:16 5 41
?
8 30 7 19 4 29:20 9 40
?
9 30 7 13 10 20:19 1 34
?
10 30 5 18 7 18:21 -3 33
?
11 30 5 18 7 18:24 -6 33
?
12 30 5 16 9 24:37 -13 31
?
13 30 7 8 15 29:34 -5 28
?
14 30 3 16 11 22:36 -14 25
?
15 30 4 13 13 18:39 -21 25
?
16 30 3 15 12 16:34 -18 24
?
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation