FINLAND YKKöSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: J. Nieminen
JäPS
Match Timeline
SJK Akatemia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
57'
J. Kekarainen ↔ O. Pihlaja
SJK Akatemia
🔄
57'
E. Hautamaki ↔ A. Muchipay
SJK Akatemia
🔄
57'
D. Bulgakov ↔ A. Piiroinen
SJK Akatemia
🔄
65'
Mani ↔ P. Padera
SJK Akatemia
🔄
69'
E. Pallas ↔ C. Katashira
JäPS
🔄
69'
V. Ahola ↔ H. Kuosa
JäPS
🔄
69'
I. Soderlund ↔ O. Dahlfors
JäPS
74'
O. Dahlfors · Assist: C. Katashira
JäPS
🔄
74'
R. Selander ↔ V. Ketonen
JäPS
🔄
75'
T. Kangaskokko ↔ L. Ouma
SJK Akatemia
🔄
78'
H. Olander ↔ S. Maliki
JäPS
🟨
89'
H. Kuosa
JäPS
🟨
90+3'
O. Raiski
SJK Akatemia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.9%
Odds 1.94
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds 2.20
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 1.68
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.9%
1.94
BTTS No
56%
2.20
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
1.68
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.00
Correct Score 3-0
-
17.00
Probability Distribution
JäPS Win 65.9%
Draw 15.1%
SJK Akatemia Win 19.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
JäPS1.15
SJK Akatemia0.79
Recent Form (Last 5)
JäPS JäPS
WWDLW
16 GF / 24 GA
SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia
WLDWL
5 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
0.94
Average Goals Scored
0.38
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
5
BTTS Yes
3
8
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

JäPS JäPS 17 matches
SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 13 matches
JäPS Statistic SJK Akatemia
8 Wins 1
1 Draws 3
8 Losses 9
16 Goals For 5
24 Goals Against 19
0.94 Avg Goals Scored 0.38
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46
5 BTTS Yes 3
11 Over 1.5 7
8 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 2
6 Clean Sheets 2
7 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward SJK Akatemia having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward SJK Akatemia. JäPS arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 16 points compared to SJK Akatemia in 9 on 6, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

JäPS Analysis

With 16 points from 11 games and a place of 5, JäPS still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 10:16 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on C. Katashira (2 goals), E. Pallas (2 goals), H. Olander (1 goals), with creative support from E. Pallas (1 assists), H. Olander (1 assists), O. Dahlfors (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

SJK Akatemia Analysis

SJK Akatemia approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 6 points from 11 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats with a 4:14 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on E. Ingman (2 goals), L. Ouma (1 goals), L. Vesterbacka (1 goals), with creative support from A. Machaal (1 assists), A. Piiroinen (1 assists), N. Garang (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, JäPS won 4 times, SJK Akatemia won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:20 from JäPS's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.08 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85%)
H2H summary: JäPS wins 4, draws 4, SJK Akatemia wins 4

Lineups

JäPS
Formation
SJK Akatemia
B. Mustafa
B. Mustafa
J. Nikki
J. Nikki
O. Jama
O. Jama
A. Ristola
A. Ristola
V. Ahola
V. Ahola
E. Pallas
E. Pallas
A. Sainio
A. Sainio
R. Selander
R. Selander
H. Olander
H. Olander
I. Soderlund
I. Soderlund
J. Salo
J. Salo
S. James
S. James
O. Raiski
O. Raiski
E. Lehto
E. Lehto
E. Hautamaki
E. Hautamaki
E. Salmivuori
E. Salmivuori
L. Vesterbacka
L. Vesterbacka
T. Kangaskokko
T. Kangaskokko
T. Tollinen
T. Tollinen
J. Kekarainen
J. Kekarainen
D. Bulgakov
D. Bulgakov
Mani
Mani
JäPS 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
77
B. Mustafa
4
J. Nikki
6
O. Jama
9
A. Ristola
10
V. Ahola
↓ 69'
11
E. Pallas
↓ 69'
13
A. Sainio
14
R. Selander
↓ 74'
20
H. Olander
↓ 78'
27
I. Soderlund
↓ 69'
41
J. Salo
Substitutes
36
T. Valtonen
2
N. Manner
7
S. Maliki
↑ 78'
8
R. Heidari
15
O. Dahlfors
⚽ 74' ↑ 69'
17
V. Ketonen
↑ 74'
19
H. Kuosa
↑ 69' 🟨 89'
21
C. Katashira
🎯 74' ↑ 69'
25
O. Valto
SJK Akatemia 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
60
S. James
3
O. Raiski
🟨 90+3'
5
E. Lehto
11
E. Hautamaki
↓ 57'
15
E. Salmivuori
18
L. Vesterbacka
22
T. Kangaskokko
↓ 75'
23
T. Tollinen
24
J. Kekarainen
↓ 57'
28
D. Bulgakov
↓ 57'
49
Mani
↓ 65'
Substitutes
25
N. Hasselman
2
T. Mustonen
4
O. Pihlaja
↑ 57'
7
A. Muchipay
↑ 57'
9
L. Ouma
↑ 75'
36
I. Kangasniemi
38
A. Piiroinen
↑ 57'
41
P. Padera
↑ 65'
39
Cauet Werner
Last matches: JäPS
28.06.26
Ykk
JäPS
KäPa
1
3
L
12.06.26
Ykk
JäPS
PK-35
0
5
L
05.06.26
Ykk
JäPS
Haka
2
1
W
29.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
KäPa
1
2
L
22.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
MP
0
2
L
16.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
Kooteepee
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
PK-35
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
EIF
3
0
W
21.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
Haka
0
5
L
10.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
Klubi-04
1
0
W
06.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
JIPPO
0
0
D
28.03.26
Fri
JäPS
TPV
1
0
W
24.03.26
Fri
JäPS
VJS
0
2
L
07.03.26
Fri
JäPS
Gnistan
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
JäPS
PK-35
2
1
W
17.01.26
Fri
JäPS
KäPa
0
1
L
Last matches: SJK Akatemia
26.06.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
Klubi-04
0
2
L
15.06.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
Haka
0
2
L
09.06.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
JIPPO
0
0
D
29.05.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
Kooteepee
0
1
L
22.05.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
Haka
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
EIF
0
3
L
09.05.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
JäPS
0
2
L
02.05.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
Klubi-04
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
JIPPO
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
PK-35
0
1
L
10.04.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
KäPa
2
2
D
06.04.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
MP
1
0
W
14.03.26
Fri
SJK Akatemia
Lahti
1
3
L
H2H: JäPS vs SJK Akatemia
03.07.26
H2H
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
1
0
W
09.05.26
H2H
SJK Akatemia
JäPS
0
2
W
28.09.25
H2H
SJK Akatemia
JäPS
1
1
D
19.07.25
H2H
SJK Akatemia
JäPS
4
1
L
25.05.25
H2H
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
2
2
D
20.09.24
H2H
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
2
1
W
02.06.24
H2H
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
1
1
D
13.04.24
H2H
SJK Akatemia
JäPS
2
1
L
19.08.23
H2H
SJK Akatemia
JäPS
2
0
L
07.06.23
H2H
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
1
3
L
06.08.22
H2H
SJK Akatemia
JäPS
3
4
W
03.06.22
H2H
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
1
1
D
Last matches: JäPS
12.06.26
Ykk
JäPS
PK-35
0
5
L
22.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
MP
0
2
L
16.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
Kooteepee
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
PK-35
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
EIF
3
0
W
10.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
Klubi-04
1
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
JäPS
TPV
1
0
W
24.03.26
Fri
JäPS
VJS
0
2
L
07.03.26
Fri
JäPS
Gnistan
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
JäPS
PK-35
2
1
W
17.01.26
Fri
JäPS
KäPa
0
1
L
H2H at home: JäPS
03.07.26
H2H
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
1
0
W
25.05.25
H2H
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
2
2
D
20.09.24
H2H
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
2
1
W
02.06.24
H2H
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
1
1
D
07.06.23
H2H
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
1
3
L
03.06.22
H2H
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
1
1
D
Last matches: SJK Akatemia
26.06.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
Klubi-04
0
2
L
29.05.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
Kooteepee
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
EIF
0
3
L
02.05.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
Klubi-04
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
JIPPO
0
1
L
10.04.26
Ykk
SJK Akatemia
KäPa
2
2
D
14.03.26
Fri
SJK Akatemia
Lahti
1
3
L
H2H away: SJK Akatemia
03.07.26
H2H
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
1
0
L
25.05.25
H2H
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
2
2
D
20.09.24
H2H
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
2
1
L
02.06.24
H2H
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
1
1
D
07.06.23
H2H
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
1
3
W
03.06.22
H2H
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
1
1
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.56
Draw 3.67
Home 1.94
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.04
Draw 2.38
Home 2.47
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.20
Over 2.25 1.49
Over 2.5 1.68
Over 2.75 1.85
Over 3.0 2.13
Over 3.25 2.41
Over 3.5 2.68
Over 4.5 4.84
Under 1.5 4.37
Under 2.25 2.59
Under 2.5 2.17
Under 2.75 1.94
Under 3.0 1.70
Under 3.25 1.55
Under 3.5 1.45
Under 4.5 1.17
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 3.50
Home 1.85
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.38
Home 2.40
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 2.62
Home 2.20
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.5 1.20
Over 2.5 1.67
Over 3.5 2.62
Over 4.5 5.00
Over 5.5 10.00
Over 6.5 21.00
Over 7.5 41.00
Under 0.5 15.00
Under 1.5 4.33
Under 2.5 2.15
Under 3.5 1.44
Under 4.5 1.17
Under 5.5 1.06
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.54
Draw 3.54
Home 1.87
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.12
Draw 2.23
Home 2.41
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.66
Draw 2.66
Home 2.19
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.25 1.07
Over 1.5 1.15
Over 1.75 1.18
Over 2.0 1.23
Over 2.25 1.43
Over 2.5 1.59
Over 2.75 1.74
Over 3.0 1.92
Over 3.25 2.17
Over 3.5 2.42
Over 3.75 2.83
Over 4.0 3.58
Over 4.25 3.96
Over 4.5 4.30
Over 4.75 5.34
Over 5.0 7.30
Over 5.5 8.00
Over 6.5 21.00
Over 7.5 41.00
Under 0.5 11.80
Under 1.0 8.70
Under 1.25 5.95
Under 1.5 4.30
Under 1.75 3.88
Under 2.0 3.42
Under 2.25 2.62
Under 2.5 2.21
Under 2.75 1.98
Under 3.0 1.71
Under 3.25 1.55
Under 3.5 1.44
Under 3.75 1.33
Under 4.0 1.21
Under 4.25 1.17
Under 4.5 1.15
Under 4.75 1.09
Under 5.0 1.03
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 3.35
Home 1.84
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.80
Draw 2.30
Home 2.38
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.45
Draw 2.70
Home 2.18
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.17
Over 2.5 1.61
Over 3.5 2.50
Over 4.5 4.35
Under 1.5 4.10
Under 2.5 2.08
Under 3.5 1.42
Under 4.5 1.15

Standings

Ykkösliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 9 2 2 21:13 8 29
D W W L W
2 13 8 3 2 21:7 14 27
W W W D W
3 13 6 3 4 21:14 7 21
L L W W L
4 13 5 6 2 17:10 7 21
D D W D L
5
JäPS Home
13 6 1 6 12:19 -7 19
W L L W L
6 13 5 1 7 12:15 -3 16
W L D L W
7 13 5 1 7 20:26 -6 16
L D L W L
8 12 4 3 5 14:17 -3 15
W L L W L
9 12 1 5 6 10:14 -4 8
W D D L L
10 13 1 3 9 4:17 -13 6
L L L D L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Promotion)
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen