FINLAND YKKöSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
FT
1 - 0
Referee: J. Vuorinen
JäPS
Match Timeline
MP
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
45'
R. Selander
JäPS
🔄
46'
E. Ylonen ↔ R. Kawale
MP
🔄
46'
S. Stenius ↔ M. Kastrati
MP
🔄
60'
V. Ahola ↔ A. Ristola
JäPS
🔄
60'
E. Pallas ↔ H. Kuosa
JäPS
🟨
65'
R. Selander
JäPS
🔄
67'
O. Dahlfors ↔ H. Hahl
JäPS
🔄
70'
T. Afshari ↔ S. Atakayi
MP
🔄
74'
A. Tervaniemi ↔ S. Seppanen
MP
🔄
84'
P. Haikonen ↔ A. Sainio
JäPS

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 66.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
66.2%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
JäPS Win 42.5%
Draw 23.7%
MP Win 33.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
JäPS1.13
MP1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
JäPS JäPS
WWDLW
21 GF / 29 GA
MP MP
WLDWL
30 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
0.95
Average Goals Scored
1.3
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
1.39
6
BTTS Yes
13
9
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

JäPS JäPS 22 matches
MP MP 23 matches
JäPS Statistic MP
11 Wins 9
1 Draws 4
10 Losses 10
21 Goals For 30
29 Goals Against 32
0.95 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.39
6 BTTS Yes 13
13 Over 1.5 16
9 Over 2.5 11
4 Over 3.5 7
9 Clean Sheets 4
8 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward MP having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward MP. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

JäPS Analysis

JäPS approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 25 points after 17 outings. They have recorded 8 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses, with a 16:24 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.

MP Analysis

MP are currently 6 in the standings with 21 points from 17 matches. The record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 19:23 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses fits a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, JäPS won 6 times, MP won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:19 from JäPS's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.3%)
H2H summary: JäPS wins 6, draws 5, MP wins 4

Lineups

JäPS
Formation
MP
B. Mustafa
B. Mustafa
P. Haikonen
P. Haikonen
J. Nikki
J. Nikki
O. Jama
O. Jama
V. Ahola
V. Ahola
E. Pallas
E. Pallas
R. Selander
R. Selander
O. Dahlfors
O. Dahlfors
V. Ketonen
V. Ketonen
H. Olander
H. Olander
J. Salo
J. Salo
J. Uronen
J. Uronen
V. Laiho
V. Laiho
T. Afshari
T. Afshari
A. Chishima
A. Chishima
E. Ylonen
E. Ylonen
S. Stenius
S. Stenius
S. Obioha
S. Obioha
V. Janhunen
V. Janhunen
A. Tervaniemi
A. Tervaniemi
A. Ring
A. Ring
A. Traore
A. Traore
JäPS 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
77
B. Mustafa
3
P. Haikonen
↓ 84'
4
J. Nikki
6
O. Jama
10
V. Ahola
↓ 60'
11
E. Pallas
↓ 60'
14
R. Selander
⚽ 45' 🟨 65'
15
O. Dahlfors
↓ 67'
17
V. Ketonen
20
H. Olander
41
J. Salo
Substitutes
36
T. Valtonen
2
N. Manner
8
R. Heidari
9
A. Ristola
↑ 60'
13
A. Sainio
↑ 84'
18
J. Virtanen
19
H. Kuosa
↑ 60'
22
G. Taskos
23
H. Hahl
↑ 67'
MP 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
22
J. Uronen
4
V. Laiho
6
T. Afshari
↓ 70'
7
A. Chishima
10
E. Ylonen
↓ 46'
15
S. Stenius
↓ 46'
16
S. Obioha
19
V. Janhunen
28
A. Tervaniemi
↓ 74'
42
A. Ring
97
A. Traore
Substitutes
1
S. Wilson
2
S. Sarkka
8
M. Koivuniemi
17
S. Seppanen
↑ 74'
24
R. Kawale
↑ 46'
45
S. Atakayi
↑ 70'
87
M. Kastrati
↑ 46'
Last matches: JäPS
14.08.26
Ykk
JäPS
Haka
1
2
L
30.07.26
Ykk
JäPS
JIPPO
0
1
L
25.07.26
Ykk
JäPS
Klubi-04
2
0
W
18.07.26
Ykk
JäPS
EIF
1
0
W
10.07.26
Ykk
JäPS
Kooteepee
1
4
L
03.07.26
Ykk
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
1
0
W
28.06.26
Ykk
JäPS
KäPa
1
3
L
12.06.26
Ykk
JäPS
PK-35
0
5
L
05.06.26
Ykk
JäPS
Haka
2
1
W
29.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
KäPa
1
2
L
22.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
MP
0
2
L
16.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
Kooteepee
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
PK-35
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
EIF
3
0
W
21.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
Haka
0
5
L
10.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
Klubi-04
1
0
W
06.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
JIPPO
0
0
D
28.03.26
Fri
JäPS
TPV
1
0
W
24.03.26
Fri
JäPS
VJS
0
2
L
Last matches: MP
16.08.26
Ykk
MP
EIF
0
2
L
29.07.26
Ykk
MP
KäPa
2
1
W
25.07.26
Ykk
MP
Kooteepee
3
3
D
15.07.26
Ykk
MP
JIPPO
1
3
L
11.07.26
Ykk
MP
SJK Akatemia
1
1
D
05.07.26
Ykk
MP
Haka
2
1
W
26.06.26
Ykk
MP
PK-35
1
2
L
14.06.26
Ykk
MP
Klubi-04
2
2
D
06.06.26
Ykk
MP
EIF
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ykk
MP
EIF
1
0
W
22.05.26
Ykk
MP
JäPS
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ykk
MP
JIPPO
1
3
L
07.05.26
Ykk
MP
PK-35
1
3
L
02.05.26
Ykk
MP
Haka
1
0
W
24.04.26
Ykk
MP
Klubi-04
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ykk
MP
KäPa
0
1
L
10.04.26
Ykk
MP
Kooteepee
0
1
L
06.04.26
Ykk
MP
SJK Akatemia
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
MP
JJK
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
MP
Ilves
0
2
L
H2H: JäPS vs MP
07.08.26
H2H
JäPS
MP
1
0
W
22.05.26
H2H
JäPS
MP
0
2
L
21.02.26
H2H
MP
JäPS
1
1
D
30.08.24
H2H
JäPS
MP
4
0
W
17.07.24
H2H
JäPS
MP
1
1
D
19.05.24
H2H
MP
JäPS
0
3
W
09.03.24
H2H
JäPS
MP
4
1
W
14.07.23
H2H
MP
JäPS
0
2
W
06.05.23
H2H
JäPS
MP
1
3
L
11.02.23
H2H
JäPS
MP
3
0
W
03.09.22
H2H
MP
JäPS
2
0
L
22.06.22
H2H
JäPS
MP
1
4
L
31.08.19
H2H
JäPS
MP
2
2
D
16.06.19
H2H
MP
JäPS
2
2
D
05.08.18
H2H
MP
JäPS
1
1
D
Last matches: JäPS
14.08.26
Ykk
JäPS
Haka
1
2
L
25.07.26
Ykk
JäPS
Klubi-04
2
0
W
03.07.26
Ykk
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
1
0
W
12.06.26
Ykk
JäPS
PK-35
0
5
L
22.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
MP
0
2
L
16.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
Kooteepee
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
PK-35
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
EIF
3
0
W
10.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
Klubi-04
1
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
JäPS
TPV
1
0
W
24.03.26
Fri
JäPS
VJS
0
2
L
07.03.26
Fri
JäPS
Gnistan
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
JäPS
PK-35
2
1
W
17.01.26
Fri
JäPS
KäPa
0
1
L
H2H at home: JäPS
07.08.26
H2H
JäPS
MP
1
0
W
22.05.26
H2H
JäPS
MP
0
2
L
30.08.24
H2H
JäPS
MP
4
0
W
17.07.24
H2H
JäPS
MP
1
1
D
09.03.24
H2H
JäPS
MP
4
1
W
06.05.23
H2H
JäPS
MP
1
3
L
11.02.23
H2H
JäPS
MP
3
0
W
22.06.22
H2H
JäPS
MP
1
4
L
31.08.19
H2H
JäPS
MP
2
2
D
Last matches: MP
15.07.26
Ykk
MP
JIPPO
1
3
L
11.07.26
Ykk
MP
SJK Akatemia
1
1
D
26.06.26
Ykk
MP
PK-35
1
2
L
06.06.26
Ykk
MP
EIF
0
1
L
22.05.26
Ykk
MP
JäPS
2
0
W
07.05.26
Ykk
MP
PK-35
1
3
L
24.04.26
Ykk
MP
Klubi-04
1
0
W
10.04.26
Ykk
MP
Kooteepee
0
1
L
06.04.26
Ykk
MP
SJK Akatemia
0
1
L
27.03.26
Fri
MP
Ilves
0
2
L
13.03.26
Fri
MP
PK-35
0
2
L
H2H away: MP
07.08.26
H2H
JäPS
MP
1
0
L
22.05.26
H2H
JäPS
MP
0
2
W
30.08.24
H2H
JäPS
MP
4
0
L
17.07.24
H2H
JäPS
MP
1
1
D
09.03.24
H2H
JäPS
MP
4
1
L
06.05.23
H2H
JäPS
MP
1
3
W
11.02.23
H2H
JäPS
MP
3
0
L
22.06.22
H2H
JäPS
MP
1
4
W
31.08.19
H2H
JäPS
MP
2
2
D

Standings

Ykkösliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 3 3 33:20 13 42
W W W D L
2 19 11 5 3 31:14 17 38
D W L D W
3 19 11 4 4 38:20 18 37
W W W W D
4 19 8 7 4 24:16 8 31
L L W D W
5
JäPS Home
19 9 1 9 18:26 -8 28
L W L W W
6 19 8 2 9 26:30 -4 26
W W W D L
7
MP Away
19 6 3 10 19:26 -7 21
L L W D L
8 19 4 4 11 20:32 -12 16
L L L L L
9 19 2 7 10 15:24 -9 13
D L L L W
10 19 2 6 11 9:25 -16 12
W L L D D
Promotion - Veikkausliiga
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Promotion)
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen