FINLAND YKKöSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: M. Haapakoski
JäPS
Match Timeline
Klubi-04
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
H. Kuosa · Assist: O. Dahlfors
JäPS
🟨
43'
V. Ketonen
JäPS
🟨
56'
E. Levealahti
Klubi-04
🔄
58'
R. Barrett ↔ A. Berisha
Klubi-04
🔄
60'
H. Kuosa ↔ E. Pallas
JäPS
🔄
68'
A. Le Goff-Conan ↔ Q. Adetola
Klubi-04
🔄
68'
A. Haikala ↔ V. Konttas
Klubi-04
🔄
76'
R. Hudd ↔ N. Siren
Klubi-04
🔄
76'
I. Nyback ↔ A. Zaitra
Klubi-04
🔄
76'
A. Ristola ↔ H. Hahl
JäPS
🔄
82'
O. Dahlfors ↔ V. Ahola
JäPS
84'
C. Katashira
JäPS
🟨
90'
Q. Adetola
Klubi-04

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 67%
Odds 1.36
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.66
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
67%
1.36
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.66
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.49
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.40
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
JäPS Win 45.3%
Draw 21.7%
Klubi-04 Win 33%
Expected Goals (xG)
JäPS1.1
Klubi-041.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
JäPS JäPS
WWDLW
19 GF / 28 GA
Klubi-04 Klubi-04
WLDWL
18 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
0.95
Average Goals Scored
1
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
6
BTTS Yes
11
9
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

JäPS JäPS 20 matches
Klubi-04 Klubi-04 18 matches
JäPS Statistic Klubi-04
10 Wins 2
1 Draws 7
9 Losses 9
19 Goals For 18
28 Goals Against 24
0.95 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
6 BTTS Yes 11
12 Over 1.5 14
9 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 3
8 Clean Sheets 2
7 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Klubi-04. JäPS have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Klubi-04 having the stronger overall control. JäPS arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 19 points compared to Klubi-04 in 9 on 9, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

JäPS Analysis

JäPS sit 5 with 19 points after 14 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 7 defeats with a 13:23 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Klubi-04 Analysis

Klubi-04 sit 9 with 9 points after 14 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, while the 12:18 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, JäPS won 5 times, Klubi-04 won 8 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:25 from JäPS's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.57 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.3%)
H2H summary: JäPS wins 5, draws 1, Klubi-04 wins 8

Lineups

JäPS
Formation
Klubi-04
B. Mustafa
B. Mustafa
A. Sainio
A. Sainio
A. Ristola
A. Ristola
H. Ölander
H. Ölander
J. Nikki
J. Nikki
H. Kuosa
H. Kuosa
V. Ketonen
V. Ketonen
C. Katashira
C. Katashira
O. Jama
O. Jama
J. Salo
J. Salo
M. Haapanen
M. Haapanen
R. Barrett
R. Barrett
R. Hudd
R. Hudd
J. Kari
J. Kari
N. Kroupkin
N. Kroupkin
A. Le Goff-Conan
A. Le Goff-Conan
I. Nyback
I. Nyback
JäPS 4-3-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
77
B. Mustafa
G
13
A. Sainio
D
9
A. Ristola
F
20
H. Ölander
D
4
J. Nikki
D
19
H. Kuosa
M
17
V. Ketonen
🟨 43'
M
21
C. Katashira
F
6
O. Jama
M
41
J. Salo
D
Substitutes
10
Ville Ahola
M
3
P. Haikonen
D
8
R. Heidari
M
7
Salomon Maliki
M
2
N. Manner
D
11
E. Pallas
↑ 60'
M
36
T. Valtonen
G
Klubi-04 3-1-1 (estimated)
Starting XI
57
R. Barrett
↓ 58'
M
91
R. Hudd
↓ 76'
F
53
J. Kari
D
87
N. Kroupkin
63
A. Le Goff-Conan
↓ 68'
D
58
I. Nyback
↓ 76'
D
89
M. Haapanen
G
Substitutes
79
J. Tanska
G
49
N. Siren
↑ 76'
F
74
R. Mihhalevski
M
72
A. Berisha
F
Last matches: JäPS
30.07.26
Ykk
JäPS
JIPPO
0
1
L
18.07.26
Ykk
JäPS
EIF
1
0
W
10.07.26
Ykk
JäPS
Kooteepee
1
4
L
03.07.26
Ykk
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
1
0
W
28.06.26
Ykk
JäPS
KäPa
1
3
L
12.06.26
Ykk
JäPS
PK-35
0
5
L
05.06.26
Ykk
JäPS
Haka
2
1
W
29.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
KäPa
1
2
L
22.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
MP
0
2
L
16.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
Kooteepee
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
PK-35
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
EIF
3
0
W
21.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
Haka
0
5
L
10.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
Klubi-04
1
0
W
06.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
JIPPO
0
0
D
28.03.26
Fri
JäPS
TPV
1
0
W
24.03.26
Fri
JäPS
VJS
0
2
L
07.03.26
Fri
JäPS
Gnistan
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
JäPS
PK-35
2
1
W
Last matches: Klubi-04
21.07.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
KäPa
2
0
W
17.07.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
Haka
2
2
D
11.07.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
JIPPO
0
2
L
26.06.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
SJK Akatemia
2
0
W
14.06.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
MP
2
2
D
31.05.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
PK-35
1
1
D
27.05.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
PK-35
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
Kooteepee
0
1
L
18.05.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
Haka
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
JIPPO
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
SJK Akatemia
1
1
D
24.04.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
MP
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
EIF
1
2
L
10.04.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
JäPS
0
1
L
06.04.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
KäPa
1
2
L
20.03.26
Fri
Klubi-04
PK-35
2
2
D
14.03.26
Fri
Klubi-04
EIF
1
2
L
07.03.26
Fri
Klubi-04
VJS
1
2
L
H2H: JäPS vs Klubi-04
25.07.26
H2H
JäPS
Klubi-04
2
0
W
10.04.26
H2H
JäPS
Klubi-04
1
0
W
28.02.26
H2H
JäPS
Klubi-04
4
0
W
04.10.25
H2H
Klubi-04
JäPS
2
1
L
13.06.25
H2H
JäPS
Klubi-04
2
0
W
23.04.25
H2H
Klubi-04
JäPS
4
6
W
09.02.25
H2H
Klubi-04
JäPS
3
2
L
03.02.24
H2H
JäPS
Klubi-04
1
4
L
02.04.23
H2H
Klubi-04
JäPS
1
0
L
02.04.23
H2H
JäPS
Klubi-04
0
1
L
28.09.19
H2H
JäPS
Klubi-04
3
5
L
01.07.19
H2H
Klubi-04
JäPS
2
2
D
24.09.17
H2H
Klubi-04
JäPS
1
0
L
28.06.17
H2H
JäPS
Klubi-04
1
2
L
Last matches: JäPS
03.07.26
Ykk
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
1
0
W
12.06.26
Ykk
JäPS
PK-35
0
5
L
22.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
MP
0
2
L
16.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
Kooteepee
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ykk
JäPS
PK-35
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
EIF
3
0
W
10.04.26
Ykk
JäPS
Klubi-04
1
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
JäPS
TPV
1
0
W
24.03.26
Fri
JäPS
VJS
0
2
L
07.03.26
Fri
JäPS
Gnistan
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
JäPS
PK-35
2
1
W
17.01.26
Fri
JäPS
KäPa
0
1
L
H2H at home: JäPS
25.07.26
H2H
JäPS
Klubi-04
2
0
W
10.04.26
H2H
JäPS
Klubi-04
1
0
W
28.02.26
H2H
JäPS
Klubi-04
4
0
W
13.06.25
H2H
JäPS
Klubi-04
2
0
W
03.02.24
H2H
JäPS
Klubi-04
1
4
L
02.04.23
H2H
JäPS
Klubi-04
0
1
L
28.09.19
H2H
JäPS
Klubi-04
3
5
L
28.06.17
H2H
JäPS
Klubi-04
1
2
L
Last matches: Klubi-04
21.07.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
KäPa
2
0
W
14.06.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
MP
2
2
D
31.05.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
PK-35
1
1
D
18.05.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
Haka
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
JIPPO
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
EIF
1
2
L
10.04.26
Ykk
Klubi-04
JäPS
0
1
L
14.03.26
Fri
Klubi-04
EIF
1
2
L
H2H away: Klubi-04
25.07.26
H2H
JäPS
Klubi-04
2
0
L
10.04.26
H2H
JäPS
Klubi-04
1
0
L
28.02.26
H2H
JäPS
Klubi-04
4
0
L
13.06.25
H2H
JäPS
Klubi-04
2
0
L
03.02.24
H2H
JäPS
Klubi-04
1
4
W
02.04.23
H2H
JäPS
Klubi-04
0
1
W
28.09.19
H2H
JäPS
Klubi-04
3
5
W
28.06.17
H2H
JäPS
Klubi-04
1
2
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.08
Draw 3.61
Home 2.15
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.59
Draw 2.38
Home 2.68
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.20
Over 2.25 1.47
Over 2.5 1.66
Over 2.75 1.83
Over 3.0 2.07
Over 3.25 2.34
Over 3.5 2.59
Over 4.5 4.57
Under 1.5 4.39
Under 2.25 2.63
Under 2.5 2.20
Under 2.75 1.98
Under 3.0 1.74
Under 3.25 1.58
Under 3.5 1.48
Under 4.5 1.18
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.90
Draw 3.40
Home 2.05
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.50
Draw 2.38
Home 2.75
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.10
Draw 2.62
Home 2.40
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.5 1.18
Over 2.5 1.62
Over 3.5 2.50
Over 4.5 4.33
Over 5.5 9.00
Over 6.5 19.00
Over 7.5 34.00
Under 0.5 15.00
Under 1.5 4.50
Under 2.5 2.25
Under 3.5 1.50
Under 4.5 1.20
Under 5.5 1.07
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.04
Draw 3.48
Home 2.07
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.66
Draw 2.24
Home 2.60
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.23
Draw 2.66
Home 2.38
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.25 1.07
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 1.75 1.18
Over 2.0 1.22
Over 2.25 1.41
Over 2.5 1.57
Over 2.75 1.66
Over 3.0 1.86
Over 3.25 2.15
Over 3.5 2.33
Over 3.75 2.70
Over 4.0 3.42
Over 4.25 3.72
Over 4.5 4.00
Over 4.75 4.94
Over 5.0 6.65
Over 5.5 7.20
Over 6.5 19.00
Over 7.5 34.00
Under 0.5 12.30
Under 1.0 9.10
Under 1.25 5.90
Under 1.5 4.33
Under 1.75 3.92
Under 2.0 3.50
Under 2.25 2.68
Under 2.5 2.25
Under 2.75 1.98
Under 3.0 1.76
Under 3.25 1.62
Under 3.5 1.48
Under 3.75 1.36
Under 4.0 1.23
Under 4.25 1.19
Under 4.5 1.17
Under 4.75 1.11
Under 5.0 1.05
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.35
Draw 3.50
Home 1.85
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.65
Draw 2.40
Home 2.32
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.16
Over 2.5 1.54
Over 3.5 2.35
Over 4.5 4.00
Under 1.5 4.20
Under 2.5 2.20
Under 3.5 1.47
Under 4.5 1.17

Standings

Ykkösliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 26:9 17 34
D W W W W
2 16 10 3 3 28:18 10 33
D L W D W
3 16 8 4 4 29:18 11 28
W D W L L
4 16 7 7 2 23:12 11 28
D W W D D
5
JäPS Home
16 8 1 7 16:23 -7 25
W W L W L
6 17 6 3 8 19:23 -4 21
W D L D W
7 16 5 2 9 21:30 -9 17
D L L L D
8 17 4 4 9 19:29 -10 16
L L L D L
9 16 2 6 8 14:20 -6 12
L W D L W
10 16 1 6 9 7:20 -13 9
D D D L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Promotion)
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen