FINLAND YKKöSLIIGA
28.08.2026 15:30
Referee: M. Al-Emara
JäPS
Match Timeline
KäPa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
55'
P. Haikonen
JäPS
🔄
60'
S. Puputti ↔ S. Savini
KäPa
🔄
66'
H. Kuosa ↔ J. Virtanen
JäPS
🔄
66'
A. Ristola ↔ E. Pallas
JäPS
🔄
69'
K. Isaksson ↔ N. Leinonen
KäPa
🟨
76'
A. Sainio
JäPS
🔄
79'
D. Ripatti ↔ E. Ahola
KäPa
🔄
80'
R. Huhtamaki ↔ O. Heinonen
KäPa
🔄
80'
S. Sillah ↔ T. Koivuranta
KäPa
🔄
81'
V. Ahola ↔ R. Heidari
JäPS
🟨
85'
C. Katashira
JäPS

JäPS vs KäPa Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.3%
Odds 1.96
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.70
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.3%
1.96
BTTS Yes
58.8%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.70
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.50
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.10
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
JäPS Win 79.3%
Draw 13.3%
KäPa Win 7.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
JäPS1.21
KäPa1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
JäPS JäPS
WWDLW
23 GF / 34 GA
KäPa KäPa
WLDWL
25 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
0.92
Average Goals Scored
1.09
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
1.65
7
BTTS Yes
14
11
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

JäPS JäPS 25 matches
KäPa KäPa 23 matches
JäPS Statistic KäPa
12 Wins 6
1 Draws 4
12 Losses 13
23 Goals For 25
34 Goals Against 38
0.92 Avg Goals Scored 1.09
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 1.65
7 BTTS Yes 14
15 Over 1.5 17
11 Over 2.5 15
4 Over 3.5 8
10 Clean Sheets 3
9 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. JäPS arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 28 points compared to KäPa in 8 on 16, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors KäPa. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward KäPa having the stronger overall control. KäPa arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

JäPS Analysis

JäPS approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 28 points after 19 outings. The return of 9 wins, 1 draws, and 9 defeats, together with goals at 18:26, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

KäPa Analysis

KäPa sit 8 with 16 points after 20 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 12 defeats with a 21:35 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, JäPS won 4 times, KäPa won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:34 from JäPS's perspective. 13 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 4.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (92.6%)
H2H summary: JäPS wins 4, draws 5, KäPa wins 6

Standings

Ykkösliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 17 3 3 41:21 20 54
W W W W W
2 23 14 6 3 41:15 26 48
W D W W D
3 23 12 5 6 43:26 17 41
D L L W W
4 23 11 7 5 32:20 12 40
W L W W L
5
JäPS Home
23 10 2 11 21:34 -13 32
L W D L L
6 23 8 4 11 28:35 -7 28
D D L L W
7 23 7 4 12 25:34 -9 25
D W L L L
8 23 4 8 11 28:34 -6 20
L D W W D
9
KäPa Away
23 4 6 13 24:41 -17 18
L D D L L
10 23 2 7 14 14:37 -23 13
D L L L W
Promotion - Veikkausliiga
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Promotion)
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen