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--.--.---- --:--
Japan
FT
1 - 0
Iceland
New National Stadium
Referee: D. Kos
Japan
Match Timeline
Iceland
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
14'
M. Yoshida ↔ H. Ito
Japan
🟨
33'
Kristian Hlynsson
Iceland
🔄
46'
J. Ito ↔ Y. Nagatomo
Japan
🔄
46'
W. Endo ↔ A. Seko
Japan
🔄
46'
R. Doan ↔ Y. Sugawara
Japan
🔄
46'
A. Ueda ↔ K. Ogawa
Japan
🔄
46'
G. Thordarson ↔ W. T. Willumsson
Iceland
🔄
72'
K. Nakamura ↔ K. Shiogai
Japan
🔄
72'
A. F. Baldursson ↔ A. Gunnarsson
Iceland
🔄
72'
B. Willumsson ↔ B. Andresson
Iceland
🔄
73'
A. Tanaka ↔ K. Goto
Japan
🔄
73'
K. Itakura ↔ T. Watanabe
Japan
🟨
75'
Stefán Teitur Þórðarson
Iceland
🔄
82'
Z. Suzuki ↔ T. Hayakawa
Japan
🔄
83'
T. Tomiyasu ↔ S. Taniguchi
Japan
🔄
83'
T. Kubo ↔ K. Sano
Japan
🔄
85'
D. L. Gretarsson ↔ H. Hermannsson
Iceland
🔄
85'
K. Hlynsson ↔ I. Thorvaldsson
Iceland
⚽
87'
K. Ogawa · Assist: Y. Sugawara
Japan
🔄
90+2'
H. Magnusson ↔ S. I. Sigurdarson
Iceland

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 81.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
81.1%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
56%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Japan Win 48.3%
Draw 32.8%
Iceland Win 18.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Japan1.53
Iceland0.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Japan Japan
WWDLW
2 GF / 0 GA
Iceland Iceland
WLDWL
3 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1
0
Average Goals Conceded
2.33
0
BTTS Yes
2
0
Over 2.5
2
4.5
Shots on Goal
1.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Japan Japan 2 matches
Iceland Iceland 3 matches
Japan Statistic Iceland
2 Wins 0
0 Draws 2
0 Losses 1
2 Goals For 3
0 Goals Against 7
1 Avg Goals Scored 1
0 Avg Goals Conceded 2.33
0 BTTS Yes 2
0 Over 1.5 3
0 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 1
4.5 Shots On Goal 1.67
12.5 Total Shots 2.67
4.5 Corners 1
42.5% Ball Possession 29%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Japan won 1 times, Iceland won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from Japan's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (81.1%)
Predicted formations: Japan 3-4-2-1 / Iceland -
H2H summary: Japan wins 1, draws 0, Iceland wins 0
Stats
Japan Japan
Iceland Iceland
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
1
5 Corner Kicks 1
11 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 0
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Goal 2
3 Shots off Goal 5
5 Blocked Shots 1
9 Shots insidebox 3
6 Shots outsidebox 5
2 Goalkeeper Saves 7
581 Total passes 481
510 Passes accurate 396
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Japan
Formation
Iceland
Z. Suzuki
↓
Z. Suzuki
T. Tomiyasu
↓
T. Tomiyasu
M. Yoshida
↓
M. Yoshida
K. Itakura
↓
K. Itakura
R. Doan
↓
R. Doan
W. Endo
↓
W. Endo
A. Tanaka
↓
A. Tanaka
K. Nakamura
↓
K. Nakamura
T. Kubo
↓
T. Kubo
J. Ito
↓
J. Ito
A. Ueda
↓
A. Ueda
H. R. Valdimarsson
H. R. Valdimarsson
D. Thorhallsson
D. Thorhallsson
D. L. Gretarsson
↓
D. L. Gretarsson
H. Magnusson
↓
H. Magnusson
L. Tomasson
L. Tomasson
S. T. Thordarson
S. T. Thordarson
M. E. Ellertsson
M. E. Ellertsson
G. Thordarson
↓
G. Thordarson
A. F. Baldursson
↓
A. F. Baldursson
K. Hlynsson
↓
K. Hlynsson
B. Willumsson
↓
B. Willumsson
Japan 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
Z. Suzuki
↓ 82'
G
15
T. Tomiyasu
↓ 83'
D
22
M. Yoshida
↓ 14'
D
4
K. Itakura
↓ 73'
D
10
R. Doan
↓ 46'
M
6
W. Endo
↓ 46'
M
7
A. Tanaka
↓ 73'
M
13
K. Nakamura
↓ 72'
M
8
T. Kubo
↓ 83'
F
14
J. Ito
↓ 46'
F
18
A. Ueda
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
12
K. Osako
G
23
T. Hayakawa
↑ 82'
G
5
Y. Nagatomo
↑ 46'
D
11
D. Maeda
F
20
A. Seko
↑ 46'
D
2
Y. Sugawara
🎯 87' ↑ 46'
D
17
Y. Suzuki
M
25
J. Suzuki
D
9
K. Goto
↑ 73'
F
3
S. Taniguchi
↑ 83'
D
19
K. Ogawa
⚽ 87' ↑ 46'
F
21
H. Ito
↑ 14'
D
24
K. Sano
↑ 83'
M
16
T. Watanabe
↑ 73'
D
26
K. Shiogai
↑ 72'
F
Iceland 4-5-1 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
H. R. Valdimarsson
G
15
D. Thorhallsson
D
3
D. L. Gretarsson
↓ 85'
D
23
H. Magnusson
↓ 90+2'
D
2
L. Tomasson
D
16
S. T. Thordarson
🟨 75'
M
19
M. E. Ellertsson
M
18
G. Thordarson
↓ 46'
M
14
A. F. Baldursson
↓ 72'
M
20
K. Hlynsson
↓ 85' 🟨 33'
M
22
B. Willumsson
↓ 72'
F
Substitutes
1
O. Kristinsson
G
13
A. Benediktsson
G
17
A. Gunnarsson
↑ 72'
M
6
H. Hermannsson
↑ 85'
D
10
I. Thorvaldsson
↑ 85'
4
V. Lunddal
D
21
A. Sampsted
D
7
W. T. Willumsson
↑ 46'
M
11
S. I. Sigurdarson
↑ 90+2'
F
9
B. Andresson
↑ 72'
Last matches: Japan
29.06.26
Wor
Japan
Brazil
1
2
L
25.06.26
Wor
Japan
Sweden
1
1
D
21.06.26
Wor
Japan
Tunisia
4
0
W
14.06.26
Wor
Japan
Netherlands
2
2
D
31.03.26
Fri
Japan
England
1
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
Japan
Scotland
1
0
W
Last matches: Iceland
10.06.26
Fri
Iceland
Argentina
0
3
L
31.03.26
Fri
Iceland
Haiti
1
1
D
28.03.26
Fri
Iceland
Canada
2
2
D
26.02.26
Fri
Iceland
Mexico
0
4
L
16.11.25
Wor
Iceland
Ukraine
0
2
L
13.11.25
Wor
Iceland
Azerbaijan
2
0
W
13.10.25
Wor
Iceland
France
2
2
D
10.10.25
Wor
Iceland
Ukraine
3
5
L
09.09.25
Wor
Iceland
France
1
2
L
05.09.25
Wor
Iceland
Azerbaijan
5
0
W
23.03.25
UEF
Iceland
Kosovo
1
3
L
20.03.25
UEF
Iceland
Kosovo
1
2
L
19.11.24
UEF
Iceland
Wales
1
4
L
16.11.24
UEF
Iceland
Montenegro
2
0
W
14.10.24
UEF
Iceland
Türkiye
2
4
L
11.10.24
UEF
Iceland
Wales
2
2
D
09.09.24
UEF
Iceland
Türkiye
1
3
L
06.09.24
UEF
Iceland
Montenegro
2
0
W
H2H: Japan vs Iceland
31.05.26
H2H
Japan
Iceland
1
0
W
Last matches: Japan
25.06.26
Wor
Japan
Sweden
1
1
D
H2H at home: Japan
31.05.26
H2H
Japan
Iceland
1
0
W
Last matches: Iceland
10.06.26
Fri
Iceland
Argentina
0
3
L
31.03.26
Fri
Iceland
Haiti
1
1
D
28.03.26
Fri
Iceland
Canada
2
2
D
26.02.26
Fri
Iceland
Mexico
0
4
L
16.11.25
Wor
Iceland
Ukraine
0
2
L
13.11.25
Wor
Iceland
Azerbaijan
2
0
W
09.09.25
Wor
Iceland
France
1
2
L
20.03.25
UEF
Iceland
Kosovo
1
2
L
19.11.24
UEF
Iceland
Wales
1
4
L
16.11.24
UEF
Iceland
Montenegro
2
0
W
09.09.24
UEF
Iceland
Türkiye
1
3
L
H2H away: Iceland
31.05.26
H2H
Japan
Iceland
1
0
L