Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
93.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
78.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
67.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
78.5%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Jagiellonia
Pogon Szczecin
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Jagiellonia
44 matches
Pogon Szczecin
31 matches
| Jagiellonia | Statistic | Pogon Szczecin |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wins | 12 |
| 15 | Draws | 5 |
| 10 | Losses | 14 |
| 69 | Goals For | 43 |
| 51 | Goals Against | 45 |
| 1.57 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.39 |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
| 28 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 35 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 27 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 13 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.52 | Shots On Goal | 4.61 |
| 12.77 | Total Shots | 14.71 |
| 4.57 | Corners | 5.19 |
| 51.6% | Ball Possession | 51.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Jagiellonia's more proactive style and Pogon Szczecin's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Pogon Szczecin. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Jagiellonia expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Pogon Szczecin in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Pogon Szczecin having the stronger overall control.
Jagiellonia come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 46 points from 30 matches. The record of 12 wins, 10 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 48:37 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Jesús Imaz (13 goals), Afimico Pululu (12 goals), A. Pozo (3 goals), with creative support from Jesús Imaz (5 assists), Afimico Pululu (5 assists), B. Wdowik (4 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Pogon Szczecin are currently 9 in the standings with 41 points from 31 matches. The record of 12 wins, 5 draws, and 14 defeats, together with a 43:45 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Paul Mukairu (8 goals), K. Grosicki (6 goals), F. Ulvestad (5 goals), with creative support from K. Grosicki (5 assists), F. Ulvestad (3 assists), Sam Greenwood (2 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Jagiellonia won 4 times, Pogon Szczecin won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:25 from Jagiellonia's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.
Jagiellonia
14
3
3
3
3
4
Lineups
Jagiellonia
FC Nordsjaelland
Jagiellonia
Sparta Praha
Jagiellonia
Pafos
Jagiellonia
Polessya
Jagiellonia
Pogoń Siedlce
Jagiellonia
Zaglebie Lubin
Jagiellonia
GKS Katowice
Jagiellonia
Raków Częstochowa
Jagiellonia
Gornik Zabrze
Jagiellonia
Arka Gdynia
Jagiellonia
Korona Kielce
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
Wisla Plock
Jagiellonia
GKS Katowice
Jagiellonia
Piast Gliwice
Jagiellonia
Lechia Gdansk
Jagiellonia
Legia Warszawa
Jagiellonia
Fiorentina
Jagiellonia
Radomiak Radom
Jagiellonia
Fiorentina
Pogon Szczecin
Sturm Graz
Pogon Szczecin
Fenerbahçe
Pogon Szczecin
Chrobry Głogów
Pogon Szczecin
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
BFC Dynamo
Pogon Szczecin
GKS Katowice
Pogon Szczecin
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
Wisla Plock
Pogon Szczecin
Cracovia Krakow
Pogon Szczecin
Lech Poznan
Pogon Szczecin
Piast Gliwice
Pogon Szczecin
Legia Warszawa
Pogon Szczecin
Lechia Gdansk
Pogon Szczecin
Korona Kielce
Pogon Szczecin
Raków Częstochowa
Pogon Szczecin
Widzew Łódź
Pogon Szczecin
Gornik Zabrze
Pogon Szczecin
Arka Gdynia
Pogon Szczecin
Nieciecza
Pogon Szczecin
Motor Lublin
Jagiellonia
Sparta Praha
Jagiellonia
Pafos
Jagiellonia
Pogoń Siedlce
Jagiellonia
Zaglebie Lubin
Jagiellonia
Gornik Zabrze
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
Wisla Plock
Jagiellonia
GKS Katowice
Jagiellonia
Piast Gliwice
Jagiellonia
Legia Warszawa
Jagiellonia
Radomiak Radom
Jagiellonia
Fiorentina
Jagiellonia
Motor Lublin
Jagiellonia
Cukaricki
Jagiellonia
Rayo Vallecano
Jagiellonia
KuPS
Jagiellonia
Raków Częstochowa
Jagiellonia
Arka Gdynia
Jagiellonia
Korona Kielce
Jagiellonia
Hamrun Spartans
Pogon Szczecin
Sturm Graz
Pogon Szczecin
Fenerbahçe
Pogon Szczecin
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
BFC Dynamo
Pogon Szczecin
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
Cracovia Krakow
Pogon Szczecin
Piast Gliwice
Pogon Szczecin
Lechia Gdansk
Pogon Szczecin
Raków Częstochowa
Pogon Szczecin
Gornik Zabrze
Pogon Szczecin
Motor Lublin
Pogon Szczecin
FK Jablonec
Pogon Szczecin
GKS Katowice
Pogon Szczecin
Wisla Plock
Pogon Szczecin
Lech Poznan
Pogon Szczecin
Legia Warszawa
Pogon Szczecin
Korona Kielce
Pogon Szczecin
Widzew Łódź
Pogon Szczecin
Arka Gdynia
Pogon Szczecin
Nieciecza
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 62:45 | 17 | 60 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 50:38 | 12 | 56 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 3 |
Jagiellonia
Home
|
34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 56:41 | 15 | 56 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
| 4 | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 51:40 | 11 | 55 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:45 | 6 | 50 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 42:37 | 5 | 49 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 45:38 | 7 | 48 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 34:38 | -4 | 46 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 |
Pogon Szczecin
Away
|
34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 47:49 | -2 | 45 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
| 10 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52:53 | -1 | 44 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 40:40 | 0 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 46:53 | -7 | 43 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 42 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 41:41 | 0 | 42 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:46 | -4 | 41 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 62:65 | -3 | 38 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 34:61 | -27 | 36 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 34 |
W
W
L
L
W
|