Jagiellonia vs Legia Warszawa Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
93.1%
|
1.30 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
1.62 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
1.76 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
71%
|
1.34 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
4.33 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
11.00 |
Jagiellonia
Legia Warszawa
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Jagiellonia
21 matches
Legia Warszawa
21 matches
| Jagiellonia | Statistic | Legia Warszawa |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 12 |
| 3 | Draws | 8 |
| 5 | Losses | 1 |
| 35 | Goals For | 40 |
| 22 | Goals Against | 21 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.9 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.25 | Shots On Goal | 5 |
| 7.75 | Total Shots | 16 |
| 2.83 | Corners | 4.63 |
| 46.6% | Ball Possession | 51.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Legia Warszawa. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Jagiellonia expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Legia Warszawa in 3-1-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Legia Warszawa having the stronger overall control. Jagiellonia have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Jagiellonia approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 7 with 12 points from 7 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats with a 11:10 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on N. Prelec (2 goals), O. Sow (2 goals), K. Szmyt (1 goals), with creative support from N. Prelec (1 assists), K. Szmyt (1 assists), Sergio Lozano (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
Placed 3 with 15 points from 7 outings, Legia Warszawa continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 0 defeats, together with a 15:6 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Ł. Zjawiński (3 goals), R. Augustyniak (2 goals), B. Kapustka (2 goals), with creative support from Paweł Wszołek (4 assists), Rúben Vinagre (2 assists), R. Augustyniak (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Jagiellonia won 3 times, Legia Warszawa won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:26 from Jagiellonia's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 22 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Legia Warszawa
Away
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 19:8 | 11 | 19 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:7 | 10 | 19 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 17 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 15 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 13 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 12 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 |
Jagiellonia
Home
|
8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 12 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13:13 | 0 | 9 |
D
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 8 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:20 | -13 | 8 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11:15 | -4 | 6 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 6 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11:17 | -6 | 5 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12:21 | -9 | 3 |
L
L
W
L
L
|