BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Jacuipense
Match Timeline
CSE
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
35'
Thiaguinho
Jacuipense
45'
Reinaldo
CSE
🟥
77'
Jacuipense
Jacuipense
85'
Thiaguinho
Jacuipense

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw or Away
Probability 74.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 9.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw or Away
74.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
9.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Jacuipense Win 25.4%
Draw 32.6%
CSE Win 42%
Expected Goals (xG)
Jacuipense1.32
CSE1.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Jacuipense Jacuipense
WWDLW
5 GF / 9 GA
CSE CSE
WLDWL
8 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.8
3
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Jacuipense Jacuipense 5 matches
CSE CSE 5 matches
Jacuipense Statistic CSE
1 Wins 2
1 Draws 1
3 Losses 2
5 Goals For 8
9 Goals Against 9
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.8
3 BTTS Yes 5
3 Over 1.5 5
3 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward CSE. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward CSE having the stronger overall control. Jacuipense have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. CSE carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 7 points while Jacuipense sit 5 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Jacuipense Analysis

Jacuipense approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 4 points from 5 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 5:9, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Adriano (1 goals), Alison Daniel (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

CSE Analysis

Placed 4 with 7 points from 5 outings, CSE continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, while the 8:9 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Michel Douglas (3 goals), Anderson Montanha (2 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Jacuipense won 3 times, CSE won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:11 from Jacuipense's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.83 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (74.6%)
H2H summary: Jacuipense wins 3, draws 1, CSE wins 2
Last matches: Jacuipense
28.06.26
Ser
Jacuipense
Treze
0
0
D
21.06.26
Ser
Jacuipense
Treze
1
3
L
14.06.26
Ser
Jacuipense
ASA
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
Jacuipense
CSA
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Jacuipense
Juazeirense
2
2
D
17.05.26
Ser
Jacuipense
Atlético Alagoinhas
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Jacuipense
CSE
2
3
L
26.04.26
Ser
Jacuipense
Atlético Alagoinhas
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Jacuipense
Juazeirense
1
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Jacuipense
CSA
1
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Jacuipense
ASA
0
0
D
Last matches: CSE
14.06.26
Ser
CSE
Juazeirense
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
CSE
ASA
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ser
CSE
Atlético Alagoinhas
0
0
D
17.05.26
Ser
CSE
CSA
1
5
L
03.05.26
Ser
CSE
Jacuipense
3
2
W
25.04.26
Ser
CSE
CSA
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
CSE
Atlético Alagoinhas
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
CSE
ASA
1
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
CSE
Juazeirense
1
3
L
H2H: Jacuipense vs CSE
10.05.26
H2H
Jacuipense
CSE
2
1
W
03.05.26
H2H
CSE
Jacuipense
3
2
L
26.06.24
H2H
Jacuipense
CSE
1
2
L
25.05.24
H2H
CSE
Jacuipense
1
2
W
10.07.22
H2H
Jacuipense
CSE
2
1
W
23.04.22
H2H
CSE
Jacuipense
3
3
D
Last matches: Jacuipense
21.06.26
Ser
Jacuipense
Treze
1
3
L
14.06.26
Ser
Jacuipense
ASA
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Jacuipense
Juazeirense
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Jacuipense
Atlético Alagoinhas
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Jacuipense
CSA
1
3
L
H2H at home: Jacuipense
10.05.26
H2H
Jacuipense
CSE
2
1
W
26.06.24
H2H
Jacuipense
CSE
1
2
L
10.07.22
H2H
Jacuipense
CSE
2
1
W
Last matches: CSE
30.05.26
Ser
CSE
ASA
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
CSE
CSA
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
CSE
Atlético Alagoinhas
2
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
CSE
Juazeirense
1
3
L
H2H away: CSE
10.05.26
H2H
Jacuipense
CSE
2
1
L
26.06.24
H2H
Jacuipense
CSE
1
2
W
10.07.22
H2H
Jacuipense
CSE
2
1
L

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5
CSE Away
10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)