BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Ivinhema
Match Timeline
Democrata GV
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
73'
Tonhao
Democrata GV
75'
Rodolfo
Ivinhema
81'
Rodolfo
Ivinhema
90'
Rafael Klein
Democrata GV
90'
G. Corona
Ivinhema

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.1%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ivinhema Win 63.1%
Draw 7.6%
Democrata GV Win 29.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ivinhema0.9
Democrata GV1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ivinhema Ivinhema
WWDLW
9 GF / 12 GA
Democrata GV Democrata GV
WLDWL
13 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
0.9
Average Goals Scored
1.3
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
5
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ivinhema Ivinhema 10 matches
Democrata GV Democrata GV 10 matches
Ivinhema Statistic Democrata GV
3 Wins 5
4 Draws 2
3 Losses 3
9 Goals For 13
12 Goals Against 9
0.9 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
5 BTTS Yes 5
8 Over 1.5 6
3 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between Democrata GV's more proactive style and Ivinhema's more cautious structure, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Democrata GV having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Democrata GV.

Ivinhema Analysis

Ivinhema enter this tie with a season profile built on 13 points from 10 matches, placing them 4 in their league. With 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses plus a goal ratio of 9:12, they bring poor form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on L. Robert (3 goals), C. C. Alisson d. (2 goals), while defensively they have been very solid. At home, the return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.

Democrata GV Analysis

Democrata GV enter this tie with a season profile built on 17 points from 10 matches, placing them 1 in their league. Their record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats with goals at 13:9 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on Ivan Junior (2 goals), Mauricio Ferreira (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which supports a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Ivinhema won 1 times, Democrata GV won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:2 from Ivinhema's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.5%)
H2H summary: Ivinhema wins 1, draws 1, Democrata GV wins 0
Last matches: Ivinhema
12.07.26
Ser
Ivinhema
ASA
0
4
L
06.07.26
Ser
Ivinhema
ASA
1
2
L
29.06.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Democrata GV
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
Ivinhema
CRAC
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Uberlandia
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Ipatinga
0
3
L
16.05.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Operario Ferroviario
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Ivinhema
ABECAT Ouvidorense
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Ivinhema
ABECAT Ouvidorense
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Operario Ferroviario
2
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Ipatinga
1
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Uberlandia
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Ivinhema
CRAC
1
0
W
Last matches: Democrata GV
29.06.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Ivinhema
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Real Noroeste
0
0
D
31.05.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Rio Branco ES
3
1
W
25.05.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Porto BA
3
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Tombense
1
3
L
10.05.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Vitória ES
1
2
L
04.05.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Vitória ES
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Tombense
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Porto BA
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Rio Branco ES
1
1
D
06.04.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Real Noroeste
1
0
W
H2H: Ivinhema vs Democrata GV
29.06.26
H2H
Democrata GV
Ivinhema
1
1
D
21.06.26
H2H
Ivinhema
Democrata GV
3
1
W
Last matches: Ivinhema
06.07.26
Ser
Ivinhema
ASA
1
2
L
31.05.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Uberlandia
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Ivinhema
ABECAT Ouvidorense
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Operario Ferroviario
2
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Ipatinga
1
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
Ivinhema
CRAC
1
0
W
H2H at home: Ivinhema
21.06.26
H2H
Ivinhema
Democrata GV
3
1
W
Last matches: Democrata GV
14.06.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Real Noroeste
0
0
D
16.05.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Tombense
1
3
L
10.05.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Vitória ES
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Porto BA
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Rio Branco ES
1
1
D
H2H away: Democrata GV
21.06.26
H2H
Ivinhema
Democrata GV
3
1
L

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)