BRAZIL SERIE D
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 91%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 59.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
91%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
59.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ivinhema Win 91%
Draw 0%
ABECAT Ouvidorense Win 9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ivinhema1.32
ABECAT Ouvidorense0.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ivinhema Ivinhema
WWDLW
7 GF / 5 GA
ABECAT Ouvidorense ABECAT Ouvidorense
WLDWL
2 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
0.4
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
3
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
0
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ivinhema Ivinhema 5 matches
ABECAT Ouvidorense ABECAT Ouvidorense 5 matches
Ivinhema Statistic ABECAT Ouvidorense
3 Wins 0
1 Draws 2
1 Losses 3
7 Goals For 2
5 Goals Against 6
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 0.4
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
3 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 3
2 Over 2.5 0
1 Over 3.5 0
2 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Ivinhema's more proactive style and ABECAT Ouvidorense's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward ABECAT Ouvidorense. ABECAT Ouvidorense arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Ivinhema arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 10 points compared to ABECAT Ouvidorense in 6 on 2, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward ABECAT Ouvidorense having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Ivinhema Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 10 points from 5 games, Ivinhema bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 7:5 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on C. C. Alisson d. (2 goals), Antonio Carlos (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

ABECAT Ouvidorense Analysis

ABECAT Ouvidorense sit 6 with 2 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats with a 2:6 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Dionatan (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Ivinhema won 0 times, ABECAT Ouvidorense won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:1 from Ivinhema's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Ivinhema wins 0, draws 2, ABECAT Ouvidorense wins 0
Last matches: Ivinhema
12.07.26
Ser
Ivinhema
ASA
0
4
L
06.07.26
Ser
Ivinhema
ASA
1
2
L
29.06.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Democrata GV
1
1
D
21.06.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Democrata GV
3
1
W
14.06.26
Ser
Ivinhema
CRAC
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Uberlandia
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Ipatinga
0
3
L
16.05.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Operario Ferroviario
0
2
L
02.05.26
Ser
Ivinhema
ABECAT Ouvidorense
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Operario Ferroviario
2
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Ipatinga
1
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Uberlandia
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Ivinhema
CRAC
1
0
W
Last matches: ABECAT Ouvidorense
14.06.26
Ser
ABECAT Ouvidorense
Uberlandia
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
ABECAT Ouvidorense
Ipatinga
2
1
W
23.05.26
Ser
ABECAT Ouvidorense
Operario Ferroviario
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
ABECAT Ouvidorense
CRAC
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ser
ABECAT Ouvidorense
Ivinhema
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
ABECAT Ouvidorense
CRAC
0
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
ABECAT Ouvidorense
Operario Ferroviario
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
ABECAT Ouvidorense
Ipatinga
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ser
ABECAT Ouvidorense
Uberlandia
0
1
L
H2H: Ivinhema vs ABECAT Ouvidorense
10.05.26
H2H
Ivinhema
ABECAT Ouvidorense
0
0
D
02.05.26
H2H
ABECAT Ouvidorense
Ivinhema
1
1
D
Last matches: Ivinhema
06.07.26
Ser
Ivinhema
ASA
1
2
L
21.06.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Democrata GV
3
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Uberlandia
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Operario Ferroviario
2
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Ivinhema
Ipatinga
1
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
Ivinhema
CRAC
1
0
W
H2H at home: Ivinhema
10.05.26
H2H
Ivinhema
ABECAT Ouvidorense
0
0
D
Last matches: ABECAT Ouvidorense
14.06.26
Ser
ABECAT Ouvidorense
Uberlandia
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
ABECAT Ouvidorense
CRAC
1
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
ABECAT Ouvidorense
Operario Ferroviario
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
ABECAT Ouvidorense
Ipatinga
0
1
L
H2H away: ABECAT Ouvidorense
10.05.26
H2H
Ivinhema
ABECAT Ouvidorense
0
0
D

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)