BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Ituano
Match Timeline
Confiança
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
22'
Joao Mandovani
Confiança
29'
Neto Berola
Ituano
🟨
42'
Ituano
Ituano
🔄
46'
Eduardo Moura ↔ Paulo Henrique
Confiança
🟨
60'
PK
Confiança
🔄
69'
Weriton ↔ Fabricio
Confiança
🔄
69'
Joao Mandovani ↔ Valdir Junior
Confiança
🟨
72'
Matheus Mancini
Ituano
🔄
76'
Tiaguinho ↔ Martha
Ituano
🔄
76'
Gabriel Razera ↔ Guilherme Dal Pian
Ituano
🔄
76'
Richard ↔ Bruno Mezenga
Ituano
🔄
82'
Joao Pedro ↔ Maikon Aquino
Confiança
🔄
82'
Iago Silva ↔ Andrey Quintino
Confiança
🔄
87'
Neto Berola ↔ Alason Carioca
Ituano
🔄
87'
Guilherme Xavier ↔ Lucas Stefanello
Ituano
🟨
90+1'
Icaro
Confiança
🟨
90+5'
Martha
Ituano

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ituano Win 100%
Draw 0%
Confiança Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ituano1.24
Confiança0.76
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ituano Ituano
WWDLW
7 GF / 7 GA
Confiança Confiança
WLDWL
2 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
0.33
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1
2
BTTS Yes
1
2
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ituano Ituano 5 matches
Confiança Confiança 6 matches
Ituano Statistic Confiança
2 Wins 1
1 Draws 0
2 Losses 5
7 Goals For 2
7 Goals Against 6
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 0.33
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1
2 BTTS Yes 1
5 Over 1.5 1
2 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Ituano arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 10 with 7 points compared to Confiança in 18 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Confiança. Confiança arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Confiança having the stronger overall control.

Ituano Analysis

Ituano are currently 10 in the standings with 7 points from 5 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 7:7 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Gabriel Razera (2 goals), Fernando Canesin (1 goals), Leo Coltro (1 goals), with creative support from Neto Berola (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Confiança Analysis

Confiança approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 3 points from 5 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 2:5, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Joao Pedro (1 goals), PK (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Ituano won 1 times, Confiança won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:2 from Ituano's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
H2H summary: Ituano wins 1, draws 0, Confiança wins 1

Lineups

Ituano
Formation
Confiança
Wesley Borges
Wesley Borges
Lucas Mota
Lucas Mota
Leo Coltro
Leo Coltro
Matheus Mancini
Matheus Mancini
Gabriel William
Gabriel William
Tiaguinho
Tiaguinho
Thassio
Thassio
Richard
Richard
Gabriel Razera
Gabriel Razera
Guilherme Xavier
Guilherme Xavier
Neto Berola
Neto Berola
Rafael Pascoal
Rafael Pascoal
Weriton
Weriton
Icaro
Icaro
Eduardo Moura
Eduardo Moura
Joao Mandovani
Joao Mandovani
Kelvyn
Kelvyn
Gustavo Nicola
Gustavo Nicola
Joao Pedro
Joao Pedro
PK
PK
Iago Silva
Iago Silva
Renilson
Renilson
Ituano 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Wesley Borges
2
Lucas Mota
3
Leo Coltro
4
Matheus Mancini
🟨 72'
5
Gabriel William
6
Tiaguinho
↓ 76'
7
Thassio
8
Richard
↓ 76'
9
Gabriel Razera
↓ 76'
10
Guilherme Xavier
↓ 87'
11
Neto Berola
⚽ 29' ↓ 87'
Substitutes
12
Saulo
13
Victor Reis
14
Carlao
15
Martha
↑ 76' 🟨 90+5'
16
Guilherme Dal Pian
↑ 76'
17
Alason Carioca
↑ 87'
18
Nelsinho
19
Bruno Mezenga
↑ 76'
20
Bruno Alves
21
Leo Souza
22
Lucas Stefanello
↑ 87'
23
Leo Passos
Confiança 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Rafael Pascoal
2
Weriton
↓ 69'
3
Icaro
🟨 90+1'
4
Eduardo Moura
↓ 46'
5
Joao Mandovani
↓ 69' 🟨 22'
6
Kelvyn
8
Gustavo Nicola
9
Joao Pedro
↓ 82'
10
PK
🟨 60'
11
Iago Silva
↓ 82'
13
Renilson
Substitutes
12
Matheus Silva
7
Danielzinho
14
Matheus Juliao
15
Paulo Henrique
↑ 46'
16
Lorran
17
Fabricio
↑ 69'
19
Maikon Aquino
↑ 82'
20
Valdir Junior
↑ 69'
21
Andrey Quintino
↑ 82'
Last matches: Ituano
12.07.26
Ser
Ituano
Ferroviária
1
3
L
04.07.26
Ser
Ituano
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
28.06.26
Ser
Ituano
Maranhão
0
0
D
20.06.26
Ser
Ituano
Figueirense
0
0
D
14.06.26
Ser
Ituano
AO Itabaiana
2
2
D
30.05.26
Ser
Ituano
Caxias
1
2
L
25.05.26
Ser
Ituano
Botafogo PB
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Ituano
Guarani Campinas
3
1
W
05.05.26
Ser
Ituano
Ypiranga-RS
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Ituano
Maringá
4
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
Ituano
Inter De Limeira
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Ituano
Amazonas
0
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
Ituano
Anápolis
2
0
W
Last matches: Confiança
25.07.26
Ser
Confiança
AO Itabaiana
1
1
D
12.07.26
Ser
Confiança
Botafogo PB
0
2
L
04.07.26
Ser
Confiança
Barra
1
2
L
28.06.26
Ser
Confiança
Ypiranga-RS
1
1
D
22.06.26
Ser
Confiança
Guarani Campinas
2
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Confiança
Volta Redonda
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Floresta
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Figueirense
0
0
D
18.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Maranhão
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Brusque
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Santa Cruz
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Caxias
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Amazonas
0
1
L
04.01.26
Fri
Confiança
Decisão
0
1
L
H2H: Ituano vs Confiança
10.05.26
H2H
Ituano
Confiança
1
0
W
09.08.25
H2H
Ituano
Confiança
1
2
L
Last matches: Ituano
12.07.26
Ser
Ituano
Ferroviária
1
3
L
28.06.26
Ser
Ituano
Maranhão
0
0
D
20.06.26
Ser
Ituano
Figueirense
0
0
D
25.05.26
Ser
Ituano
Botafogo PB
1
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Ituano
Maringá
4
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Ituano
Anápolis
2
0
W
H2H at home: Ituano
10.05.26
H2H
Ituano
Confiança
1
0
W
09.08.25
H2H
Ituano
Confiança
1
2
L
Last matches: Confiança
12.07.26
Ser
Confiança
Botafogo PB
0
2
L
28.06.26
Ser
Confiança
Ypiranga-RS
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
Confiança
Volta Redonda
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Floresta
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Brusque
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Caxias
0
1
L
04.01.26
Fri
Confiança
Decisão
0
1
L
H2H away: Confiança
10.05.26
H2H
Ituano
Confiança
1
0
L
09.08.25
H2H
Ituano
Confiança
1
2
W

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 7 4 3 17:14 3 25
W W D L W
2 14 7 3 4 20:15 5 24
L W L W L
3 15 7 3 5 15:11 4 24
L W W W L
4 14 7 2 5 22:19 3 23
W L L W L
5 14 6 5 3 25:14 11 23
L D D L W
6 15 6 5 4 15:12 3 23
D W L L W
7 14 7 1 6 19:15 4 22
W W W W D
8 14 6 4 4 27:24 3 22
W W D D D
9 14 5 6 3 13:10 3 21
D W D D L
10 14 5 5 4 15:14 1 20
D D W L L
11 15 5 5 5 13:18 -5 20
W D L D D
12 14 5 4 5 16:16 0 19
L L D D D
13 14 5 3 6 17:19 -2 18
L W D W D
14 15 5 3 7 11:19 -8 18
L D L W L
15 15 4 6 5 11:14 -3 18
D W L D L
16 14 5 2 7 13:19 -6 17
L L L D W
17 15 4 5 6 13:18 -5 17
D W W W L
18 14 3 6 5 17:16 1 15
L W L D L
19 15 3 3 9 13:19 -6 12
W L L D W
20 15 3 3 9 9:15 -6 12
D L L D W
Play-offs
Relegation