BRAZIL SERIE C
10.05.2026 22:30
Ituano
Match Timeline
Confiança
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
22'
Joao Mandovani
Confiança
29'
Neto Berola
Ituano
🟨
42'
Ituano
Ituano
🔄
46'
Eduardo Moura ↔ Paulo Henrique
Confiança
🟨
60'
PK
Confiança
🔄
69'
Weriton ↔ Fabricio
Confiança
🔄
69'
Joao Mandovani ↔ Valdir Junior
Confiança
🟨
72'
Matheus Mancini
Ituano
🔄
76'
Tiaguinho ↔ Martha
Ituano
🔄
76'
Gabriel Razera ↔ Guilherme Dal Pian
Ituano
🔄
76'
Richard ↔ Bruno Mezenga
Ituano
🔄
82'
Joao Pedro ↔ Maikon Aquino
Confiança
🔄
82'
Iago Silva ↔ Andrey Quintino
Confiança
🔄
87'
Neto Berola ↔ Alason Carioca
Ituano
🔄
87'
Guilherme Xavier ↔ Lucas Stefanello
Ituano
🟨
90+1'
Icaro
Confiança
🟨
90+5'
Martha
Ituano

Ituano vs Confiança Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ituano Win 100%
Draw 0%
Confiança Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ituano1.24
Confiança0.76
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ituano Ituano
WWDLW
7 GF / 7 GA
Confiança Confiança
WLDWL
2 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
0.33
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1
2
BTTS Yes
1
2
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ituano Ituano 5 matches
Confiança Confiança 6 matches
Ituano Statistic Confiança
2 Wins 1
1 Draws 0
2 Losses 5
7 Goals For 2
7 Goals Against 6
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 0.33
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1
2 BTTS Yes 1
5 Over 1.5 1
2 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Ituano arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 10 with 7 points compared to Confiança in 18 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Confiança. Confiança arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Confiança having the stronger overall control.

Ituano Analysis

Ituano are currently 10 in the standings with 7 points from 5 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 7:7 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Gabriel Razera (2 goals), Fernando Canesin (1 goals), Leo Coltro (1 goals), with creative support from Neto Berola (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Confiança Analysis

Confiança approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 3 points from 5 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 2:5, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Joao Pedro (1 goals), PK (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Ituano won 1 times, Confiança won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:2 from Ituano's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
H2H summary: Ituano wins 1, draws 0, Confiança wins 1

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
L L W W D
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D W D D W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W D W L W
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
L W W W D
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W L W W W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D D D L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L L L W L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
W W D W L
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation