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WORLD › WORLD CUP - QUALIFICATION EUROPE
--.--.---- --:--
Italy
FT
2 - 0
Northern Ireland
New Balance Arena
Referee: D. Makkelie
Italy
Match Timeline
Northern Ireland
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
56'
S. Tonali
Italy
🟨
58'
Alessandro Bastoni
Italy
🔄
63'
A. Bastoni ↔ F. Gatti
Italy
🔄
64'
M. Retegui ↔ F. Esposito
Italy
🔄
68'
T. Devlin ↔ P. Smyth
Northern Ireland
🔄
79'
J. Donley ↔ J. Magennis
Northern Ireland
🔄
79'
B. Spencer ↔ J. Reid
Northern Ireland
⚽
80'
M. Kean · Assist: S. Tonali
Italy
🔄
83'
S. Tonali ↔ N. Pisilli
Italy
🔄
83'
M. Politano ↔ M. Palestra
Italy
🔄
88'
M. Kean ↔ G. Raspadori
Italy

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Italy Win 0%
Draw 0%
Northern Ireland Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Italy1.73
Northern Ireland1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Italy Italy
WWDLW
38 GF / 25 GA
Northern Ireland Northern Ireland
WLDWL
18 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
2.38
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
10
BTTS Yes
3
13
Over 2.5
4
7
Shots on Goal
3.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Italy Italy 16 matches
Northern Ireland Northern Ireland 12 matches
Italy Statistic Northern Ireland
10 Wins 6
2 Draws 2
4 Losses 4
38 Goals For 18
25 Goals Against 9
2.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 0.75
10 BTTS Yes 3
15 Over 1.5 7
13 Over 2.5 4
9 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 6
1 Failed To Score 4
7 Shots On Goal 3.17
21.75 Total Shots 9.17
7 Corners 4.5
63% Ball Possession 36.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Italy won 2 times, Northern Ireland won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:0 from Italy's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.33 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Italy 3-5-2 / Northern Ireland 5-4-1
H2H summary: Italy wins 2, draws 1, Northern Ireland wins 0
Stats
Italy Italy
Northern Ireland Northern Ireland
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
3
12 Corner Kicks 3
11 Fouls 8
2 Offsides 0
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Goal 1
6 Shots off Goal 4
5 Blocked Shots 3
14 Shots insidebox 4
5 Shots outsidebox 4
1 Goalkeeper Saves 5
503 Total passes 308
423 Passes accurate 235
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Italy
Formation
Northern Ireland
G. Donnarumma
G. Donnarumma
G. Mancini
G. Mancini
A. Bastoni
↓
A. Bastoni
R. Calafiori
R. Calafiori
M. Politano
↓
M. Politano
N. Barella
N. Barella
M. Locatelli
M. Locatelli
S. Tonali
⚽ 🎯 ↓
S. Tonali
F. Dimarco
F. Dimarco
M. Kean
⚽ ↓
M. Kean
M. Retegui
↓
M. Retegui
P. Charles
P. Charles
T. Devlin
↓
T. Devlin
T. Hume
T. Hume
P. McNair
P. McNair
R. McConville
R. McConville
B. Spencer
↓
B. Spencer
J. Devenny
J. Devenny
S. Charles
S. Charles
E. Galbraith
E. Galbraith
I. Price
I. Price
J. Donley
↓
J. Donley
Italy 3-5-2
Starting XI
1
G. Donnarumma
G
23
G. Mancini
D
21
A. Bastoni
↓ 63' 🟨 58'
D
13
R. Calafiori
D
7
M. Politano
↓ 83'
M
18
N. Barella
M
5
M. Locatelli
M
8
S. Tonali
⚽ 56' 🎯 80' ↓ 83'
M
3
F. Dimarco
M
11
M. Kean
⚽ 80' ↓ 88'
F
9
M. Retegui
↓ 64'
F
Substitutes
22
A. Meret
G
12
M. Carnesecchi
G
17
D. Frattesi
M
10
G. Raspadori
↑ 88'
F
6
A. Buongiorno
D
19
F. Gatti
↑ 63'
D
15
F. Esposito
↑ 64'
F
14
N. Pisilli
↑ 83'
M
2
M. Palestra
↑ 83'
D
16
B. Cristante
M
4
L. Spinazzola
D
20
G. Scalvini
D
Northern Ireland 5-4-1
Starting XI
23
P. Charles
G
2
T. Devlin
↓ 68'
D
5
T. Hume
D
17
P. McNair
D
13
R. McConville
D
20
B. Spencer
↓ 79'
D
15
J. Devenny
M
19
S. Charles
M
7
E. Galbraith
M
14
I. Price
M
10
J. Donley
↓ 79'
F
Substitutes
12
C. Hazard
G
1
B. Peacock-Farrell
G
21
J. Magennis
↑ 79'
F
18
J. Reid
↑ 79'
F
6
G. Saville
M
16
B. Lyons
M
22
C. Brown
D
8
C. Marshall
F
11
P. Smyth
↑ 68'
F
3
E. Toal
D
9
P. Kelly
M
4
T. Atcheson
D
Last matches: Italy
07.06.26
Fri
Italy
Greece
1
0
W
03.06.26
Fri
Italy
Luxembourg
1
0
W
31.03.26
Wor
Italy
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1
1
D
16.11.25
Wor
Italy
Norway
1
4
L
13.11.25
Wor
Italy
Moldova
2
0
W
14.10.25
Wor
Italy
Israel
3
0
W
11.10.25
Wor
Italy
Estonia
3
1
W
08.09.25
Wor
Italy
Israel
5
4
W
05.09.25
Wor
Italy
Estonia
5
0
W
09.06.25
Wor
Italy
Moldova
2
0
W
06.06.25
Wor
Italy
Norway
0
3
L
23.03.25
UEF
Italy
Germany
3
3
D
20.03.25
UEF
Italy
Germany
1
2
L
17.11.24
UEF
Italy
France
1
3
L
14.11.24
UEF
Italy
Belgium
1
0
W
14.10.24
UEF
Italy
Israel
4
1
W
10.10.24
UEF
Italy
Belgium
2
2
D
09.09.24
UEF
Italy
Israel
2
1
W
06.09.24
UEF
Italy
France
3
1
W
Last matches: Northern Ireland
08.06.26
Fri
Northern Ireland
France
1
3
L
04.06.26
Fri
Northern Ireland
Guinea
1
0
W
31.03.26
Fri
Northern Ireland
Wales
1
1
D
17.11.25
Wor
Northern Ireland
Luxembourg
1
0
W
14.11.25
Wor
Northern Ireland
Slovakia
0
1
L
13.10.25
Wor
Northern Ireland
Germany
0
1
L
10.10.25
Wor
Northern Ireland
Slovakia
2
0
W
07.09.25
Wor
Northern Ireland
Germany
1
3
L
04.09.25
Wor
Northern Ireland
Luxembourg
3
1
W
18.11.24
UEF
Northern Ireland
Luxembourg
2
2
D
15.11.24
UEF
Northern Ireland
Belarus
2
0
W
15.10.24
UEF
Northern Ireland
Bulgaria
5
0
W
12.10.24
UEF
Northern Ireland
Belarus
0
0
D
08.09.24
UEF
Northern Ireland
Bulgaria
0
1
L
05.09.24
UEF
Northern Ireland
Luxembourg
2
0
W
H2H: Italy vs Northern Ireland
26.03.26
H2H
Italy
Northern Ireland
2
0
W
15.11.21
H2H
Northern Ireland
Italy
0
0
D
25.03.21
H2H
Italy
Northern Ireland
2
0
W
Last matches: Italy
16.11.25
Wor
Italy
Norway
1
4
L
14.10.25
Wor
Italy
Israel
3
0
W
05.09.25
Wor
Italy
Estonia
5
0
W
09.06.25
Wor
Italy
Moldova
2
0
W
20.03.25
UEF
Italy
Germany
1
2
L
17.11.24
UEF
Italy
France
1
3
L
14.10.24
UEF
Italy
Israel
4
1
W
10.10.24
UEF
Italy
Belgium
2
2
D
H2H at home: Italy
26.03.26
H2H
Italy
Northern Ireland
2
0
W
25.03.21
H2H
Italy
Northern Ireland
2
0
W
Last matches: Northern Ireland
08.06.26
Fri
Northern Ireland
France
1
3
L
31.03.26
Fri
Northern Ireland
Wales
1
1
D
14.11.25
Wor
Northern Ireland
Slovakia
0
1
L
07.09.25
Wor
Northern Ireland
Germany
1
3
L
04.09.25
Wor
Northern Ireland
Luxembourg
3
1
W
18.11.24
UEF
Northern Ireland
Luxembourg
2
2
D
12.10.24
UEF
Northern Ireland
Belarus
0
0
D
08.09.24
UEF
Northern Ireland
Bulgaria
0
1
L
H2H away: Northern Ireland
26.03.26
H2H
Italy
Northern Ireland
2
0
L
25.03.21
H2H
Italy
Northern Ireland
2
0
L

Standings

Group I
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Norway
8 8 0 0 37:5 32 24
W W W W W
2
Italy Home
8 6 0 2 21:12 9 18
L W W W W
3
Israel
8 4 0 4 19:20 -1 12
W L L L W
4
Estonia
8 1 1 6 8:21 -13 4
L D L L L
5
Moldova
8 0 1 7 5:32 -27 1
L L D L L
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