26.03.2026 19:45
New Balance Arena
Referee: D. Makkelie
Italy
Match Timeline
Northern Ireland
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
56'
S. Tonali
Italy
🟨
58'
Alessandro Bastoni
Italy
🔄
63'
A. Bastoni ↔ F. Gatti
Italy
🔄
64'
M. Retegui ↔ F. Esposito
Italy
🔄
68'
T. Devlin ↔ P. Smyth
Northern Ireland
🔄
79'
J. Donley ↔ J. Magennis
Northern Ireland
🔄
79'
B. Spencer ↔ J. Reid
Northern Ireland
80'
M. Kean · Assist: S. Tonali
Italy
🔄
83'
S. Tonali ↔ N. Pisilli
Italy
🔄
83'
M. Politano ↔ M. Palestra
Italy
🔄
88'
M. Kean ↔ G. Raspadori
Italy

Italy vs Northern Ireland Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Italy Win 0%
Draw 0%
Northern Ireland Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Italy1.73
Northern Ireland1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Italy Italy
WWDLW
38 GF / 25 GA
Northern Ireland Northern Ireland
WLDWL
18 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
2.38
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
10
BTTS Yes
3
13
Over 2.5
4
7
Shots on Goal
3.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Italy Italy 16 matches
Northern Ireland Northern Ireland 12 matches
Italy Statistic Northern Ireland
10 Wins 6
2 Draws 2
4 Losses 4
38 Goals For 18
25 Goals Against 9
2.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 0.75
10 BTTS Yes 3
15 Over 1.5 7
13 Over 2.5 4
9 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 6
1 Failed To Score 4
7 Shots On Goal 3.17
21.75 Total Shots 9.17
7 Corners 4.5
63% Ball Possession 36.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Italy won 2 times, Northern Ireland won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:0 from Italy's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.33 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Italy 3-5-2 / Northern Ireland 5-4-1
H2H summary: Italy wins 2, draws 1, Northern Ireland wins 0

Standings

Group I
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 8 0 0 37:5 32 24
W W W W W
2
Italy Home
8 6 0 2 21:12 9 18
L W W W W
3 8 4 0 4 19:20 -1 12
W L L L W
4 8 1 1 6 8:21 -13 4
L D L L L
5 8 0 1 7 5:32 -27 1
L L D L L
Promotion - World Cup
Promotion - World Cup (Promotion)