CROATIA HNL
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Aldo Drosina
Referee: A. Culina
Istra 1961
Match Timeline
Vukovar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
21'
V. Rozic · Assist: S. Loncar
Istra 1961
🟨
31'
Jakov Puljić
Vukovar
36'
S. Butic · Assist: M. Zivkovic
Vukovar
🟨
45'
Vito Čaić
Vukovar
🟨
49'
Stjepan Lončar
Istra 1961
🔄
67'
E. Frederiksen ↔ S. Gorican
Istra 1961
75'
J. Puljic
Vukovar
🔄
78'
L. Banovec ↔ L. Kulusic
Vukovar
🟨
81'
Lovre Kulušić
Vukovar
🔄
81'
V. Rozic ↔ A. Obando
Istra 1961
🔄
81'
L. Stulac ↔ G. Albarracin
Istra 1961
🔄
87'
S. Butic ↔ A. Jurilj
Vukovar
🟨
90+17'
Allen Obando
Istra 1961
VAR
90+2'
Antonio Maurić
Istra 1961
🟨
90+7'
Marino Bulat
Vukovar
VAR
90+15'
Robin González
Vukovar
🔄
90+6'
K. Cabrajic ↔ K. Calhanoglu
Vukovar

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 71.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 63.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
71.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
63.1%
-
Probability Distribution
Istra 1961 Win 60.3%
Draw 23.8%
Vukovar Win 15.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Istra 19611.49
Vukovar1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Istra 1961 Istra 1961
WWDLW
34 GF / 42 GA
Vukovar Vukovar
WLDWL
28 GF / 57 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
0.97
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.97
17
BTTS Yes
18
16
Over 2.5
16
3.07
Shots on Goal
2.59

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Istra 1961 Istra 1961 29 matches
Vukovar Vukovar 29 matches
Istra 1961 Statistic Vukovar
10 Wins 4
6 Draws 9
13 Losses 16
34 Goals For 28
42 Goals Against 57
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.97
17 BTTS Yes 18
23 Over 1.5 24
16 Over 2.5 16
6 Over 3.5 11
4 Clean Sheets 3
9 Failed To Score 9
3.07 Shots On Goal 2.59
9.72 Total Shots 7.48
3.83 Corners 2.79
47% Ball Possession 34.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Vukovar. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Istra 1961 Analysis

With 36 points from 29 games and a place of 7, Istra 1961 still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 13 defeats with a -:- goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on S. Prevljak (11 goals), S. Lawal (5 goals), E. Frederiksen (4 goals), with creative support from E. Frederiksen (5 assists), S. Loncar (5 assists), S. Prevljak (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a balanced approach.

Vukovar Analysis

With 21 points from 29 games and a place of 10, Vukovar still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 9 draws, and 16 defeats, and the -:- goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Puljic (11 goals), R. Gonzalez (6 goals), Lovro Banovec (3 goals), with creative support from Lovro Banovec (4 assists), M. Ticinovic (3 assists), R. Gonzalez (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a balanced approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Istra 1961 won 0 times, Vukovar won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:7 from Istra 1961's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (84.1%)
Predicted formations: Istra 1961 4-2-3-1 / Vukovar 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Istra 1961 wins 0, draws 2, Vukovar wins 2
Stats
Istra 1961 Istra 1961
Vukovar Vukovar
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
2
8 Corner Kicks 3
16 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 2
72% Ball Possession 28%
17 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Goal 3
9 Shots off Goal 3
5 Blocked Shots 2
9 Shots insidebox 7
8 Shots outsidebox 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
562 Total passes 228
480 Passes accurate 153
1.26 expected_goals 1.97
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Istra 1961
Formation
Vukovar
F. Kolic
F. Kolic
A. Kadusic
A. Kadusic
F. Taraba
F. Taraba
R. Kumar
R. Kumar
M. Heister
M. Heister
S. Loncar
🎯
S. Loncar
L. Stulac
L. Stulac
E. Frederiksen
E. Frederiksen
A. Mauric
A. Mauric
V. Rozic
V. Rozic
S. Prevljak
S. Prevljak
M. Bulat
M. Bulat
M. Zivkovic
🎯
M. Zivkovic
N. Vlasenko
N. Vlasenko
V. Caic
V. Caic
K. Cabrajic
K. Cabrajic
E. Shabani
E. Shabani
J. Gurlica
J. Gurlica
S. Butic
S. Butic
R. Gonzalez
R. Gonzalez
L. Banovec
L. Banovec
J. Puljic
J. Puljic
Istra 1961 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
F. Kolic
G
97
A. Kadusic
D
24
F. Taraba
D
38
R. Kumar
D
26
M. Heister
D
10
S. Loncar
🎯 21' 🟨 49'
M
23
L. Stulac
↓ 81'
M
17
E. Frederiksen
↓ 67'
M
8
A. Mauric
M
7
V. Rozic
⚽ 21' ↓ 81'
M
9
S. Prevljak
F
Substitutes
40
J. Paus-Kunst
G
16
S. Miettinen
D
29
A. Obando
↑ 81' 🟨 90+17'
F
13
N. Sepic
D
20
D. Ahmeti
M
15
E. Sama
F
11
S. Gorican
↑ 67'
F
3
M. Nasraoui
D
44
R. Hrvatin
D
25
G. Albarracin
↑ 81'
M
77
C. Agada
F
Vukovar 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
M. Bulat
🟨 90+7'
G
14
M. Zivkovic
🎯 36'
D
5
N. Vlasenko
D
13
V. Caic
🟨 45'
D
20
K. Cabrajic
↓ 90+6'
D
77
E. Shabani
M
35
J. Gurlica
M
27
S. Butic
⚽ 36' ↓ 87'
M
10
R. Gonzalez
M
28
L. Banovec
↓ 78'
M
21
J. Puljic
⚽ 75' 🟨 31'
F
Substitutes
12
D. Damjanovic
G
19
A. Jurilj
↑ 87'
M
39
P. Bugas
F
33
L. Klanac
F
26
J. Elez
D
50
J. Spoljaric
M
6
J. Biljan
M
7
K. Calhanoglu
↑ 90+6'
D
11
L. Kulusic
↑ 78' 🟨 81'
F
24
N. Pajvancic
F
Last matches: Istra 1961
03.07.26
Fri
Istra 1961
Opatija
3
0
W
23.05.26
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Varazdin
0
2
L
17.05.26
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Rijeka
0
0
D
10.05.26
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Osijek
1
0
W
04.05.26
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Slaven Belupo
3
1
W
27.04.26
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Gorica
0
1
L
22.04.26
HNL
Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
0
2
L
11.04.26
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0
2
L
07.04.26
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Hajduk Split
1
3
L
20.03.26
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Varazdin
2
1
W
15.03.26
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Rijeka
2
0
W
06.03.26
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Osijek
0
1
L
27.02.26
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Slaven Belupo
0
1
L
21.02.26
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Gorica
0
2
L
14.02.26
HNL
Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
0
4
L
07.02.26
HNL
Istra 1961
Vukovar
2
3
L
30.01.26
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
25.01.26
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Hajduk Split
2
1
W
20.01.26
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Rijeka
1
2
L
14.01.26
Fri
Istra 1961
Radomlje
3
1
W
Last matches: Vukovar
22.05.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Hajduk Split
3
6
L
15.05.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Varazdin
0
2
L
08.05.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Rijeka
0
3
L
02.05.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Osijek
1
0
W
25.04.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Slaven Belupo
2
2
D
22.04.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Gorica
1
2
L
13.04.26
HNL
Vukovar
Dinamo Zagreb
1
4
L
07.04.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
21.03.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Hajduk Split
0
6
L
13.03.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Varazdin
0
2
L
08.03.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Rijeka
0
1
L
28.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Osijek
0
2
L
20.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Slaven Belupo
2
2
D
15.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Gorica
0
0
D
07.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
Istra 1961
3
2
W
02.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
Dinamo Zagreb
1
3
L
24.01.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
Vukovar
Velež
1
2
L
13.01.26
Fri
Vukovar
NK Slaven Belupo
2
2
D
10.01.26
Fri
Vukovar
Primorje
3
0
W
H2H: Istra 1961 vs Vukovar
18.04.26
H2H
Istra 1961
Vukovar
1
2
L
07.02.26
H2H
Vukovar
Istra 1961
3
2
L
01.11.25
H2H
Istra 1961
Vukovar
1
1
D
15.08.25
H2H
Vukovar
Istra 1961
1
1
D
Last matches: Istra 1961
03.07.26
Fri
Istra 1961
Opatija
3
0
W
17.05.26
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Rijeka
0
0
D
04.05.26
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Slaven Belupo
3
1
W
22.04.26
HNL
Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
0
2
L
07.04.26
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Hajduk Split
1
3
L
20.03.26
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Varazdin
2
1
W
06.03.26
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Osijek
0
1
L
21.02.26
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Gorica
0
2
L
30.01.26
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
20.01.26
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Rijeka
1
2
L
14.01.26
Fri
Istra 1961
Radomlje
3
1
W
10.01.26
Fri
Istra 1961
Opatija
6
1
W
29.11.25
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Slaven Belupo
1
1
D
09.11.25
HNL
Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
2
1
W
01.11.25
HNL
Istra 1961
Vukovar
1
1
D
19.10.25
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Hajduk Split
0
3
L
03.10.25
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Varazdin
1
0
W
21.09.25
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Osijek
2
1
W
29.08.25
HNL
Istra 1961
HNK Gorica
1
0
W
09.08.25
HNL
Istra 1961
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2
2
D
H2H at home: Istra 1961
18.04.26
H2H
Istra 1961
Vukovar
1
2
L
01.11.25
H2H
Istra 1961
Vukovar
1
1
D
Last matches: Vukovar
22.05.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Hajduk Split
3
6
L
08.05.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Rijeka
0
3
L
25.04.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Slaven Belupo
2
2
D
13.03.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Varazdin
0
2
L
28.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Osijek
0
2
L
15.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Gorica
0
0
D
02.02.26
HNL
Vukovar
Dinamo Zagreb
1
3
L
24.01.26
HNL
Vukovar
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
2
L
13.01.26
Fri
Vukovar
NK Slaven Belupo
2
2
D
21.12.25
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Hajduk Split
1
2
L
06.12.25
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Rijeka
1
3
L
21.11.25
HNL
Vukovar
NK Slaven Belupo
1
4
L
07.11.25
HNL
Vukovar
HNK Gorica
1
1
D
01.11.25
HNL
Vukovar
Istra 1961
1
1
D
26.09.25
HNL
Vukovar
NK Varazdin
1
2
L
14.09.25
HNL
Vukovar
NK Osijek
0
4
L
08.08.25
HNL
Vukovar
Dinamo Zagreb
0
3
L
01.08.25
HNL
Vukovar
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0
1
L
H2H away: Vukovar
18.04.26
H2H
Istra 1961
Vukovar
1
2
W
01.11.25
H2H
Istra 1961
Vukovar
1
1
D

Standings

HNL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 27 5 4 93:28 65 86
D W W W W
2 36 20 8 8 61:36 25 68
W D L W D
3 36 15 9 12 47:46 1 54
W W D L L
4 36 14 11 11 49:36 13 53
W D W W D
5 36 10 14 12 40:52 -12 44
D D D L D
6 36 12 7 17 39:50 -11 43
L D W W L
7 36 10 11 15 46:61 -15 41
L L W L D
8 36 11 8 17 40:48 -8 41
L W L L W
9 36 8 11 17 27:49 -22 35
W L L L D
10 36 6 10 20 37:73 -36 28
L L L W D
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation