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13.09.2026 15:00
Stadion Aldo Drosina
Referee: Antonio Melnjak, Croatia
Istra 1961
Match Timeline
Rudes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
11'
E. Frederiksen
Istra 1961
⚽
28'
E. Frederiksen · Assist: N. Skafar Zuzic
Istra 1961
🟨
35'
Marko Stolnik
Rudes
🔄
46'
N. Skoko ↔ C. Diabate
Rudes
🔄
46'
T. Kolega ↔ L. Ilecic
Rudes
🟨
58'
Hamza Jaganjac
Istra 1961
⚽
58'
E. Frederiksen · Assist: D. Ahmeti
Istra 1961
🔄
65'
H. Jaganjac ↔ Isaac
Istra 1961
🔄
66'
N. Skafar Zuzic ↔ V. Rozic
Istra 1961
🔄
67'
S. El Haddad ↔ J. Poldrugac
Rudes
🔄
67'
Xavi ↔ V. Seitz
Rudes
🟨
70'
Lovre Rogić
Rudes
🔄
73'
↔ S. Ukich
Istra 1961
🔄
77'
M. Stolnik ↔ V. Celjak
Rudes
🔄
82'
R. Hrvatin ↔ A. Kadusic
Istra 1961
🔄
82'
E. Frederiksen ↔ M. Kablar
Istra 1961
⚽
85'
C. Saho
Rudes
⚽
89'
L. Ilecic · Assist: V. Seitz
Rudes

Istra 1961 vs Rudes Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
72.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Istra 1961 Win 67.7%
Draw 11.1%
Rudes Win 21.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Istra 19612.57
Rudes1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Istra 1961 Istra 1961
D D L W D
9 GF / 7 GA
Rudes Rudes
L L W L L
5 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
2.47
Average Goals Scored
1.36
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
2.73
12
BTTS Yes
6
13
Over 2.5
8
4.17
Shots on Goal
2.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Istra 1961 Istra 1961 15 matches
Rudes Rudes 11 matches
Istra 1961 Statistic Rudes
6 Wins 3
7 Draws 1
2 Losses 7
37 Goals For 15
22 Goals Against 30
2.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 2.73
12 BTTS Yes 6
14 Over 1.5 11
13 Over 2.5 8
10 Over 3.5 7
3 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 4
4.17 Shots On Goal 2.67
12.67 Total Shots 8.17
4.83 Corners 2.83
44.5% Ball Possession 42.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Istra 1961's more proactive style and Rudes's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Rudes. Rudes arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Istra 1961 Analysis

Istra 1961 are currently 6 in the standings with 6 points from 6 matches. The record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 11:10 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through E. Frederiksen (4 goals), H. Jaganjac (1 goals), D. Ahmeti (1 goals), with creative support from H. Jaganjac (1 assists), D. Ahmeti (1 assists), N. Skafar Zuzic (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Rudes Analysis

Rudes sit 8 with 3 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 6:15, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Lenny Ilečić (1 goals), Xavier Fernandes (1 goals), Ivan Đorić (1 goals), with creative support from Lenny Ilečić (2 assists), Jurica Poldrugač (2 assists), Vedran Celjak (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Istra 1961 won 8 times, Rudes won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:11 from Istra 1961's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.9%)
Predicted formations: Istra 1961 4-2-3-1 / Rudes 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Istra 1961 wins 8, draws 2, Rudes wins 4

Standings

HNL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 8 2 2 26:11 15 26
W D W W L
2 11 7 1 3 25:14 11 22
L W W L W
3 12 6 2 4 22:17 5 20
W L D L D
4 12 5 4 3 16:11 5 19
D L L W D
5 11 5 3 3 18:15 3 18
D L W L W
6 12 4 4 4 21:18 3 16
W D L W L
7 12 4 1 7 14:25 -11 13
L W L W D
8
Rudes Away
12 4 1 7 15:27 -12 13
W W L W D
9 12 3 2 7 14:20 -6 11
L D W L L
10 12 1 4 7 7:20 -13 7
L D D L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL