CROATIA HNL
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Aldo Drosina
Referee: F. Dragasevic
Istra 1961
Match Timeline
NK Slaven Belupo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
S. Prevljak · Assist: R. Hrvatin
Istra 1961
23'
S. Prevljak · Assist: V. Rozic
Istra 1961
38'
M. Dabro · Assist: A. Grgic
NK Slaven Belupo
🔄
57'
A. Grgic ↔ M. Leskovic
NK Slaven Belupo
63'
V. Rozic · Assist: M. Heister
Istra 1961
🔄
66'
E. Frederiksen ↔ D. Ahmeti
Istra 1961
🔄
66'
R. Hrvatin ↔ A. Kadusic
Istra 1961
🔄
67'
M. Petrovic ↔ G. Sivalec
NK Slaven Belupo
🔄
75'
M. Dabro ↔ M. Ascic
NK Slaven Belupo
🔄
75'
I. Lepinjica ↔ E. Qestaj
NK Slaven Belupo
🔄
76'
M. Heister ↔ N. Sepic
Istra 1961
🔄
76'
V. Rozic ↔ A. Mauric
Istra 1961
🔄
87'
S. Loncar ↔ L. Stulac
Istra 1961

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw or Away
Probability 82.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 25.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 40.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw or Away
82.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
25.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
40.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83.1%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Istra 1961 Win 17.2%
Draw 36.8%
NK Slaven Belupo Win 46%
Expected Goals (xG)
Istra 19611.31
NK Slaven Belupo1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Istra 1961 Istra 1961
WWDLW
35 GF / 47 GA
NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo
WLDWL
43 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
1.09
Average Goals Scored
1.34
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.63
18
BTTS Yes
22
17
Over 2.5
20
3
Shots on Goal
3.81

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Istra 1961 Istra 1961 32 matches
NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 32 matches
Istra 1961 Statistic NK Slaven Belupo
10 Wins 9
6 Draws 11
16 Losses 12
35 Goals For 43
47 Goals Against 52
1.09 Avg Goals Scored 1.34
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.63
18 BTTS Yes 22
25 Over 1.5 28
17 Over 2.5 20
6 Over 3.5 11
4 Clean Sheets 5
11 Failed To Score 8
3 Shots On Goal 3.81
9.94 Total Shots 11.75
3.94 Corners 3.5
47.9% Ball Possession 47.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Istra 1961 expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and NK Slaven Belupo in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward NK Slaven Belupo having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward NK Slaven Belupo.

Istra 1961 Analysis

Istra 1961 approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 36 points from 32 matches. The overall return of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 16 defeats with a 35:47 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on S. Prevljak (11 goals), S. Lawal (5 goals), E. Frederiksen (4 goals), with creative support from S. Loncar (6 assists), E. Frederiksen (5 assists), S. Prevljak (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

NK Slaven Belupo Analysis

NK Slaven Belupo sit 7 with 38 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 9 wins, 11 draws, and 12 defeats with a 43:52 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Josip Mitrović (8 goals), A. Jagusic (7 goals), I. Nestorovski (6 goals), with creative support from Ante Šuto (5 assists), L. Crepulja (5 assists), A. Jagusic (4 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Istra 1961 won 5 times, NK Slaven Belupo won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:15 from Istra 1961's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (82.8%)
Predicted formations: Istra 1961 4-2-3-1 / NK Slaven Belupo 4-3-3
H2H summary: Istra 1961 wins 5, draws 6, NK Slaven Belupo wins 4

Standings

HNL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 27 5 4 93:28 65 86
D W W W W
2 36 20 8 8 61:36 25 68
W D L W D
3 36 15 9 12 47:46 1 54
W W D L L
4 36 14 11 11 49:36 13 53
W D W W D
5 36 10 14 12 40:52 -12 44
D D D L D
6 36 12 7 17 39:50 -11 43
L D W W L
7 36 10 11 15 46:61 -15 41
L L W L D
8 36 11 8 17 40:48 -8 41
L W L L W
9 36 8 11 17 27:49 -22 35
W L L L D
10 36 6 10 20 37:73 -36 28
L L L W D
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation