TURKEY 1. LIG
01.05.2026 14:00
Esenyurt Necmi Kadioglu Stadyumu
Referee: H. Aydin Duygu
İstanbulspor
Match Timeline
Adana Demirspor
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
D. Aydin
İstanbulspor
15'
O. F. Duymaz · Assist: Y. Ozer
İstanbulspor
21'
O. Sahan · Assist: Y. Ozer
İstanbulspor
28'
A. Cham · Assist: D. Duhaney
İstanbulspor
41'
A. Bolat · Assist: G. Tunc
Adana Demirspor
🔄
46'
M. Vorobjovas ↔ M. Mert
İstanbulspor
🔄
46'
D. Aydin ↔ V. Temel
İstanbulspor
47'
A. Cham
İstanbulspor
VAR
54'
Alieu Cham
İstanbulspor
🔄
61'
K. Saygan ↔ D. Yavuz
Adana Demirspor
🔄
61'
M. Menemencioglu ↔ U. Imergi
Adana Demirspor
65'
A. Atay
İstanbulspor
🔄
69'
A. Sarikaya ↔ H. A. Kaya
Adana Demirspor
73'
D. Duhaney · Assist: Y. Ozer
İstanbulspor
🔄
74'
Phellipe ↔ M. Krstovski
İstanbulspor
🔄
74'
D. Duhaney ↔ M. Dagasan
İstanbulspor
🔄
74'
K. Kucuk ↔ A. Yilmaz
Adana Demirspor
🔄
74'
T. Bayar ↔ Y. Can Okat
Adana Demirspor
VAR
77'
Ahmet Yilmaz
Adana Demirspor
🟥
78'
Ahmet Yilmaz
Adana Demirspor
80'
O. F. Duymaz
İstanbulspor
🔄
82'
D. Sahin ↔ F. Tultak
İstanbulspor
🟨
86'
Muhlis Dağaşan
İstanbulspor
🟨
90'
Murat Uğur Eser
Adana Demirspor

İstanbulspor vs Adana Demirspor Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 89.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 22.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 13.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
89.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
22.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
13.9%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
85.1%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
İstanbulspor Win 89.6%
Draw 10.4%
Adana Demirspor Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
İstanbulspor2.53
Adana Demirspor0.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
İstanbulspor İstanbulspor
WWDLW
49 GF / 54 GA
Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor
WLDWL
21 GF / 161 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
0.57
1.46
Average Goals Conceded
4.35
20
BTTS Yes
15
21
Over 2.5
35
4.3
Shots on Goal
2.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 37 matches
Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 37 matches
İstanbulspor Statistic Adana Demirspor
12 Wins 1
13 Draws 3
12 Losses 33
49 Goals For 21
54 Goals Against 161
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 0.57
1.46 Avg Goals Conceded 4.35
20 BTTS Yes 15
26 Over 1.5 36
21 Over 2.5 35
16 Over 3.5 29
9 Clean Sheets 0
13 Failed To Score 22
4.3 Shots On Goal 2.43
11.35 Total Shots 6.14
3.51 Corners 1.59
47.5% Ball Possession 37.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Adana Demirspor arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. İstanbulspor arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 14 with 49 points compared to Adana Demirspor in 20 on -57, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with İstanbulspor expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Adana Demirspor in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Adana Demirspor having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Adana Demirspor.

İstanbulspor Analysis

With 49 points from 37 games and a place of 14, İstanbulspor still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 12 wins, 13 draws, and 12 defeats with a 49:54 goal balance points toward good form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Krstovski (7 goals), Florian Loshaj (6 goals), Emir Kaan Gültekin (5 goals), with creative support from D. Sambissa (8 assists), Florian Loshaj (5 assists), O. F. Duymaz (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Adana Demirspor Analysis

Adana Demirspor approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with -57 points from 37 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 33 defeats with a 21:161 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on S. Kavrazli (7 goals), Kursat Turkes Kucuk (3 goals), A. Bolat (2 goals), with creative support from C. Kaban (2 assists), S. Kavrazli (1 assists), Kursat Turkes Kucuk (1 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 17 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, İstanbulspor won 4 times, Adana Demirspor won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:30 from İstanbulspor's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (100%)
Predicted formations: İstanbulspor 4-4-2 / Adana Demirspor 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: İstanbulspor wins 4, draws 3, Adana Demirspor wins 8

Standings

1. Lig
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 23 12 3 82:27 55 81
D D D W W
2 38 21 11 6 81:42 39 74
D D L D D
3 38 21 11 6 81:35 46 74
L D L W W
4 38 21 8 9 63:39 24 71
W W L W D
5 38 18 10 10 71:39 32 64
L W W L D
6 38 16 15 7 58:33 25 63
L D W D D
7 38 16 12 10 73:43 30 60
L W W L D
8 38 16 12 10 47:34 13 60
W D W D D
9 38 16 7 15 57:56 1 55
W L W W W
10 38 14 11 13 47:43 4 53
L W L L W
11 38 13 13 12 57:55 2 52
W W W W L
12 38 15 7 16 44:44 0 52
W W L W D
13 38 13 11 14 52:54 -2 50
D L D W L
14 38 13 10 15 52:47 5 49
L L W L W
15 38 14 6 18 61:57 4 48
W L W L L
16 38 13 7 18 47:51 -4 46
L W L D W
17 38 11 6 21 44:75 -31 39
L W L D L
18 38 8 10 20 45:72 -27 34
L L D L L
19 38 2 8 28 33:102 -69 14
W L D L W
20 38 1 3 34 22:169 -147 -57
L L L L L
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Qualification Playoffs
Relegation