COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
12.09.2026 23:00
Francisco Rivera Escobar
Internacional Palmira
Match Timeline
Real Cartagena
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
20'
R. Correa
Internacional Palmira
🟨
22'
Real Cartagena
Real Cartagena
🟨
27'
Internacional Palmira
Internacional Palmira
🟨
46'
Internacional Palmira
Internacional Palmira
🔄
46'
K. Gonzalez ↔ F. Castillo
Internacional Palmira
🔄
59'
R. Correa ↔ R. Brochero
Internacional Palmira
59'
F. Montero
Real Cartagena
🔄
67'
D. Orozco ↔ J. Angulo
Internacional Palmira
🔄
67'
J. Popo ↔ J. J. Velez Carey
Internacional Palmira
🔄
67'
J. Rodallega ↔ J. Moreno
Internacional Palmira
🔄
67'
D. Pino ↔ J. Rodriguez
Real Cartagena
🔄
67'
J. Aleman ↔ D. Castillo
Real Cartagena
🟨
75'
Internacional Palmira
Internacional Palmira
🟨
80'
Internacional Palmira
Internacional Palmira
🔄
81'
J. Barrera ↔ J. P. Gallego
Real Cartagena
85'
A. Mejia
Internacional Palmira
🔄
89'
C. Paternina ↔ L. Yanes
Real Cartagena
🔄
89'
E. Lopez ↔ M. Manotas
Real Cartagena

Internacional Palmira vs Real Cartagena Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 61.2%
Odds 2.56
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.74
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds 2.03
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
61.2%
2.56
BTTS Yes
58.2%
1.74
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
2.03
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
Internacional Palmira Win 28.5%
Draw 10.3%
Real Cartagena Win 61.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Internacional Palmira1.21
Real Cartagena1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Internacional Palmira Internacional Palmira
WWDLW
36 GF / 26 GA
Real Cartagena Real Cartagena
WLDWL
49 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.63
0.93
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
14
BTTS Yes
17
14
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Internacional Palmira Internacional Palmira 28 matches
Real Cartagena Real Cartagena 30 matches
Internacional Palmira Statistic Real Cartagena
14 Wins 15
8 Draws 8
6 Losses 7
36 Goals For 49
26 Goals Against 33
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
0.93 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
14 BTTS Yes 17
17 Over 1.5 23
14 Over 2.5 15
7 Over 3.5 8
11 Clean Sheets 9
7 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Real Cartagena. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Real Cartagena having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Internacional Palmira Analysis

Internacional Palmira arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 50 points after 27 matches. Their overall return of 14 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 36:25 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Real Cartagena Analysis

Real Cartagena arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 50 points after 29 matches. The record of 14 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 48:33 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Internacional Palmira won 1 times, Real Cartagena won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:8 from Internacional Palmira's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.14 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.7%)
H2H summary: Internacional Palmira wins 1, draws 4, Real Cartagena wins 2

Standings

Primera B: Apertura - Quadrangular
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 3 2 1 6:3 3 11
W W D D W
1 6 4 1 1 8:6 2 13
W W L W W
2 6 3 1 2 4:3 1 10
L L W W D
2 6 2 3 1 8:4 4 9
D D W L W
3 6 1 4 1 3:3 0 7
D W D D D
3 6 1 3 2 5:6 -1 6
L D D W L
4 6 1 1 4 4:8 -4 4
D L L L L
4 6 0 3 3 3:8 -5 3
D L D L L
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Play Offs: Final)