COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
15.10.2026 23:00
Francisco Rivera Escobar

Internacional Palmira vs Orsomarso Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 75.7%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
75.7%
-
BTTS No
60.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 1-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Internacional Palmira Win 53.1%
Draw 22.6%
Orsomarso Win 24.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Internacional Palmira1.21
Orsomarso0.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
Internacional Palmira Internacional Palmira
WWDLW
38 GF / 27 GA
Orsomarso Orsomarso
WLDWL
17 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
0.77
0.93
Average Goals Conceded
1.05
15
BTTS Yes
6
15
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Internacional Palmira Internacional Palmira 29 matches
Orsomarso Orsomarso 22 matches
Internacional Palmira Statistic Orsomarso
15 Wins 6
8 Draws 7
6 Losses 9
38 Goals For 17
27 Goals Against 23
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 0.77
0.93 Avg Goals Conceded 1.05
15 BTTS Yes 6
18 Over 1.5 13
15 Over 2.5 5
7 Over 3.5 3
11 Clean Sheets 8
7 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Internacional Palmira's more proactive style and Orsomarso's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Orsomarso. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Orsomarso having the stronger overall control. Internacional Palmira have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Internacional Palmira arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 50 points compared to Orsomarso in 11 on 25, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Internacional Palmira Analysis

With 50 points from 28 games and a place of 3, Internacional Palmira still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 14 wins, 8 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 36:26 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Orsomarso Analysis

Orsomarso sit 11 with 25 points after 20 league matches. The record of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 17:19 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Internacional Palmira won 2 times, Orsomarso won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:10 from Internacional Palmira's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.11 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.4%)
H2H summary: Internacional Palmira wins 2, draws 4, Orsomarso wins 3

Standings

Primera B: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 31 15 8 8 50:35 15 53
L W L W W
2 29 15 8 6 38:27 11 53
W L L L W
3 29 14 9 6 30:18 12 51
L D D W W
4 30 14 8 8 40:28 12 50
D D L L L
5 29 14 6 9 40:28 12 48
W L L W L
6 29 10 8 11 27:25 2 38
D W L W W
7 23 9 9 5 23:16 7 36
W D W W L
8 24 9 7 8 29:29 0 34
L W W W L
9 29 9 7 13 35:39 -4 34
L L W W L
10 29 8 10 11 23:30 -7 34
D L L W L
11 23 6 9 8 27:27 0 27
W W W L D
12 22 6 7 9 17:23 -6 25
L L L W D
13 23 5 9 9 25:30 -5 24
W W D L L
14 23 5 8 10 24:32 -8 23
W W W W L
15 24 4 7 13 15:39 -24 19
L D L L L
16 23 3 8 12 20:37 -17 17
L D W W D
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)