ITALY SERIE A
05.09.2026 16:00
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Referee: S. Sozza
Inter
Match Timeline
Napoli
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
35'
Antonio Vergara
Napoli
🔄
46'
P. Sucic ↔ C. Jones
Inter
🔄
46'
F. Esposito ↔ M. Thuram
Inter
50'
M. Politano
Napoli
53'
R. Hojlund · Assist: G. Di Lorenzo
Napoli
56'
L. Martinez · Assist: F. Dimarco
Inter
🔄
62'
F. Dimarco ↔ Carlos Augusto
Inter
🔄
62'
A. Vergara ↔ K. De Bruyne
Napoli
🔄
62'
M. Politano ↔ David Neres
Napoli
🟨
68'
Lautaro Martínez
Inter
🔄
72'
P. Zielinski ↔ H. Calhanoglu
Inter
🔄
72'
R. Hojlund ↔ L. Lucca
Napoli
🟨
77'
Rafa Marín
Napoli
🔄
79'
A. Bastoni ↔ A. Bonny
Inter
🔄
79'
S. Lobotka ↔ B. Gilmour
Napoli
🔄
80'
Alisson Santos ↔ B. Badiashile
Napoli
82'
M. Thuram · Assist: Carlos Augusto
Inter
90'
L. Martinez · Assist: M. Akanji
Inter

Inter vs Napoli Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 47%
Odds 1.68
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.4%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.91
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
47%
1.68
BTTS Yes
67.4%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
1.91
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80.5%
1.83
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.00
Probability Distribution
Inter Win 47%
Draw 14.8%
Napoli Win 38.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Inter1.54
Napoli1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Inter Inter
WWDLW
12 GF / 5 GA
Napoli Napoli
WLDWL
15 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
2.14
0.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
5
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
4
6
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Inter Inter 7 matches
Napoli Napoli 7 matches
Inter Statistic Napoli
5 Wins 4
2 Draws 1
0 Losses 2
12 Goals For 15
5 Goals Against 9
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 2.14
0.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
5 BTTS Yes 5
5 Over 1.5 7
3 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 0
6 Shots On Goal 3
22 Total Shots 13
4.5 Corners 3.5
67.5% Ball Possession 48%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Inter won 6 times, Napoli won 2 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:16 from Inter's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.2%)
Predicted formations: Inter 3-5-2 / Napoli 4-3-3
Missing players: Inter 1, Napoli 4
H2H summary: Inter wins 6, draws 7, Napoli wins 2

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 1 0 14:3 11 13
D W W W W
2
Inter Home
5 4 1 0 15:8 7 13
D W W W W
3 5 4 1 0 8:3 5 13
W D W W W
4 5 4 0 1 5:2 3 12
W W W L W
5 4 3 1 0 9:4 5 10
W W W D
6 4 2 2 0 7:4 3 8
D D W W
7 4 2 1 1 7:4 3 7
D W W L
8 4 2 1 1 6:4 2 7
L D W W
9 5 2 1 2 9:9 0 7
L W D W L
10 4 2 0 2 6:5 1 6
W L L W
11 4 2 0 2 5:5 0 6
L L W W
12 4 2 0 2 5:7 -2 6
W L L W
13 5 1 1 3 8:11 -3 4
L L L W D
14 5 1 1 3 5:8 -3 4
D L W L L
15 5 1 1 3 8:12 -4 4
W L D L L
16 4 1 0 3 5:11 -6 3
W L L L
17 5 0 2 3 3:6 -3 2
D L D L L
18 4 0 1 3 2:6 -4 1
L D L L
19 4 0 1 3 2:8 -6 1
D L L L
20 5 0 0 5 4:13 -9 0
L L L L L
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Relegation