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ITALY › SERIE A
14.01.2026 19:45
Inter
FT
1 - 0
Lecce
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Referee: Fabio Maresca, Italy
Inter
Match Timeline
Lecce
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
Marcus Thuram
Inter
VAR
26'
Ange-Yoan Bonny
Inter
🔄
56'
N. Barella ↔ D. Frattesi
Inter
🔄
56'
A. Bonny ↔ F. Esposito
Inter
🔄
57'
A. Diouf ↔ Luis Henrique
Inter
🟨
63'
Danilo Veiga
Lecce
🔄
69'
R. Sottil ↔ Tete Morente
Lecce
🔄
69'
O. Gandelman ↔ M. Kaba
Lecce
🔄
72'
H. Mkhitaryan ↔ L. Martinez
Inter
⚽
78'
F. Esposito
Inter
🔄
82'
S. Pierotti ↔ K. Ndri
Lecce
🔄
86'
Y. Maleh ↔ A. Sala
Lecce
🔄
87'
M. Thuram ↔ P. Sucic
Inter
🟨
90+3'
Luís Henrique
Inter

Inter vs Lecce Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Inter Win 0%
Draw 0%
Lecce Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Inter1.9
Lecce0.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
Inter Inter
WWDLW
60 GF / 23 GA
Lecce Lecce
WLDWL
15 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
2.22
Average Goals Scored
0.71
0.85
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
13
BTTS Yes
7
17
Over 2.5
8
5.93
Shots on Goal
2.52

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Inter Inter 27 matches
Lecce Lecce 21 matches
Inter Statistic Lecce
19 Wins 5
2 Draws 5
6 Losses 11
60 Goals For 15
23 Goals Against 30
2.22 Avg Goals Scored 0.71
0.85 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
13 BTTS Yes 7
23 Over 1.5 14
17 Over 2.5 8
9 Over 3.5 3
12 Clean Sheets 7
2 Failed To Score 10
5.93 Shots On Goal 2.52
17.52 Total Shots 9.33
6.48 Corners 4.67
58.1% Ball Possession 42.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Inter won 11 times, Lecce won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:5 from Inter's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Inter 3-5-2 / Lecce 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Inter wins 11, draws 2, Lecce wins 1

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Inter Home
38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2
Napoli
38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3
AS Roma
38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4
Como
38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5
AC Milan
38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6
Juventus
38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7
Atalanta
38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8
Bologna
38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9
Lazio
38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10
Udinese
38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11
Sassuolo
38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12
Torino
38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13
Parma
38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14
Cagliari
38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15
Fiorentina
38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16
Genoa
38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17
Lecce Away
38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18
Cremonese
38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19
Hellas Verona
38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20
Pisa
38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B