ITALY SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Referee: A. Calzavara
Inter
Match Timeline
Hellas Verona
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
A. Bernede ↔ A. Harroui
Hellas Verona
47'
A. Edmundsson
Inter
🟨
60'
Nicolás Valentini
Hellas Verona
🔄
61'
R. Belghali ↔ J. Akpa Akpro
Hellas Verona
🔄
61'
T. Suslov ↔ A. Sarr
Hellas Verona
🔄
63'
A. Diouf ↔ P. Zielinski
Inter
🔄
64'
A. Bonny ↔ F. Esposito
Inter
🔄
64'
M. Darmian ↔ F. Dimarco
Inter
🔄
75'
L. Martinez ↔ M. Mosconi
Inter
🔄
81'
Y. Sommer ↔ R. Di Gennaro
Inter
🔄
84'
M. Frese ↔ D. Bradaric
Hellas Verona
🔄
84'
S. Lovric ↔ I. Vermesan
Hellas Verona
🟨
89'
Roberto Gagliardini
Hellas Verona
90'
K. Bowie
Hellas Verona

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 87.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
87.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Inter Win 87.3%
Draw 0%
Hellas Verona Win 12.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Inter1.95
Hellas Verona0.76
Recent Form (Last 5)
Inter Inter
WWDLW
115 GF / 48 GA
Hellas Verona Hellas Verona
WLDWL
25 GF / 59 GA
Key Stats
2.21
Average Goals Scored
0.66
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
25
BTTS Yes
18
30
Over 2.5
19
5.81
Shots on Goal
3.53

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Inter Inter 52 matches
Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 38 matches
Inter Statistic Hellas Verona
36 Wins 3
6 Draws 13
10 Losses 22
115 Goals For 25
48 Goals Against 59
2.21 Avg Goals Scored 0.66
0.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55
25 BTTS Yes 18
44 Over 1.5 25
30 Over 2.5 19
18 Over 3.5 8
24 Clean Sheets 7
4 Failed To Score 20
5.81 Shots On Goal 3.53
16.94 Total Shots 10.82
6.04 Corners 3.87
58.8% Ball Possession 39.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Inter's more proactive style and Hellas Verona's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Hellas Verona. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Inter come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Inter arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 85 points compared to Hellas Verona in 19 on 20, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Inter expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Hellas Verona in 3-5-1-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Hellas Verona having the stronger overall control.

Inter Analysis

Inter approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 85 points after 36 outings. The return of 27 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 85:31, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through L. Martinez (17 goals), M. Thuram (13 goals), H. Calhanoglu (9 goals), with creative support from F. Dimarco (17 assists), N. Barella (7 assists), L. Martinez (6 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, their record of 14 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Hellas Verona Analysis

Hellas Verona approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 20 points from 36 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 11 draws, and 22 losses, together with goals at 24:58, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through G. Orban (7 goals), Giovane (3 goals), Kieron Bowie (3 goals), with creative support from Giovane (5 assists), G. Orban (2 assists), A. Sarr (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Inter won 12 times, Hellas Verona won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 35:10 from Inter's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Inter 3-5-2 / Hellas Verona 3-5-1-1
Missing players: Inter 1, Hellas Verona 4
H2H summary: Inter wins 12, draws 3, Hellas Verona wins 0

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Inter Home
38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B