ITALY SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Referee: Simone Sozza, Italy
Inter
Match Timeline
AC Milan
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
45+2'
Rafael Leão
AC Milan
54'
C. Pulisic
AC Milan
🟨
61'
Hakan Çalhanoğlu
Inter
🔄
65'
L. Martinez ↔ A. Bonny
Inter
VAR
71'
Marcus Thuram
Inter
🟨
72'
Strahinja Pavlović
AC Milan
🔄
78'
H. Calhanoglu ↔ P. Zielinski
Inter
🔄
78'
Y. Fofana ↔ S. Ricci
AC Milan
🔄
78'
C. Pulisic ↔ C. Nkunku
AC Milan
🔄
85'
F. Acerbi ↔ A. Diouf
Inter
🔄
85'
N. Barella ↔ F. Esposito
Inter
🔄
86'
R. Leao ↔ R. Loftus-Cheek
AC Milan

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Inter Win 0%
Draw 0%
AC Milan Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Inter1.76
AC Milan1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Inter Inter
WWDLW
37 GF / 13 GA
AC Milan AC Milan
WLDWL
22 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
2.47
Average Goals Scored
1.69
0.87
Average Goals Conceded
0.69
7
BTTS Yes
6
11
Over 2.5
7
5.73
Shots on Goal
5.23

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Inter Inter 15 matches
AC Milan AC Milan 13 matches
Inter Statistic AC Milan
12 Wins 8
0 Draws 4
3 Losses 1
37 Goals For 22
13 Goals Against 9
2.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.69
0.87 Avg Goals Conceded 0.69
7 BTTS Yes 6
14 Over 1.5 10
11 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 2
8 Clean Sheets 7
0 Failed To Score 1
5.73 Shots On Goal 5.23
18.53 Total Shots 15.23
6.87 Corners 5.46
60% Ball Possession 54.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Inter won 6 times, AC Milan won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:18 from Inter's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Inter 3-5-2 / AC Milan 3-5-2
H2H summary: Inter wins 6, draws 3, AC Milan wins 6
Stats
Inter Inter
AC Milan AC Milan
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
0
9 Corner Kicks 1
7 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 3
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Goal 3
8 Shots off Goal 4
6 Blocked Shots 0
12 Shots insidebox 4
8 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 6
624 Total passes 361
563 Passes accurate 301
1.92 expected_goals 1.01
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Inter
Formation
AC Milan
Y. Sommer
Y. Sommer
M. Akanji
M. Akanji
F. Acerbi
F. Acerbi
A. Bastoni
A. Bastoni
Carlos Augusto
Carlos Augusto
N. Barella
N. Barella
H. Calhanoglu
H. Calhanoglu
P. Sucic
P. Sucic
F. Dimarco
F. Dimarco
M. Thuram
M. Thuram
L. Martinez
L. Martinez
M. Maignan
M. Maignan
F. Tomori
F. Tomori
M. Gabbia
M. Gabbia
S. Pavlovic
S. Pavlovic
A. Saelemaekers
A. Saelemaekers
Y. Fofana
Y. Fofana
L. Modric
L. Modric
A. Rabiot
A. Rabiot
D. Bartesaghi
D. Bartesaghi
C. Pulisic
C. Pulisic
R. Leao
R. Leao
Inter 3-5-2
Starting XI
1
Y. Sommer
G
25
M. Akanji
D
15
F. Acerbi
↓ 85'
D
95
A. Bastoni
D
30
Carlos Augusto
M
23
N. Barella
↓ 85'
M
20
H. Calhanoglu
↓ 78' 🟨 61'
M
8
P. Sucic
M
32
F. Dimarco
M
9
M. Thuram
F
10
L. Martinez
↓ 65'
F
Substitutes
13
J. Martinez
G
40
A. Calligaris
G
6
S. de Vrij
D
31
Y. Bisseck
D
43
M. Cocchi
D
51
C. Alexiou
D
7
P. Zielinski
↑ 78'
M
11
Luis Henrique
F
16
D. Frattesi
M
17
A. Diouf
↑ 85'
M
14
A. Bonny
↑ 65'
F
94
F. Esposito
↑ 85'
F
AC Milan 3-5-2
Starting XI
16
M. Maignan
G
23
F. Tomori
D
46
M. Gabbia
D
31
S. Pavlovic
🟨 72'
D
56
A. Saelemaekers
M
19
Y. Fofana
↓ 78'
M
14
L. Modric
M
12
A. Rabiot
M
33
D. Bartesaghi
M
11
C. Pulisic
⚽ 54' ↓ 78'
F
10
R. Leao
↓ 86' 🟨 45+2'
F
Substitutes
1
P. Terracciano
G
37
M. Pittarella
G
2
P. Estupinan
D
5
K. De Winter
D
27
D. Odogu
D
4
S. Ricci
↑ 78'
M
8
R. Loftus-Cheek
↑ 86'
M
30
A. Jashari
M
18
C. Nkunku
↑ 78'
F
Last matches: Inter
08.08.26
Fri
Inter
Juventus
2
1
W
05.08.26
Fri
Inter
AC Milan
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Inter
Manchester City
1
1
D
26.07.26
Fri
Inter
Karlsruher SC
2
1
W
23.05.26
Ser
Inter
Bologna
3
3
D
17.05.26
Ser
Inter
Hellas Verona
1
1
D
13.05.26
Cop
Inter
Lazio
2
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Inter
Lazio
3
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Inter
Parma
2
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Inter
Torino
2
2
D
21.04.26
Cop
Inter
Como
3
2
W
17.04.26
Ser
Inter
Cagliari
3
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Inter
Como
4
3
W
05.04.26
Ser
Inter
AS Roma
5
2
W
22.03.26
Ser
Inter
Fiorentina
1
1
D
14.03.26
Ser
Inter
Atalanta
1
1
D
08.03.26
Ser
Inter
AC Milan
0
1
L
03.03.26
Cop
Inter
Como
0
0
D
28.02.26
Ser
Inter
Genoa
2
0
W
24.02.26
UEF
Inter
Bodo/Glimt
1
2
L
Last matches: AC Milan
15.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Manchester United
4
2
W
08.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Chelsea
0
3
L
05.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Inter
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
AC Milan
Celtic
2
2
D
24.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Cagliari
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Genoa
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Atalanta
2
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Sassuolo
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Juventus
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Udinese
0
3
L
06.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Napoli
0
1
L
21.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Torino
3
2
W
15.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Lazio
0
1
L
08.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Inter
1
0
W
01.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Cremonese
2
0
W
22.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Parma
0
1
L
18.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Como
1
1
D
13.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Pisa
2
1
W
03.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Bologna
3
0
W
H2H: Inter vs AC Milan
05.08.26
H2H
AC Milan
Inter
1
1
D
08.03.26
H2H
AC Milan
Inter
1
0
L
23.11.25
H2H
Inter
AC Milan
0
1
L
23.04.25
H2H
Inter
AC Milan
0
3
L
02.04.25
H2H
AC Milan
Inter
1
1
D
02.02.25
H2H
AC Milan
Inter
1
1
D
06.01.25
H2H
Inter
AC Milan
2
3
L
22.09.24
H2H
Inter
AC Milan
1
2
L
22.04.24
H2H
AC Milan
Inter
1
2
W
16.09.23
H2H
Inter
AC Milan
5
1
W
16.05.23
H2H
Inter
AC Milan
1
0
W
10.05.23
H2H
AC Milan
Inter
0
2
W
05.02.23
H2H
Inter
AC Milan
1
0
W
18.01.23
H2H
AC Milan
Inter
0
3
W
03.09.22
H2H
AC Milan
Inter
3
2
L
Last matches: Inter
17.05.26
Ser
Inter
Hellas Verona
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Inter
Parma
2
0
W
21.04.26
Cop
Inter
Como
3
2
W
17.04.26
Ser
Inter
Cagliari
3
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Inter
AS Roma
5
2
W
14.03.26
Ser
Inter
Atalanta
1
1
D
28.02.26
Ser
Inter
Genoa
2
0
W
24.02.26
UEF
Inter
Bodo/Glimt
1
2
L
14.02.26
Ser
Inter
Juventus
3
2
W
04.02.26
Cop
Inter
Torino
2
1
W
23.01.26
Ser
Inter
Pisa
6
2
W
20.01.26
UEF
Inter
Arsenal
1
3
L
14.01.26
Ser
Inter
Lecce
1
0
W
11.01.26
Ser
Inter
Napoli
2
2
D
04.01.26
Ser
Inter
Bologna
3
1
W
09.12.25
UEF
Inter
Liverpool
0
1
L
06.12.25
Ser
Inter
Como
4
0
W
03.12.25
Cop
Inter
Venezia
5
1
W
09.11.25
Ser
Inter
Lazio
2
0
W
05.11.25
UEF
Inter
Kairat Almaty
2
1
W
H2H at home: Inter
23.11.25
H2H
Inter
AC Milan
0
1
L
23.04.25
H2H
Inter
AC Milan
0
3
L
06.01.25
H2H
Inter
AC Milan
2
3
L
22.09.24
H2H
Inter
AC Milan
1
2
L
16.09.23
H2H
Inter
AC Milan
5
1
W
16.05.23
H2H
Inter
AC Milan
1
0
W
05.02.23
H2H
Inter
AC Milan
1
0
W
Last matches: AC Milan
15.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Manchester United
4
2
W
08.08.26
Fri
AC Milan
Chelsea
0
3
L
25.07.26
Fri
AC Milan
Celtic
2
2
D
17.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Genoa
2
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
AC Milan
Sassuolo
0
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
06.04.26
Ser
AC Milan
Napoli
0
1
L
15.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Lazio
0
1
L
01.03.26
Ser
AC Milan
Cremonese
2
0
W
13.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Pisa
2
1
W
03.02.26
Ser
AC Milan
Bologna
3
0
W
25.01.26
Ser
AC Milan
AS Roma
1
1
D
15.01.26
Ser
AC Milan
Como
3
1
W
11.01.26
Ser
AC Milan
Fiorentina
1
1
D
02.01.26
Ser
AC Milan
Cagliari
1
0
W
18.12.25
Sup
AC Milan
Napoli
0
2
L
08.12.25
Ser
AC Milan
Torino
3
2
W
04.12.25
Cop
AC Milan
Lazio
0
1
L
08.11.25
Ser
AC Milan
Parma
2
2
D
28.10.25
Ser
AC Milan
Atalanta
1
1
D
H2H away: AC Milan
23.11.25
H2H
Inter
AC Milan
0
1
W
23.04.25
H2H
Inter
AC Milan
0
3
W
06.01.25
H2H
Inter
AC Milan
2
3
W
22.09.24
H2H
Inter
AC Milan
1
2
W
16.09.23
H2H
Inter
AC Milan
5
1
L
16.05.23
H2H
Inter
AC Milan
1
0
L
05.02.23
H2H
Inter
AC Milan
1
0
L

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Inter Home
38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B