FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Veritas Stadion
Referee: M. Al-Emara
Inter Turku
Match Timeline
SJK
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
27'
Albin Granlund
Inter Turku
35'
K. Paananen · Assist: M. Suso
SJK
🟨
41'
Juuso Hämäläinen
Inter Turku
🟨
42'
Jasse Tuominen
Inter Turku
🟨
42'
Caio Araújo
SJK
47'
J. Laine · Assist: J. Tuominen
Inter Turku
🟨
59'
Prosper Ahiabu
Inter Turku
🟨
68'
Muhammed Suso
SJK
🔄
68'
A. Conteh ↔ J. Botue
Inter Turku
🔄
68'
V. Ulundu ↔ L. Essomba
Inter Turku
🔄
72'
M. Suso ↔ J. Streng
SJK
🔄
72'
Caio Araujo ↔ M. Arsalo
SJK
🔄
74'
J. Tuominen ↔ J. Yli-Kokko
Inter Turku
🔄
74'
A. Granlund ↔ J. Tauriainen
Inter Turku
🟨
76'
Samuel Johansen Chukwudi
SJK
🔄
80'
A. Wilson ↔ A. Bostrom
SJK
🔄
87'
E. Mastokangas ↔ L. Vesterbacka
SJK
🔄
87'
K. Paananen ↔ Rangel
SJK
🟨
88'
Sayibu Yakubu
SJK
🔄
88'
C. Jephta ↔ H. Salomaa
Inter Turku

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.4%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Inter Turku Win 72.4%
Draw 8.3%
SJK Win 19.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Inter Turku1.36
SJK1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Inter Turku Inter Turku
WWDLW
23 GF / 16 GA
SJK SJK
WLDWL
18 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
1.13
0.94
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
8
BTTS Yes
9
7
Over 2.5
8
1.85
Shots on Goal
2.27

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Inter Turku Inter Turku 17 matches
SJK SJK 16 matches
Inter Turku Statistic SJK
9 Wins 4
5 Draws 5
3 Losses 7
23 Goals For 18
16 Goals Against 22
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
0.94 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
8 BTTS Yes 9
12 Over 1.5 12
7 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 6
1.85 Shots On Goal 2.27
5.15 Total Shots 5.55
2.85 Corners 2.45
26.5% Ball Possession 22.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Inter Turku's more proactive style and SJK's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Inter Turku expected to line up in 4-3-3 and SJK in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward SJK having the stronger overall control. SJK arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors SJK. Inter Turku arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 25 points compared to SJK in 10 on 9, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Inter Turku Analysis

Inter Turku come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 25 points after 12 matches. With 7 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 17:8, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by A. Conteh (5 goals), C. Jephta (2 goals), J. Tuominen (2 goals), with creative support from C. Jephta (3 assists), Johannes Yli-Kokko (2 assists), L. Essomba (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

SJK Analysis

SJK sit 10 with 9 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats with a 11:16 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Olatoundji Tessilimi (3 goals), J. Streng (2 goals), K. Paananen (2 goals), with creative support from E. Mastokangas (2 assists), S. Yussif (2 assists), Olatoundji Tessilimi (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Inter Turku won 7 times, SJK won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:21 from Inter Turku's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.7%)
Predicted formations: Inter Turku 4-3-3 / SJK 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Inter Turku wins 7, draws 2, SJK wins 6

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
L L W D W
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
W D W D W
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
W L W W L
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
D W W D L
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
D W L L W
6 22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
L W L W L
7 22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
W W L D W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
D D W D W
9 22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
L L L W L
10
SJK Away
22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
D L L D W
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
L L L L L
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
W W W L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)