FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Veritas Stadion
Referee: A. Munukka
Inter Turku
Match Timeline
Lahti
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
22'
Romain Sans
Lahti
🟨
44'
Iiro Järvinen
Inter Turku
🟨
60'
Tòfol Montiel
Lahti
🔄
61'
I. Jarvinen ↔ P. Ahiabu
Inter Turku
🔄
61'
L. Prokop ↔ A. Conteh
Inter Turku
🔄
61'
V. Ulundu ↔ C. Jephta
Inter Turku
🔄
73'
D. Heikkinen ↔ O. Koskinen
Lahti
🔄
73'
A. Belabid ↔ Martim Augusto
Lahti
🔄
74'
Neemias ↔ A. Lindholm
Lahti
🔄
75'
L. Kuittinen ↔ J. Niska
Inter Turku
🔄
85'
L. Laine ↔ L. Essomba
Inter Turku
🟨
89'
Antoin Loic Essomba
Inter Turku
🔄
89'
M. Sarr ↔ J. Ojanen
Lahti
🔄
90'
C. Montiel ↔ V. Vehkonen
Lahti

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 27.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
27.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Inter Turku Win 66%
Draw 6%
Lahti Win 28%
Expected Goals (xG)
Inter Turku1.18
Lahti1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Inter Turku Inter Turku
WWDLW
36 GF / 23 GA
Lahti Lahti
WLDWL
29 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.32
0.85
Average Goals Conceded
0.95
14
BTTS Yes
11
10
Over 2.5
7
1.95
Shots on Goal
2.28

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Inter Turku Inter Turku 27 matches
Lahti Lahti 22 matches
Inter Turku Statistic Lahti
14 Wins 8
9 Draws 7
4 Losses 7
36 Goals For 29
23 Goals Against 21
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
0.85 Avg Goals Conceded 0.95
14 BTTS Yes 11
20 Over 1.5 16
10 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 4
10 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 5
1.95 Shots On Goal 2.28
4.38 Total Shots 6.83
2.14 Corners 2.83
25.2% Ball Possession 31.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Lahti. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Inter Turku Analysis

Inter Turku arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 31 points after 17 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, while the 24:14 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Clinton Jephta (1 goals), Alie Conteh (1 goals), J. Yli-Kokko (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Lahti Analysis

So far, Lahti have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 22 points from 17 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 20:16 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Martim Ferreira (1 goals), Tòfol Montiel (1 goals), Y. Cassubie (1 goals), with creative support from Martim Ferreira (1 assists), Tòfol Montiel (1 assists), R. Sans (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Inter Turku won 10 times, Lahti won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:12 from Inter Turku's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94%)
Predicted formations: Inter Turku 4-3-3 / Lahti 4-3-3
H2H summary: Inter Turku wins 10, draws 3, Lahti wins 2

Lineups

Inter Turku
Formation
Lahti
E. Huuhtanen
E. Huuhtanen
A. Sandler
A. Sandler
L. Kuittinen
L. Kuittinen
Y. Amankwah
Y. Amankwah
J. Tauriainen
J. Tauriainen
E. Kiiskila
E. Kiiskila
J. Laine
J. Laine
I. Jarvinen
I. Jarvinen
L. Laine
L. Laine
L. Prokop
L. Prokop
V. Ulundu
V. Ulundu
O. Maukonen
O. Maukonen
R. Yapi
R. Yapi
N. Gianini Dantas
N. Gianini Dantas
J. Muller
J. Muller
R. Sans
R. Sans
C. Montiel
C. Montiel
Y. Cassubie
Y. Cassubie
D. Heikkinen
D. Heikkinen
M. Sarr
M. Sarr
Neemias
Neemias
A. Belabid
A. Belabid
Inter Turku 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
E. Huuhtanen
G
20
A. Sandler
D
22
L. Kuittinen
↓ 75'
D
30
Y. Amankwah
D
24
J. Tauriainen
D
35
E. Kiiskila
M
14
J. Laine
M
19
I. Jarvinen
↓ 61' 🟨 44'
M
28
L. Laine
↓ 85'
M
34
L. Prokop
↓ 61'
F
27
V. Ulundu
↓ 61'
M
Substitutes
12
E. Vuorjoki
G
4
P. Ahiabu
↑ 61'
M
2
J. Niska
↑ 75'
D
11
J. Botue
F
10
A. Conteh
↑ 61'
23
L. Essomba
↑ 85'
17
B. Ampofo
M
16
C. Jephta
↑ 61'
Lahti 4-3-3
Starting XI
31
O. Maukonen
G
27
R. Yapi
D
5
N. Gianini Dantas
D
4
J. Muller
D
3
R. Sans
🟨 22'
D
8
C. Montiel
↓ 90' 🟨 60'
M
18
Y. Cassubie
M
7
D. Heikkinen
↓ 73'
M
77
M. Sarr
↓ 89'
F
19
Neemias
↓ 74'
F
17
A. Belabid
↓ 73'
F
Substitutes
12
A. Hakala
G
10
O. Koskinen
↑ 73'
M
11
Martim Augusto
↑ 73'
F
9
A. Lindholm
↑ 74'
F
20
J. Ojanen
↑ 89'
M
28
A. Kabashi
M
6
V. Vehkonen
↑ 90'
D
25
T. Inkinen
D
44
L. Jarvinen
Last matches: Inter Turku
16.08.26
Vei
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
3
2
W
13.08.26
UEF
Inter Turku
FC Vaduz
2
2
D
06.08.26
UEF
Inter Turku
FC Vaduz
2
1
W
02.08.26
Vei
Inter Turku
VPS
1
0
W
30.07.26
UEF
Inter Turku
Başakşehir
2
0
W
26.07.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Gnistan
1
2
L
22.07.26
UEF
Inter Turku
Başakşehir
1
1
D
19.07.26
Vei
Inter Turku
FF Jaro
0
0
D
16.07.26
UEF
Inter Turku
FK Sarajevo
2
1
W
09.07.26
UEF
Inter Turku
FK Sarajevo
1
1
D
27.06.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
2
0
W
23.06.26
Vei
Inter Turku
SJK
1
1
D
17.06.26
Vei
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
3
3
D
13.06.26
Vei
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
0
0
D
30.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
KuPS
1
1
D
23.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Turku PS
2
1
W
20.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Ilves
3
1
W
16.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
SJK
3
1
W
09.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
FF Jaro
2
0
W
05.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Gnistan
0
2
L
Last matches: Lahti
16.08.26
Vei
Lahti
KuPS
1
2
L
01.08.26
Vei
Lahti
FF Jaro
2
0
W
26.07.26
Vei
Lahti
Ilves
0
1
L
20.07.26
Vei
Lahti
Mariehamn
2
0
W
11.07.26
Vei
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
2
0
W
04.07.26
Vei
Lahti
Gnistan
1
0
W
27.06.26
Vei
Lahti
AC Oulu
1
1
D
23.06.26
Vei
Lahti
Turku PS
0
0
D
17.06.26
Vei
Lahti
Gnistan
0
1
L
13.06.26
Vei
Lahti
SJK
2
3
L
30.05.26
Vei
Lahti
Ilves
5
0
W
23.05.26
Vei
Lahti
KuPS
1
2
L
18.05.26
Vei
Lahti
VPS
1
1
D
10.05.26
Vei
Lahti
Mariehamn
1
1
D
04.05.26
Vei
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
0
1
L
25.04.26
Vei
Lahti
AC Oulu
2
1
W
18.04.26
Vei
Lahti
Inter Turku
0
2
L
10.04.26
Vei
Lahti
Turku PS
1
2
L
04.04.26
Vei
Lahti
FF Jaro
1
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
Lahti
JIPPO
1
1
D
H2H: Inter Turku vs Lahti
09.08.26
H2H
Inter Turku
Lahti
0
0
D
18.04.26
H2H
Lahti
Inter Turku
0
2
W
14.02.26
H2H
Inter Turku
Lahti
1
0
W
30.09.24
H2H
Inter Turku
Lahti
3
1
W
08.07.24
H2H
Inter Turku
Lahti
3
0
W
07.06.24
H2H
Lahti
Inter Turku
0
2
W
27.01.24
H2H
Inter Turku
Lahti
3
2
W
30.08.23
H2H
Lahti
Inter Turku
1
2
W
26.08.23
H2H
Inter Turku
Lahti
2
1
W
04.03.23
H2H
Inter Turku
Lahti
1
1
D
02.07.22
H2H
Lahti
Inter Turku
2
1
L
22.06.22
H2H
Inter Turku
Lahti
5
1
W
30.06.21
H2H
Inter Turku
Lahti
1
1
D
03.05.21
H2H
Lahti
Inter Turku
2
1
L
28.09.20
H2H
Inter Turku
Lahti
3
0
W
Last matches: Inter Turku
06.08.26
UEF
Inter Turku
FC Vaduz
2
1
W
30.07.26
UEF
Inter Turku
Başakşehir
2
0
W
26.07.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Gnistan
1
2
L
16.07.26
UEF
Inter Turku
FK Sarajevo
2
1
W
23.06.26
Vei
Inter Turku
SJK
1
1
D
13.06.26
Vei
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
0
0
D
23.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Turku PS
2
1
W
09.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
FF Jaro
2
0
W
29.04.26
Vei
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
1
1
D
25.04.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
1
0
W
11.04.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Ilves
2
1
W
04.04.26
Vei
Inter Turku
VPS
0
0
D
28.02.26
Fri
Inter Turku
FF Jaro
2
1
W
04.02.26
Fri
Inter Turku
PK-35
0
3
L
H2H at home: Inter Turku
09.08.26
H2H
Inter Turku
Lahti
0
0
D
14.02.26
H2H
Inter Turku
Lahti
1
0
W
30.09.24
H2H
Inter Turku
Lahti
3
1
W
08.07.24
H2H
Inter Turku
Lahti
3
0
W
27.01.24
H2H
Inter Turku
Lahti
3
2
W
26.08.23
H2H
Inter Turku
Lahti
2
1
W
04.03.23
H2H
Inter Turku
Lahti
1
1
D
22.06.22
H2H
Inter Turku
Lahti
5
1
W
30.06.21
H2H
Inter Turku
Lahti
1
1
D
28.09.20
H2H
Inter Turku
Lahti
3
0
W
Last matches: Lahti
26.07.26
Vei
Lahti
Ilves
0
1
L
20.07.26
Vei
Lahti
Mariehamn
2
0
W
27.06.26
Vei
Lahti
AC Oulu
1
1
D
17.06.26
Vei
Lahti
Gnistan
0
1
L
23.05.26
Vei
Lahti
KuPS
1
2
L
04.05.26
Vei
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
0
1
L
10.04.26
Vei
Lahti
Turku PS
1
2
L
04.04.26
Vei
Lahti
FF Jaro
1
0
W
H2H away: Lahti
09.08.26
H2H
Inter Turku
Lahti
0
0
D
14.02.26
H2H
Inter Turku
Lahti
1
0
L
30.09.24
H2H
Inter Turku
Lahti
3
1
L
08.07.24
H2H
Inter Turku
Lahti
3
0
L
27.01.24
H2H
Inter Turku
Lahti
3
2
L
26.08.23
H2H
Inter Turku
Lahti
2
1
L
04.03.23
H2H
Inter Turku
Lahti
1
1
D
22.06.22
H2H
Inter Turku
Lahti
5
1
L
30.06.21
H2H
Inter Turku
Lahti
1
1
D
28.09.20
H2H
Inter Turku
Lahti
3
0
L

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 12 7 1 36:18 18 43
W D W W W
2 20 10 8 2 28:16 12 38
W D W L D
3 20 10 4 6 32:23 9 34
W W L W W
4 20 9 5 6 32:26 6 32
W D L W W
5 20 8 6 6 28:21 7 30
L W L L L
6 20 9 3 8 24:25 -1 30
L L W D L
7 20 8 5 7 27:22 5 29
W D W L L
8
Lahti Away
20 7 5 8 23:18 5 26
L D W L W
9 20 7 4 9 33:34 -1 25
L W L W W
10 20 4 6 10 24:31 -7 18
L D W L L
11 20 3 6 11 18:41 -23 15
L L L W D
12 20 1 5 14 11:41 -30 8
W L L D L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)