FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
31.08.2026 16:00
Veritas Stadium
Referee: Antti Munukka, Finland
Inter Turku
Match Timeline
KuPS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
45'
Bismark Ampofo
Inter Turku
🔄
46'
Jasse Tuominen ↔ Johannes Yli-Kokko
Inter Turku
🟨
50'
Petteri Pennanen
KuPS
🔄
55'
Jaime Moreno ↔ Piotr Parzyszek
KuPS
🟨
58'
Brahima Magassa
KuPS
🔄
68'
Joslyn Luyeye-Lutumba ↔ Ayman Aiki
KuPS
🔄
69'
Saikou Touray ↔ Valentín Gasc
KuPS
🟨
73'
Janne-Pekka Laine
Inter Turku
🔄
74'
Herman Sjögrell ↔ Muhammed Suso
Inter Turku
🔄
74'
Bismark Ampofo ↔ Prosper Ahiabu
Inter Turku
🔄
83'
Julius Eskesen ↔ Samuel Pasanen
KuPS
90+4'
Muhammed Suso
Inter Turku

Inter Turku vs KuPS Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 60.9%
Odds 1.36
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.75
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.98
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
60.9%
1.36
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.75
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.98
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
2.48
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Inter Turku Win 40.8%
Draw 20.1%
KuPS Win 39.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Inter Turku1.16
KuPS1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Inter Turku Inter Turku
WWDLW
42 GF / 31 GA
KuPS KuPS
WLDWL
49 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.53
0.94
Average Goals Conceded
1
17
BTTS Yes
18
13
Over 2.5
12
2.08
Shots on Goal
2.18

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Inter Turku Inter Turku 33 matches
KuPS KuPS 32 matches
Inter Turku Statistic KuPS
15 Wins 16
13 Draws 10
5 Losses 6
42 Goals For 49
31 Goals Against 32
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
0.94 Avg Goals Conceded 1
17 BTTS Yes 18
23 Over 1.5 25
13 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 7
13 Clean Sheets 11
9 Failed To Score 5
2.08 Shots On Goal 2.18
4.12 Total Shots 4.68
2.15 Corners 2.11
26.1% Ball Possession 24.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward KuPS. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Inter Turku expected to line up in 4-3-3 and KuPS in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward KuPS having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Inter Turku Analysis

Inter Turku arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 39 points after 21 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 9 draws, and 2 losses, while the 28:16 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Clinton Jephta (1 goals), Alie Conteh (1 goals), J. Yli-Kokko (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

KuPS Analysis

KuPS come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 43 points after 21 matches. They have recorded 12 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, with a 38:22 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on J. Luyeye-Lutumba (2 goals), G. Engvall (1 goals), with creative support from J. Luyeye-Lutumba (1 assists), G. Engvall (1 assists), C. Antwi (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Inter Turku won 2 times, KuPS won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:24 from Inter Turku's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.9%)
Predicted formations: Inter Turku 4-3-3 / KuPS 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Inter Turku wins 2, draws 5, KuPS wins 8

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
KuPS Away
22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
L L W D W
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
W D W D W
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
W L W W L
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
D W W D L
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
D W L L W
6 22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
L W L W L
7 22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
W W L D W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
D D W D W
9 22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
L L L W L
10 22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
D L L D W
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
L L L L L
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
W W W L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)