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17.10.2026 15:00
Veritas Stadion
Referee: O. Reitala
Inter Turku
Match Timeline
AC Oulu
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
31'
Rasmus Karjalainen · Assist: Camilo Jose·Triana Fragozo
AC Oulu
🔄
58'
Jasse Tuominen ↔ Johannes Yli-Kokko
Inter Turku
🔄
58'
Lauri Laine ↔ Herman Sjögrell
Inter Turku
🔄
69'
Rasmus Karjalainen ↔ Roope Riski
AC Oulu
🔄
69'
Joel lotvonen ↔ Juuso Mäkeläinen
AC Oulu
⚽
74'
Herman Sjögrell · Assist: Jussi Niska
Inter Turku
🔄
80'
Eeli Kiiskilä ↔ Iiro Järvinen
Inter Turku
🔄
80'
Elias Kallio ↔ Lamine Ghezali
AC Oulu
🔄
80'
Albin Granlund ↔ Julius Tauriainen
Inter Turku
🟥
86'
Miguel Santos
AC Oulu
🟨
86'
Camilo Jose·Triana Fragozo
AC Oulu
🔄
87'
Camilo Jose·Triana Fragozo ↔ Johannes Pentti
AC Oulu
🔄
89'
Janne-Pekka Laine ↔ Jean Botué
Inter Turku
⚽
90+2'
Juuso Mäkeläinen · Assist: Roope Riski
AC Oulu

Inter Turku vs AC Oulu Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.2%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 76.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.2%
- ▥
BTTS No
76.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
73.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Inter Turku Win 60.2%
Draw 8.4%
AC Oulu Win 31.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Inter Turku1.22
AC Oulu1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Inter Turku Inter Turku
W D W W L
4 GF / 2 GA
AC Oulu AC Oulu
L W L L L
5 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.17
0.85
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
18
BTTS Yes
13
14
Over 2.5
11
2.36
Shots on Goal
2.07

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Inter Turku Inter Turku 39 matches
AC Oulu AC Oulu 29 matches
Inter Turku Statistic AC Oulu
19 Wins 12
14 Draws 5
6 Losses 12
47 Goals For 34
33 Goals Against 36
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
0.85 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
18 BTTS Yes 13
24 Over 1.5 16
14 Over 2.5 11
6 Over 3.5 6
18 Clean Sheets 10
10 Failed To Score 8
2.36 Shots On Goal 2.07
5.24 Total Shots 5.74
2.33 Corners 2.19
28.9% Ball Possession 22.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Inter Turku's more proactive style and AC Oulu's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring AC Oulu. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. AC Oulu arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Inter Turku Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 42 points from 22 games, Inter Turku bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 11 wins, 9 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 29:16, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through C. Jephta (1 goals), Alie Conteh (1 goals), J. Tuominen (1 goals), with creative support from A. Granlund (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

AC Oulu Analysis

AC Oulu approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 34 points from 22 matches. Their record of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 25:25, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through E. Kallio (1 goals), C. Triana (1 goals), J. Paananen (1 goals), with creative support from J. Lotvonen (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Inter Turku won 4 times, AC Oulu won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:5 from Inter Turku's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.6%)
Predicted formations: Inter Turku 4-2-3-1 / AC Oulu 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Inter Turku wins 4, draws 1, AC Oulu wins 0

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
D W L L W
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
W L W D W
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
D W W W D
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
L L L D D
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
D W W L W
6 22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
D L L W L
7 22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
W L D L W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
L L L L D
9 22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
W D W W W
10 22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
L W W D D
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
W D D W D
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
D D L W L
Play-offs
Relegation Play-offs