FINLAND YKKöNEN
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Veritas Stadion

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 81.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
81.2%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Inter Turku II Win 33.9%
Draw 18.8%
SalPa Win 47.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Inter Turku II1.71
SalPa2.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Inter Turku II Inter Turku II
WWDLW
29 GF / 46 GA
SalPa SalPa
WLDWL
29 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
2.07
2.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.71
14
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Inter Turku II Inter Turku II 17 matches
SalPa SalPa 14 matches
Inter Turku II Statistic SalPa
4 Wins 6
4 Draws 5
9 Losses 3
29 Goals For 29
46 Goals Against 24
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 2.07
2.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.71
14 BTTS Yes 9
16 Over 1.5 13
11 Over 2.5 9
10 Over 3.5 8
1 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by SalPa's more proactive style and Inter Turku II's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward SalPa. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward SalPa having the stronger overall control. SalPa carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 23 points while Inter Turku II sit 8 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Inter Turku II Analysis

Inter Turku II are currently 8 in the standings with 15 points from 14 matches. The record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 25:39 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

SalPa Analysis

SalPa come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 23 points from 14 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 29:24 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Inter Turku II won 1 times, SalPa won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Inter Turku II's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.2%)
H2H summary: Inter Turku II wins 1, draws 0, SalPa wins 0
Last matches: Inter Turku II
10.07.26
Ykk
Inter Turku II
Rops
0
2
L
04.07.26
Ykk
Inter Turku II
OLS
3
1
W
25.06.26
Ykk
Inter Turku II
JJK
1
11
L
12.06.26
Ykk
Inter Turku II
FC jazz
1
1
D
06.06.26
Ykk
Inter Turku II
TPV
1
1
D
29.05.26
Ykk
Inter Turku II
KPV-j
2
4
L
24.05.26
Ykk
Inter Turku II
PKKU
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ykk
Inter Turku II
KuPS Akatemia
4
2
W
09.05.26
Ykk
Inter Turku II
VJS
2
3
L
02.05.26
Ykk
Inter Turku II
Tampere United
0
2
L
24.04.26
Ykk
Inter Turku II
SalPa
3
2
W
19.04.26
Ykk
Inter Turku II
OLS
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ykk
Inter Turku II
Rops
2
3
L
05.04.26
Ykk
Inter Turku II
JJK
3
5
L
07.03.26
Fri
Inter Turku II
EIF
2
4
L
31.01.26
Fri
Inter Turku II
Ilves II
2
3
L
18.01.26
Fri
Inter Turku II
Tampere United
0
0
D
Last matches: SalPa
10.07.26
Ykk
SalPa
Tampere United
1
0
W
04.07.26
Ykk
SalPa
VJS
2
2
D
27.06.26
Ykk
SalPa
Rops
2
2
D
12.06.26
Ykk
SalPa
KuPS Akatemia
4
3
W
06.06.26
Ykk
SalPa
OLS
0
5
L
28.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
FC jazz
2
1
W
23.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
TPV
4
2
W
16.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
JJK
2
2
D
09.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
KPV-j
6
0
W
02.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
PKKU
0
2
L
24.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
Inter Turku II
2
3
L
18.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
VJS
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
Tampere United
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
Rops
1
1
D
H2H: Inter Turku II vs SalPa
24.04.26
H2H
SalPa
Inter Turku II
2
3
W
Last matches: Inter Turku II
10.07.26
Ykk
Inter Turku II
Rops
0
2
L
12.06.26
Ykk
Inter Turku II
FC jazz
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ykk
Inter Turku II
PKKU
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ykk
Inter Turku II
KuPS Akatemia
4
2
W
02.05.26
Ykk
Inter Turku II
Tampere United
0
2
L
19.04.26
Ykk
Inter Turku II
OLS
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ykk
Inter Turku II
JJK
3
5
L
Last matches: SalPa
10.07.26
Ykk
SalPa
Tampere United
1
0
W
27.06.26
Ykk
SalPa
Rops
2
2
D
06.06.26
Ykk
SalPa
OLS
0
5
L
28.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
FC jazz
2
1
W
16.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
JJK
2
2
D
02.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
PKKU
0
2
L
18.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
VJS
1
1
D

Standings

Ykkonen
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 1 3 28:9 19 31
L W W W W
2 14 8 4 2 30:15 15 28
W W D W L
3 15 7 4 4 39:26 13 25
D L W W L
4
SalPa Away
14 6 5 3 29:24 5 23
W D D W L
5 15 6 4 5 29:22 7 22
L L D L W
6 13 6 3 4 26:18 8 21
W L W D W
7 13 5 5 3 25:18 7 20
W D W L D
8 14 4 3 7 25:39 -14 15
L W L D D
9 14 5 2 7 15:22 -7 14
L L L D D
10 14 3 4 7 16:24 -8 13
W W L D D
11 14 2 3 9 24:34 -10 9
D L D L W
12 14 2 2 10 12:47 -35 8
L W L L L
Promotion - Ykkonen (Championship Group)
Ykkonen (Relegation Group)