🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
Nu Stadium
Referee: R. Mendoza
Inter Miami
Match Timeline
Philadelphia Union
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
M. Iloski · Assist: F. Westfield
Philadelphia Union
🟨
10'
Dayne St. Clair
Inter Miami
10'
M. Iloski
Philadelphia Union
13'
G. Berterame · Assist: L. Messi
Inter Miami
🟨
16'
Geiner Martínez
Philadelphia Union
20'
B. Damiani
Philadelphia Union
🟨
24'
Jovan Lukić
Philadelphia Union
29'
L. Suarez · Assist: I. Fray
Inter Miami
🟨
38'
Ian Fray
Inter Miami
41'
G. Berterame · Assist: L. Messi
Inter Miami
44'
L. Suarez
Inter Miami
🟨
45+11'
Telasco Segovia
Inter Miami
VAR
45+6'
Cavan Sullivan
Philadelphia Union
45'
M. Iloski
Philadelphia Union
🟨
49'
Sergio Reguilón
Inter Miami
🔄
57'
A. Anello ↔ E. Alladoh
Philadelphia Union
🔄
66'
C. Sullivan ↔ A. Bedoya
Philadelphia Union
🔄
67'
T. Segovia ↔ D. Ayala
Inter Miami
🔄
67'
G. Martinez ↔ J. Rafanello
Philadelphia Union
🔄
68'
S. Reguilon ↔ F. Mura
Inter Miami
🔄
73'
L. Messi ↔ M. Silvetti
Inter Miami
🟨
75'
Danley Jean Jacques
Philadelphia Union
81'
L. Suarez · Assist: G. Berterame
Inter Miami
🔄
83'
B. Damiani ↔ P. Ndinga
Philadelphia Union
🔄
83'
F. Westfield ↔ F. Sundstrom
Philadelphia Union
🔄
88'
I. Fray ↔ N. Allen
Inter Miami
🔄
88'
Y. Bright ↔ D. Ruiz
Inter Miami
🟨
90+7'
Noah Allen
Inter Miami
🟨
90+2'
Gonzalo Luján
Inter Miami
90'
R. de Paul · Assist: M. Silvetti
Inter Miami

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 13.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
13.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Inter Miami Win 62.4%
Draw 16.4%
Philadelphia Union Win 21.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Inter Miami1.77
Philadelphia Union1.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
Inter Miami Inter Miami
WWDLW
40 GF / 32 GA
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union
WLDWL
36 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
14
BTTS Yes
13
14
Over 2.5
13
6.31
Shots on Goal
4.22

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Inter Miami Inter Miami 20 matches
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 23 matches
Inter Miami Statistic Philadelphia Union
10 Wins 5
7 Draws 6
3 Losses 12
40 Goals For 36
32 Goals Against 33
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
14 BTTS Yes 13
18 Over 1.5 18
14 Over 2.5 13
9 Over 3.5 6
4 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 6
6.31 Shots On Goal 4.22
15.44 Total Shots 14.33
5.69 Corners 6.06
57.6% Ball Possession 48.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Inter Miami's more proactive style and Philadelphia Union's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Philadelphia Union. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Philadelphia Union arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Inter Miami arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 28 points compared to Philadelphia Union in 15 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Inter Miami expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Philadelphia Union in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Philadelphia Union having the stronger overall control.

Inter Miami Analysis

Inter Miami come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 28 points after 14 matches. With 8 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 33:24, they continue to show good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by L. Messi (12 goals), G. Berterame (5 goals), L. Suarez (3 goals), with creative support from Telasco Segovia (6 assists), L. Messi (5 assists), Rodrigo de Paul (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Philadelphia Union Analysis

With 7 points from 14 games and a place of 15, Philadelphia Union still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 14:24 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Iloski (4 goals), Danley Jean Jacques (2 goals), N. Harriel (2 goals), with creative support from A. Bedoya (2 assists), M. Iloski (1 assists), N. Harriel (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Inter Miami won 7 times, Philadelphia Union won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:24 from Inter Miami's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.71 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.6%)
Predicted formations: Inter Miami 4-3-3 / Philadelphia Union 4-4-2
Missing players: Inter Miami 1, Philadelphia Union 7
H2H summary: Inter Miami wins 7, draws 3, Philadelphia Union wins 4
Stats
Inter Miami Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union
Shots on Goal
10
Shots on Goal
10
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
4
4 Corner Kicks 2
18 Fouls 16
2 Offsides 3
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 21
10 Shots on Goal 10
5 Shots off Goal 7
2 Blocked Shots 4
16 Shots insidebox 14
1 Shots outsidebox 7
6 Goalkeeper Saves 4
532 Total passes 295
451 Passes accurate 218
5.10 expected_goals 4.02
🟨 6 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Inter Miami
Formation
Philadelphia Union
D. St.Clair
D. St.Clair
I. Fray
🎯
I. Fray
G. Lujan
G. Lujan
Micael
Micael
S. Reguilon
S. Reguilon
R. de Paul
R. de Paul
Y. Bright
Y. Bright
T. Segovia
T. Segovia
L. Messi
🎯
L. Messi
G. Berterame
⚽ 2 🎯
G. Berterame
L. Suarez
⚽ 3
L. Suarez
A. Blake
A. Blake
F. Westfield
🎯
F. Westfield
G. Martinez
G. Martinez
N. Harriel
N. Harriel
B. Bender
B. Bender
C. Sullivan
C. Sullivan
J. Lukic
J. Lukic
D. Jean Jacques
D. Jean Jacques
A. Anello
A. Anello
M. Iloski
⚽ 3
M. Iloski
B. Damiani
B. Damiani
Inter Miami 4-3-3
Starting XI
97
D. St.Clair
🟨 10'
G
17
I. Fray
🎯 29' ↓ 88' 🟨 38'
D
2
G. Lujan
🟨 90+2'
D
16
Micael
D
3
S. Reguilon
↓ 68' 🟨 49'
D
7
R. de Paul
⚽ 90'
M
42
Y. Bright
↓ 88'
M
8
T. Segovia
↓ 67' 🟨 45+11'
M
10
L. Messi
🎯 13' 🎯 41' ↓ 73'
F
19
G. Berterame
⚽ 13' ⚽ 41' 🎯 81'
F
9
L. Suarez
⚽ 29' ⚽ 44' ⚽ 81'
F
Substitutes
34
R. Rios
G
4
F. Mura
↑ 68'
D
22
D. Ayala
↑ 67'
M
37
M. Falcon
D
56
D. Pinter
F
32
N. Allen
↑ 88' 🟨 90+7'
D
41
D. Ruiz
↑ 88'
M
24
M. Silvetti
🎯 90' ↑ 73'
F
59
P. Plambeck
M
Philadelphia Union 4-4-2
Starting XI
18
A. Blake
G
39
F. Westfield
🎯 3' ↓ 83'
D
2
G. Martinez
↓ 67' 🟨 16'
D
26
N. Harriel
D
16
B. Bender
D
6
C. Sullivan
↓ 66'
M
4
J. Lukic
🟨 24'
M
21
D. Jean Jacques
🟨 75'
M
28
A. Anello
↓ 57'
M
10
M. Iloski
⚽ 3' ⚽ 10' ⚽ 45'
F
9
B. Damiani
⚽ 20' ↓ 83'
F
Substitutes
76
A. Rick
G
11
A. Bedoya
↑ 66'
M
47
K. LeBlanc
M
20
P. Ndinga
↑ 83'
D
66
F. Sundstrom
↑ 83'
D
8
J. Bueno
M
14
J. Rafanello
↑ 67'
M
23
E. Alladoh
↑ 57'
F
Last matches: Inter Miami
17.05.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Portland Timbers
2
0
W
13.05.26
Maj
Inter Miami
FC Cincinnati
5
3
W
09.05.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Toronto FC
4
2
W
02.05.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Orlando City SC
3
4
L
25.04.26
Maj
Inter Miami
New England Revolution
1
1
D
23.04.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Real Salt Lake
2
0
W
18.04.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Colorado Rapids
3
2
W
11.04.26
Maj
Inter Miami
New York Red Bulls
2
2
D
04.04.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Austin
2
2
D
22.03.26
Maj
Inter Miami
New York City FC
3
2
W
18.03.26
CON
Inter Miami
Nashville SC
1
1
D
14.03.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Charlotte
0
0
D
11.03.26
CON
Inter Miami
Nashville SC
0
0
D
07.03.26
Maj
Inter Miami
DC United
2
1
W
02.03.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Orlando City SC
4
2
W
27.02.26
Fri
Inter Miami
Independiente del Valle
2
1
W
22.02.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Los Angeles FC
0
3
L
08.02.26
Fri
Inter Miami
Barcelona SC
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Inter Miami
Atletico Nacional
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
Inter Miami
Alianza Lima
0
3
L
Last matches: Philadelphia Union
16.05.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew
1
1
D
13.05.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
Orlando City SC
3
4
L
09.05.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
New England Revolution
1
2
L
02.05.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
Nashville SC
0
0
D
25.04.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew
0
2
L
22.04.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC
3
3
D
18.04.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
DC United
0
0
D
11.04.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
CF Montreal
2
1
W
04.04.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
Charlotte
1
2
L
21.03.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
Chicago Fire
1
2
L
19.03.26
CON
Philadelphia Union
Club America
1
1
D
14.03.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
Atlanta United FC
1
3
L
10.03.26
CON
Philadelphia Union
Club America
0
1
L
08.03.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
San Jose Earthquakes
0
1
L
01.03.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
New York City FC
1
2
L
27.02.26
CON
Philadelphia Union
Defence Force
7
0
W
22.02.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
DC United
0
1
L
18.02.26
CON
Philadelphia Union
Defence Force
5
0
W
10.02.26
Fri
Philadelphia Union
CF Montreal
2
4
L
07.02.26
Fri
Philadelphia Union
Tampa Bay Rowdies
2
0
W
H2H: Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union
24.05.26
H2H
Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union
6
4
W
24.05.25
H2H
Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami
3
3
D
29.03.25
H2H
Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union
2
1
W
14.09.24
H2H
Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union
3
1
W
15.06.24
H2H
Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami
1
2
W
15.08.23
H2H
Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami
1
4
W
24.06.23
H2H
Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami
4
1
L
05.03.23
H2H
Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union
2
0
W
14.07.22
H2H
Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union
1
2
L
18.05.22
H2H
Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami
0
0
D
25.07.21
H2H
Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union
1
1
D
25.04.21
H2H
Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami
1
2
W
27.09.20
H2H
Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami
3
0
L
15.07.20
H2H
Philadelphia Union
Inter Miami
2
1
L
Last matches: Inter Miami
17.05.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Portland Timbers
2
0
W
02.05.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Orlando City SC
3
4
L
25.04.26
Maj
Inter Miami
New England Revolution
1
1
D
11.04.26
Maj
Inter Miami
New York Red Bulls
2
2
D
04.04.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Austin
2
2
D
18.03.26
CON
Inter Miami
Nashville SC
1
1
D
H2H at home: Inter Miami
24.05.26
H2H
Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union
6
4
W
29.03.25
H2H
Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union
2
1
W
14.09.24
H2H
Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union
3
1
W
05.03.23
H2H
Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union
2
0
W
14.07.22
H2H
Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union
1
2
L
25.07.21
H2H
Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union
1
1
D
Last matches: Philadelphia Union
13.05.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
Orlando City SC
3
4
L
09.05.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
New England Revolution
1
2
L
25.04.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew
0
2
L
22.04.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC
3
3
D
11.04.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
CF Montreal
2
1
W
04.04.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
Charlotte
1
2
L
19.03.26
CON
Philadelphia Union
Club America
1
1
D
14.03.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
Atlanta United FC
1
3
L
22.02.26
Maj
Philadelphia Union
DC United
0
1
L
18.02.26
CON
Philadelphia Union
Defence Force
5
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Philadelphia Union
FC Nordsjaelland
1
2
L
20.01.26
Fri
Philadelphia Union
Sigma Olomouc
1
1
D
H2H away: Philadelphia Union
24.05.26
H2H
Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union
6
4
L
29.03.25
H2H
Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union
2
1
L
14.09.24
H2H
Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union
3
1
L
05.03.23
H2H
Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union
2
0
L
14.07.22
H2H
Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union
1
2
W
25.07.21
H2H
Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union
1
1
D

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 3 1 31:11 20 33
W W W D D
2 15 9 4 2 39:28 11 31
W W W W L
3 14 8 2 4 27:16 11 26
W W W L L
4 14 8 1 5 22:18 4 25
L W L W W
5 15 6 4 5 25:32 -7 22
W D W W L
6 15 6 3 6 24:23 1 21
W W L D L
7 15 5 5 5 36:37 -1 20
W D L D W
8 15 5 4 6 25:21 4 19
L D W W L
9 15 4 6 5 21:25 -4 18
D D L D W
10 15 4 4 7 21:23 -2 16
W D L L L
11 14 4 2 8 22:31 -9 14
D L D W L
12 15 4 2 9 23:44 -21 14
L D W L W
13 14 3 5 6 22:29 -7 14
L L L D L
14 14 3 2 9 14:23 -9 11
L D L W W
15 15 1 4 10 18:30 -12 7
L D L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

Inter Miami 1 missing
-
T. Allende
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
Philadelphia Union 7 missing
-
E. Davis III
Questionable Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
Q. Sullivan
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT
-
J. Sery Larsen
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
J. Bueno
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT
-
F. Westfield
Questionable Hip Injury
OUT
-
S. Korzeniowski
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
O. Makhanya
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT