Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
62.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
13.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Inter Miami
20 matches
Philadelphia Union
23 matches
| Inter Miami | Statistic | Philadelphia Union |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 5 |
| 7 | Draws | 6 |
| 3 | Losses | 12 |
| 40 | Goals For | 36 |
| 32 | Goals Against | 33 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.57 |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.43 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 6.31 | Shots On Goal | 4.22 |
| 15.44 | Total Shots | 14.33 |
| 5.69 | Corners | 6.06 |
| 57.6% | Ball Possession | 48.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Inter Miami's more proactive style and Philadelphia Union's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Philadelphia Union. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Philadelphia Union arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Inter Miami arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 28 points compared to Philadelphia Union in 15 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Inter Miami expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Philadelphia Union in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Philadelphia Union having the stronger overall control.
Inter Miami come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 28 points after 14 matches. With 8 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 33:24, they continue to show good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by L. Messi (12 goals), G. Berterame (5 goals), L. Suarez (3 goals), with creative support from Telasco Segovia (6 assists), L. Messi (5 assists), Rodrigo de Paul (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
With 7 points from 14 games and a place of 15, Philadelphia Union still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 14:24 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Iloski (4 goals), Danley Jean Jacques (2 goals), N. Harriel (2 goals), with creative support from A. Bedoya (2 assists), M. Iloski (1 assists), N. Harriel (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Inter Miami won 7 times, Philadelphia Union won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:24 from Inter Miami's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.71 goals per game.
Inter Miami
10
10
5
7
2
4
Lineups
Inter Miami
Portland Timbers
Inter Miami
FC Cincinnati
Inter Miami
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
Orlando City SC
Inter Miami
New England Revolution
Inter Miami
Real Salt Lake
Inter Miami
Colorado Rapids
Inter Miami
New York Red Bulls
Inter Miami
Austin
Inter Miami
New York City FC
Inter Miami
Nashville SC
Inter Miami
Charlotte
Inter Miami
Nashville SC
Inter Miami
DC United
Inter Miami
Orlando City SC
Inter Miami
Independiente del Valle
Inter Miami
Los Angeles FC
Inter Miami
Barcelona SC
Inter Miami
Atletico Nacional
Inter Miami
Alianza Lima
Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
Orlando City SC
Philadelphia Union
New England Revolution
Philadelphia Union
Nashville SC
Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
DC United
Philadelphia Union
CF Montreal
Philadelphia Union
Charlotte
Philadelphia Union
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union
Club America
Philadelphia Union
Atlanta United FC
Philadelphia Union
Club America
Philadelphia Union
San Jose Earthquakes
Philadelphia Union
New York City FC
Philadelphia Union
Defence Force
Philadelphia Union
DC United
Philadelphia Union
Defence Force
Philadelphia Union
CF Montreal
Philadelphia Union
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Inter Miami
Portland Timbers
Inter Miami
Orlando City SC
Inter Miami
New England Revolution
Inter Miami
New York Red Bulls
Inter Miami
Austin
Inter Miami
Nashville SC
Philadelphia Union
Orlando City SC
Philadelphia Union
New England Revolution
Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
CF Montreal
Philadelphia Union
Charlotte
Philadelphia Union
Club America
Philadelphia Union
Atlanta United FC
Philadelphia Union
DC United
Philadelphia Union
Defence Force
Philadelphia Union
FC Nordsjaelland
Philadelphia Union
Sigma Olomouc
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 31:11 | 20 | 33 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 |
Inter Miami
Home
|
15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 39:28 | 11 | 31 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
| 3 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 27:16 | 11 | 26 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 25 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:32 | -7 | 22 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24:23 | 1 | 21 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 36:37 | -1 | 20 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25:21 | 4 | 19 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21:25 | -4 | 18 |
D
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 16 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 22:31 | -9 | 14 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 23:44 | -21 | 14 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22:29 | -7 | 14 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 |
Philadelphia Union
Away
|
15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 18:30 | -12 | 7 |
L
D
L
L
D
|