🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
12.09.2026 23:30
Nu Stadium

Inter Miami vs Nashville SC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 48.9%
Odds 1.91
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.40
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.39
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
48.9%
1.91
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.40
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.39
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.38
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.88
Correct Score 2-1
-
7.00
Probability Distribution
Inter Miami Win 48.9%
Draw 12.5%
Nashville SC Win 38.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Inter Miami1.62
Nashville SC1.76
Recent Form (Last 5)
Inter Miami Inter Miami
WWDLW
66 GF / 52 GA
Nashville SC Nashville SC
WLDWL
64 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
2.2
Average Goals Scored
1.78
1.73
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
23
BTTS Yes
15
22
Over 2.5
18
5.81
Shots on Goal
4.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Inter Miami Inter Miami 30 matches
Nashville SC Nashville SC 36 matches
Inter Miami Statistic Nashville SC
14 Wins 21
11 Draws 9
5 Losses 6
66 Goals For 64
52 Goals Against 27
2.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.78
1.73 Avg Goals Conceded 0.75
23 BTTS Yes 15
27 Over 1.5 21
22 Over 2.5 18
16 Over 3.5 13
5 Clean Sheets 17
4 Failed To Score 9
5.81 Shots On Goal 4.38
14.62 Total Shots 11.5
5.15 Corners 5.03
54.8% Ball Possession 52.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Nashville SC. Nashville SC look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Inter Miami expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Nashville SC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Nashville SC having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Inter Miami Analysis

Inter Miami come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 42 points from 22 matches. The record of 12 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 56:41 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Lionel Messi (11 goals), Luis Suárez (9 goals), Germán Berterame (7 goals), with creative support from Lionel Messi (8 assists), Rodrigo De Paul (5 assists), Telasco Segovia (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Nashville SC Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 52 points from 22 games, Nashville SC bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 16 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 47:17, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by H. Mukhtar (5 goals), S. Surridge (4 goals), Warren Madrigal (3 goals), with creative support from H. Mukhtar (5 assists), C. Espinoza (5 assists), A. Najar (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Inter Miami won 8 times, Nashville SC won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:18 from Inter Miami's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.5%)
Predicted formations: Inter Miami 4-3-3 / Nashville SC 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Inter Miami 6, Nashville SC 1
H2H summary: Inter Miami wins 8, draws 5, Nashville SC wins 2

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 16 5 3 48:19 29 53
L D W W W
2 24 12 8 4 59:44 15 44
D D W L D
3 24 12 4 8 39:30 9 40
W L W D W
4 23 11 6 6 44:33 11 39
D D D D W
5 24 11 6 7 42:33 9 39
W D W W D
6 24 9 4 11 41:56 -15 31
W W D W L
7 23 8 7 8 49:56 -7 31
L L D W D
8 24 8 6 10 41:39 2 30
W W W D D
9 24 7 8 9 37:33 4 29
L D D D L
10 24 6 11 7 38:43 -5 29
W D D W D
11 23 6 10 7 30:37 -7 28
W D L L D
12 24 7 6 11 32:48 -16 27
L D L D L
13 24 6 5 13 35:41 -6 23
L W L L L
14 24 6 4 14 29:43 -14 22
L D L W W
15 24 5 6 13 31:50 -19 21
L L L D W
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)