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10.10.2026 23:30
Nu Stadium
Referee: L. Szpala
Inter Miami
Match Timeline
DC United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
3'
L. Suarez · Assist: G. Berterame
Inter Miami
⚽
39'
L. Suarez · Assist: G. Berterame
Inter Miami
⚽
47'
L. Messi · Assist: L. Suarez
Inter Miami
🔄
56'
N. Markovic ↔ M. Peltola
DC United
🔄
56'
J. Hopkins ↔ N. Ordaz
DC United
⚽
60'
L. Messi · Assist: R. de Paul
Inter Miami
🔄
61'
L. Suarez ↔ Riquelme Fillipi
Inter Miami
🔄
68'
H. Kijima ↔ S. Hefti
DC United
🔄
68'
A. Dozzell ↔ B. Servania
DC United
🔄
70'
Micael ↔ M. Falcon
Inter Miami
🔄
70'
D. Ayala ↔ T. Segovia
Inter Miami
🔄
78'
S. Reguilon ↔ I. Fray
Inter Miami
🔄
78'
R. de Paul ↔ A. Shaw
Inter Miami
🔄
80'
Peglow ↔ J. Stroud
DC United

Inter Miami vs DC United Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Inter Miami Win 60.7%
Draw 15.6%
DC United Win 23.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Inter Miami1.92
DC United1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Inter Miami Inter Miami
L D D D D
8 GF / 9 GA
DC United DC United
L D L D W
6 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
2.15
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.76
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
26
BTTS Yes
17
25
Over 2.5
16
5.9
Shots on Goal
4.58

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Inter Miami Inter Miami 33 matches
DC United DC United 30 matches
Inter Miami Statistic DC United
14 Wins 6
13 Draws 14
6 Losses 10
71 Goals For 35
58 Goals Against 47
2.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.76 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
26 BTTS Yes 17
30 Over 1.5 20
25 Over 2.5 16
18 Over 3.5 10
5 Clean Sheets 8
4 Failed To Score 11
5.9 Shots On Goal 4.58
14.79 Total Shots 13.15
5.1 Corners 5.04
57% Ball Possession 38.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Inter Miami's more proactive style and DC United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward DC United. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Inter Miami arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 46 points compared to DC United in 11 on 30, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Inter Miami expected to line up in 4-3-3 and DC United in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward DC United having the stronger overall control.

Inter Miami Analysis

Placed 3 with 46 points from 27 outings, Inter Miami continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 12 wins, 10 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 64:50 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through L. Messi (13 goals), L. Suárez (10 goals), G. Berterame (7 goals), with creative support from L. Messi (10 assists), R. De Paul (6 assists), T. Segovia (5 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

DC United Analysis

DC United sit 11 with 30 points after 26 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 12 draws, and 8 losses, while the 34:42 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Tai Baribo (9 goals), Louis Munteanu (5 goals), L. Bartlett (4 goals), with creative support from K. Kurokawa (6 assists), Peglow (2 assists), S. Hefti (2 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Inter Miami won 5 times, DC United won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:19 from Inter Miami's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.17 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.4%)
Predicted formations: Inter Miami 4-3-3 / DC United 4-4-2
Missing players: Inter Miami 5, DC United 2
H2H summary: Inter Miami wins 5, draws 3, DC United wins 4

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 23 8 3 71:25 46 77
W W D W D
2 34 16 12 6 80:59 21 60
D W D L W
3 34 18 4 12 55:47 8 58
L L W W W
4 34 16 7 11 64:54 10 55
L W D W L
5 34 15 9 10 66:51 15 54
D W W L D
6 34 14 8 12 66:52 14 50
W L D L D
7 34 14 5 15 59:52 7 47
W W W W W
8 34 13 7 14 63:78 -15 46
W L D D W
9 34 12 10 12 67:75 -8 46
L W D W W
10 34 12 6 16 48:62 -14 42
W L L W L
11 34 10 12 12 49:45 4 42
W D W D D
12 34 9 12 13 52:67 -15 39
L L W L W
13 34 9 6 19 43:60 -17 33
L W L L L
14 34 7 12 15 39:61 -22 33
L L L L L
15 34 6 8 20 37:69 -32 26
L D L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)