30.07.2026 00:30
Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes
Referee: Luis Lobo Medina
Instituto Cordoba
Match Timeline
Platense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
13'
L. Heredia
Platense
14'
G. Cerato · Assist: D. Sosa
Instituto Cordoba
🟨
19'
L. Mosevich
Instituto Cordoba
🟨
45+2'
G. Cerato
Instituto Cordoba
55'
M. Tissera
Instituto Cordoba
🔄
60'
L. Heredia ↔ G. Lencina
Platense
🔄
60'
I. Gomez ↔ F. Zapiola
Platense
🔄
60'
A. Lagos ↔ J. Saborido
Platense
🔄
70'
K. Retamar ↔ H. Bobadilla
Platense
🟨
77'
G. Lencina
Platense
🔄
78'
J. E. Cordoba Mosquera ↔ J. Lazaro
Instituto Cordoba
🔄
78'
M. Tissera ↔ N. Guerra
Instituto Cordoba
🔄
82'
G. Mainero ↔ J. Gauto
Platense
🔄
88'
A. Luna ↔ M. Fonseca
Instituto Cordoba
90'
H. Bobadilla · Assist: J. Gauto
Platense

Instituto Cordoba vs Platense Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 27.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.9%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
27.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Instituto Cordoba Win 58.9%
Draw 7.5%
Platense Win 33.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Instituto Cordoba1.05
Platense0.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba
WWDLW
21 GF / 19 GA
Platense Platense
WLDWL
21 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
0.84
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.96
8
BTTS Yes
10
6
Over 2.5
7
4.06
Shots on Goal
3.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 19 matches
Platense Platense 25 matches
Instituto Cordoba Statistic Platense
8 Wins 7
3 Draws 10
8 Losses 8
21 Goals For 21
19 Goals Against 24
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 0.84
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.96
8 BTTS Yes 10
14 Over 1.5 14
6 Over 2.5 7
1 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 9
6 Failed To Score 12
4.06 Shots On Goal 3.83
13.29 Total Shots 11.26
5 Corners 4.17
49.3% Ball Possession 50%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Instituto Cordoba expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Platense in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Platense having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Platense arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Platense.

Instituto Cordoba Analysis

Instituto Cordoba are currently 9 in the standings with 21 points from 16 matches. The record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 17:17 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Luna (5 goals), Giuliano Cerato (2 goals), D. Sosa (1 goals), with creative support from D. Sosa (2 assists), J. Lazaro (2 assists), Giuliano Cerato (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Platense Analysis

With 16 points from 16 games and a place of 12, Platense still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 7 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 10:15 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Lotti (2 goals), F. Zapiola (2 goals), T. Nasif (2 goals), with creative support from K. Retamar (2 assists), T. Nasif (1 assists), J. Gauto (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Instituto Cordoba won 2 times, Platense won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:8 from Instituto Cordoba's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.14 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.5%)
Predicted formations: Instituto Cordoba 3-4-2-1 / Platense 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Instituto Cordoba wins 2, draws 1, Platense wins 4

Standings

Apertura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 4 3 19:7 12 31
W L D L W
2 16 8 6 2 22:9 13 30
W D W D D
3 16 7 7 2 18:12 6 28
D W D D D
4 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
W L D D L
5 16 6 6 4 24:20 4 24
D W L D W
6 16 6 6 4 18:15 3 24
W W L D L
7 16 5 7 4 14:14 0 22
D W L D W
8 16 5 6 5 24:20 4 21
L W W W L
9 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
L W D W W
10 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
W L W W D
11 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
L D W W W
12 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
L D L W D
13 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
L L D L L
14 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
D D D W W
15 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
L D D D L
Knockout Phase