31.01.2026 22:45
Libertadores de America
Referee: Hernan Mastrangelo, Argentina
Independiente
Match Timeline
Velez Sarsfield
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
28'
Claudio Baeza
Velez Sarsfield
⚽
31'
J. Gordon · Assist: D. Godoy
Velez Sarsfield
⚽
32'
J. Gordon
Independiente
🔄
46'
M. Valenzuela ↔ F. Zabala
Independiente
🔄
46'
L. Cabral ↔ L. Millan
Independiente
🟨
59'
Kevin Lomónaco
Independiente
🔄
63'
M. Lanzini ↔ L. Robertone
Velez Sarsfield
🔄
63'
D. Godoy ↔ F. Monzon
Velez Sarsfield
🔄
75'
C. Baeza ↔ R. Aliendro
Velez Sarsfield
🔄
75'
M. Pellegrini ↔ A. Veron
Velez Sarsfield
🔄
83'
M. Abaldo ↔ I. Pussetto
Independiente

Independiente vs Velez Sarsfield Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Independiente Win 0%
Draw 0%
Velez Sarsfield Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Independiente0.8
Velez Sarsfield1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Independiente Independiente
WWDLW
2 GF / 2 GA
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
WLDWL
3 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
2
BTTS Yes
1
0
Over 2.5
1
2.5
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Independiente Independiente 2 matches
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 2 matches
Independiente Statistic Velez Sarsfield
0 Wins 2
2 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
2 Goals For 3
2 Goals Against 1
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
2 BTTS Yes 1
2 Over 1.5 1
0 Over 2.5 1
0 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 0
2.5 Shots On Goal 3.5
9.5 Total Shots 8.5
6.5 Corners 4
45% Ball Possession 53.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Independiente won 5 times, Velez Sarsfield won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:12 from Independiente's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Independiente 4-3-3 / Velez Sarsfield 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Independiente wins 5, draws 6, Velez Sarsfield wins 4

Standings

Apertura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 4 3 19:7 12 31
L W L D L
2 16 8 6 2 22:9 13 30
W W W D W
3 16 7 7 2 18:12 6 28
W D W D D
4 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
L L W L D
5 16 6 6 4 24:20 4 24
L W D W L
6 16 6 6 4 18:15 3 24
D W W W L
7 16 5 7 4 14:14 0 22
L L D W L
8 16 5 6 5 24:20 4 21
L L L W W
9 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
W W W L W
10 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
W D W L W
11 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
D L D W W
12 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
L L D L W
13 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
D L L D L
14 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
D W D D D
15 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
D L D D D
Knockout Phase