ARGENTINA LIGA PROFESIONAL ARGENTINA
--.--.---- --:--
Libertadores de America
Referee: N. Ramirez
Independiente
Match Timeline
Platense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
15'
G. Avalos
Independiente
🟨
44'
S. Montiel
Independiente
🔄
46'
M. Perez Curci ↔ L. Millan
Independiente
🟨
49'
I. Vazquez
Platense
🔄
64'
F. Zapiola ↔ G. Togni
Platense
🔄
64'
L. Heredia ↔ K. Retamar
Platense
65'
G. Mainero
Platense
🔄
68'
M. Abaldo ↔ M. Meza
Independiente
🔄
77'
L. Gimenez ↔ H. Bobadilla
Platense
🟨
84'
K. Lomonaco
Independiente
🔄
86'
I. Marcone ↔ L. Cabral
Independiente
🔄
86'
G. Mainero ↔ N. Lopez
Platense
🟨
90+5'
N. Lopez
Platense

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.8%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
2 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.8%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
88.3%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Independiente Win 63.8%
Draw 7.2%
Platense Win 29%
Expected Goals (xG)
Independiente1.37
Platense0.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Independiente Independiente
WWDLW
34 GF / 26 GA
Platense Platense
WLDWL
22 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.55
Average Goals Scored
0.81
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
13
BTTS Yes
11
8
Over 2.5
9
3.95
Shots on Goal
3.96

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Independiente Independiente 22 matches
Platense Platense 27 matches
Independiente Statistic Platense
10 Wins 7
6 Draws 10
6 Losses 10
34 Goals For 22
26 Goals Against 30
1.55 Avg Goals Scored 0.81
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
13 BTTS Yes 11
18 Over 1.5 16
8 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 3
7 Clean Sheets 9
2 Failed To Score 13
3.95 Shots On Goal 3.96
12.55 Total Shots 11.8
5.5 Corners 4.08
51.6% Ball Possession 50%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Independiente's more proactive style and Platense's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Platense arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Independiente expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Platense in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Platense having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Platense.

Independiente Analysis

Independiente come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 24 points after 16 matches. With 6 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 24:20, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Gabriel Ávalos (4 goals), Maximiliano Gutiérrez (2 goals), Matías Abaldo (2 goals), with creative support from Gabriel Ávalos (2 assists), Maximiliano Gutiérrez (2 assists), Matías Abaldo (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Platense Analysis

Platense approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 16 points from 16 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 6 defeats with a 10:15 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Bautista Merlini (2 goals), Nicolás Retamar (1 goals), Tomas Nasif (1 goals), with creative support from Nicolás Retamar (1 assists), Tomas Nasif (1 assists), Juan Gauto (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Independiente won 2 times, Platense won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:8 from Independiente's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.8%)
Predicted formations: Independiente 4-2-3-1 / Platense 4-3-3
H2H summary: Independiente wins 2, draws 3, Platense wins 3
Stats
Independiente Independiente
Platense Platense
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
10
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
1
13 Corner Kicks 1
12 Fouls 17
2 Offsides 0
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Goal 2
10 Shots off Goal 6
4 Blocked Shots 1
13 Shots insidebox 3
6 Shots outsidebox 5
1 Goalkeeper Saves 5
506 Total passes 272
400 Passes accurate 171
0.95 expected_goals 0.71
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Independiente
Formation
Platense
R. Rey
R. Rey
S. Arias
S. Arias
J. Fedorco
J. Fedorco
K. Lomonaco
K. Lomonaco
F. Zabala
F. Zabala
M. Perez Curci
M. Perez Curci
I. Marcone
I. Marcone
M. Gutierrez
M. Gutierrez
S. Montiel
S. Montiel
M. Abaldo
M. Abaldo
G. Avalos
G. Avalos
J. Cozzani
J. Cozzani
J. Saborido
J. Saborido
I. Vazquez
I. Vazquez
Victor Cuesta
Victor Cuesta
T. Silva
T. Silva
P. Ferreira
P. Ferreira
M. Barrios
M. Barrios
G. Mainero
G. Mainero
L. Heredia
L. Heredia
F. Zapiola
F. Zapiola
L. Gimenez
L. Gimenez
Independiente 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
33
R. Rey
G
4
S. Arias
D
13
J. Fedorco
D
26
K. Lomonaco
🟨 84'
D
22
F. Zabala
D
16
M. Perez Curci
↓ 46'
M
23
I. Marcone
↓ 86'
M
28
M. Gutierrez
M
7
S. Montiel
🟨 44'
M
19
M. Abaldo
↓ 68'
M
9
G. Avalos
F
Substitutes
77
S. Mele
G
8
M. Meza
↑ 68'
F
15
I. Machuca
F
3
J. De Irastorza
D
18
F. Valdez
F
10
L. Cabral
↑ 86'
M
32
D. Martinez
M
14
L. Millan
↑ 46'
M
21
F. Closter
D
34
F. Tempone
F
38
L. Barros
D
35
J. Arrayago
D
Platense 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
30
J. Cozzani
G
25
J. Saborido
D
13
I. Vazquez
🟨 49'
D
31
Victor Cuesta
D
3
T. Silva
D
26
P. Ferreira
M
24
M. Barrios
M
7
G. Mainero
⚽ 65' ↓ 86'
M
23
L. Heredia
↓ 64'
M
10
F. Zapiola
↓ 64'
M
20
L. Gimenez
↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
22
N. Sumavil
G
18
B. Merlini
F
16
G. Togni
↑ 64'
F
43
K. Retamar
↑ 64'
F
4
A. Lagos
D
33
J. Gauto
F
11
N. Lopez
↑ 86' 🟨 90+5'
F
19
H. Bobadilla
↑ 77'
F
32
S. Quiros
D
27
S. Dalmasso
M
34
M. Mendia
D
17
F. Bussio
M
Last matches: Independiente
17.08.26
Lig
Independiente
Lanus
3
1
W
12.08.26
Cop
Independiente
Atletico Tucuman
0
4
L
03.08.26
Lig
Independiente
Velez Sarsfield
0
1
L
31.07.26
Lig
Independiente
Newells Old Boys
1
0
W
26.07.26
Lig
Independiente
Estudiantes L.P.
2
0
W
22.05.26
Cop
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
2
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Independiente
Rosario Central
1
3
L
02.05.26
Lig
Independiente
San Lorenzo
2
1
W
24.04.26
Lig
Independiente
Deportivo Riestra
0
2
L
18.04.26
Lig
Independiente
Defensa Y Justicia
3
1
W
11.04.26
Lig
Independiente
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
04.04.26
Lig
Independiente
Racing Club
1
0
W
27.03.26
Cop
Independiente
Atenas
4
2
W
21.03.26
Lig
Independiente
Talleres Cordoba
1
2
L
17.03.26
Lig
Independiente
Instituto Cordoba
1
2
L
10.03.26
Lig
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
4
4
D
28.02.26
Lig
Independiente
Central Cordoba de Santiago
2
0
W
25.02.26
Lig
Independiente
Gimnasia M.
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Independiente
Independ. Rivadavia
2
3
L
13.02.26
Lig
Independiente
Lanus
2
0
W
Last matches: Platense
16.08.26
Lig
Platense
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
12.08.26
CON
Platense
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
03.08.26
Lig
Platense
Talleres Cordoba
0
4
L
30.07.26
Lig
Platense
Instituto Cordoba
1
2
L
25.07.26
Lig
Platense
Union Santa Fe
2
2
D
28.05.26
CON
Platense
Corinthians
2
0
W
20.05.26
CON
Platense
Santa Fe
1
2
L
13.05.26
Cop
Platense
San Martin S.J.
0
0
D
07.05.26
CON
Platense
Penarol
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
Platense
Estudiantes L.P.
0
2
L
29.04.26
CON
Platense
Santa Fe
2
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
Platense
San Lorenzo
0
1
L
20.04.26
Lig
Platense
Central Cordoba de Santiago
3
4
L
17.04.26
CON
Platense
Penarol
2
1
W
12.04.26
Lig
Platense
Gimnasia M.
1
1
D
10.04.26
CON
Platense
Corinthians
0
2
L
01.04.26
Lig
Platense
Lanus
0
0
D
23.03.26
Lig
Platense
Argentinos JRS
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lig
Platense
Velez Sarsfield
0
2
L
11.03.26
Lig
Platense
Newells Old Boys
1
1
D
H2H: Independiente vs Platense
09.08.26
H2H
Independiente
Platense
0
1
L
08.02.26
H2H
Platense
Independiente
0
1
W
24.10.25
H2H
Independiente
Platense
3
0
W
17.02.25
H2H
Platense
Independiente
1
1
D
19.05.24
H2H
Platense
Independiente
0
0
D
05.02.23
H2H
Independiente
Platense
1
2
L
05.07.22
H2H
Independiente
Platense
1
3
L
31.07.21
H2H
Platense
Independiente
1
1
D
Last matches: Independiente
31.07.26
Lig
Independiente
Newells Old Boys
1
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Independiente
Defensa Y Justicia
3
1
W
04.04.26
Lig
Independiente
Racing Club
1
0
W
27.03.26
Cop
Independiente
Atenas
4
2
W
21.03.26
Lig
Independiente
Talleres Cordoba
1
2
L
10.03.26
Lig
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
4
4
D
28.02.26
Lig
Independiente
Central Cordoba de Santiago
2
0
W
13.02.26
Lig
Independiente
Lanus
2
0
W
31.01.26
Lig
Independiente
Velez Sarsfield
1
1
D
23.01.26
Lig
Independiente
Estudiantes L.P.
1
1
D
H2H at home: Independiente
09.08.26
H2H
Independiente
Platense
0
1
L
24.10.25
H2H
Independiente
Platense
3
0
W
05.02.23
H2H
Independiente
Platense
1
2
L
05.07.22
H2H
Independiente
Platense
1
3
L
Last matches: Platense
30.07.26
Lig
Platense
Instituto Cordoba
1
2
L
28.05.26
CON
Platense
Corinthians
2
0
W
20.05.26
CON
Platense
Santa Fe
1
2
L
20.04.26
Lig
Platense
Central Cordoba de Santiago
3
4
L
17.04.26
CON
Platense
Penarol
2
1
W
01.04.26
Lig
Platense
Lanus
0
0
D
23.03.26
Lig
Platense
Argentinos JRS
0
1
L
11.03.26
Lig
Platense
Newells Old Boys
1
1
D
02.03.26
Lig
Platense
Deportivo Riestra
0
0
D
15.02.26
Lig
Platense
Boca Juniors
0
0
D
01.02.26
Lig
Platense
Talleres Cordoba
2
1
W
22.01.26
Lig
Platense
Union Santa Fe
0
0
D
28.04.18
Pri
Platense
Colegiales
0
0
D
18.04.18
Pri
Platense
San Telmo
1
0
W
08.04.18
Pri
Platense
Comunicaciones
3
3
D
25.03.18
Pri
Platense
Villa San Carlos
1
0
W
14.03.18
Pri
Platense
UAI Urquiza
0
0
D
04.03.18
Pri
Platense
Fénix
0
0
D
17.02.18
Pri
Platense
Acassuso
0
3
L
07.02.18
Pri
Platense
Sacachispas
2
1
W
H2H away: Platense
09.08.26
H2H
Independiente
Platense
0
1
W
24.10.25
H2H
Independiente
Platense
3
0
L
05.02.23
H2H
Independiente
Platense
1
2
W
05.07.22
H2H
Independiente
Platense
1
3
W

Standings

Apertura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 4 3 19:7 12 31
W L L W L
2 16 8 6 2 22:9 13 30
D D W D L
3 16 7 7 2 18:12 6 28
D D W W W
4 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
L L W L L
5 16 6 6 4 24:20 4 24
W L L W W
6 16 6 6 4 18:15 3 24
L W L L W
7 16 5 7 4 14:14 0 22
W L L W L
8 16 5 6 5 24:20 4 21
L L W L D
9 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
W W W W L
10 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
D W L W D
11 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
W L W L W
12 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
D W L L D
13 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
L W W L L
14 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
W L D L W
15 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
L W L L W
Knockout Phase