BOLIVIA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: B. Vera
Independiente Petrolero
Match Timeline
Guabirá
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
20'
Pedro
Guabirá
39'
G. Alvarez
Independiente Petrolero
🔄
46'
S. Torres ↔ R. Cardozo
Independiente Petrolero
🔄
46'
G. Alvarez ↔ Jeferson Carioca
Independiente Petrolero
🔄
46'
J. Villavicencio ↔ R. Zamora
Independiente Petrolero
56'
G. Cristaldo
Independiente Petrolero
🔄
58'
Pedro ↔ S. Gil
Guabirá
🔄
58'
Pablo Melgar ↔ Y. Baigorria
Guabirá
🔄
62'
D. Navarro ↔ W. Soleto
Independiente Petrolero
🟨
65'
G. Peredo
Guabirá
🔄
69'
G. Peredo ↔ S. Garzon
Guabirá
69'
J. Flores
Independiente Petrolero
🟨
73'
C. Anez
Guabirá
🔄
76'
J. Flores ↔ M. Tellez
Guabirá
🔄
76'
P. Lujan ↔ N. Masskooni
Guabirá
🔄
86'
Willie ↔ R. E. Rocabado Concha
Independiente Petrolero
VAR
89'
D. Rojas
Independiente Petrolero

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 62.5%
Odds 1.91
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.58
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
62.5%
1.91
BTTS Yes
63.2%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.58
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
3.49
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
8.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
13.00
Probability Distribution
Independiente Petrolero Win 37.6%
Draw 19.8%
Guabirá Win 42.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Independiente Petrolero1.49
Guabirá1.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero
WWDLW
22 GF / 29 GA
Guabirá Guabirá
WLDWL
31 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
1.72
1.61
Average Goals Conceded
1.89
11
BTTS Yes
12
14
Over 2.5
15
2.19
Shots on Goal
2.56

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 18 matches
Guabirá Guabirá 18 matches
Independiente Petrolero Statistic Guabirá
6 Wins 8
4 Draws 4
8 Losses 6
22 Goals For 31
29 Goals Against 34
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 1.72
1.61 Avg Goals Conceded 1.89
11 BTTS Yes 12
15 Over 1.5 17
14 Over 2.5 15
5 Over 3.5 8
3 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 3
2.19 Shots On Goal 2.56
6 Total Shots 6.5
2 Corners 1.88
23.1% Ball Possession 18.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Independiente Petrolero's more proactive style and Guabirá's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Guabirá. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Guabirá look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Guabirá having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Independiente Petrolero Analysis

So far, Independiente Petrolero have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 22 points from 15 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 22:21 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Guabirá Analysis

Guabirá come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 24 points after 15 matches. The return of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 26:27, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Independiente Petrolero won 5 times, Guabirá won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:18 from Independiente Petrolero's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.2%)
Predicted formations: Independiente Petrolero 4-2-3-1 / Guabirá 4-3-3
H2H summary: Independiente Petrolero wins 5, draws 5, Guabirá wins 4

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 11 3 3 44:19 25 36
W W W W W
2 17 10 6 1 35:12 23 36
D D D W D
3 17 9 6 2 29:20 9 33
W W L L W
4 17 8 3 6 32:23 9 27
D W W W L
5 17 6 7 4 22:12 10 25
L D D W W
6 17 7 4 6 25:25 0 25
W L W W D
7 17 7 4 6 28:31 -3 25
L D W W W
8 17 5 9 3 25:24 1 24
D D L L D
9 17 5 8 4 22:18 4 23
D D W L D
10 17 6 3 8 25:23 2 21
L W W L L
11 17 5 3 9 30:43 -13 18
D L L W L
12 17 5 2 10 27:37 -10 17
L D L L W
13 17 5 2 10 18:35 -17 17
L L L W D
14 17 4 4 9 13:32 -19 16
W D W L L
15 17 2 8 7 19:27 -8 14
D D L L D
16 17 4 2 11 22:35 -13 14
W L L L L