BRAZIL SERIE D
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 76.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 75.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 87.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
76.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
75.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
87.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Independiente FSJ Win 45%
Draw 31.9%
Brasil DE Pelotas Win 23.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Independiente FSJ0.77
Brasil DE Pelotas0.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
Independiente FSJ Independiente FSJ
WWDLW
3 GF / 3 GA
Brasil DE Pelotas Brasil DE Pelotas
WLDWL
7 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
0.43
Average Goals Scored
1
0.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
0
BTTS Yes
3
0
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Independiente FSJ Independiente FSJ 7 matches
Brasil DE Pelotas Brasil DE Pelotas 7 matches
Independiente FSJ Statistic Brasil DE Pelotas
3 Wins 2
2 Draws 2
2 Losses 3
3 Goals For 7
3 Goals Against 9
0.43 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
0 BTTS Yes 3
1 Over 1.5 4
0 Over 2.5 3
0 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Brasil DE Pelotas. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Brasil DE Pelotas having the stronger overall control.

Independiente FSJ Analysis

Independiente FSJ approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 11 points after 7 outings. They have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a 3:3 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.

Brasil DE Pelotas Analysis

Placed 4 with 8 points from 7 outings, Brasil DE Pelotas continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 7:9 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Gabriel Morbeck (2 goals), Iury Tanque (2 goals), Alan Bald (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Independiente FSJ won 1 times, Brasil DE Pelotas won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:4 from Independiente FSJ's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (76.8%)
H2H summary: Independiente FSJ wins 1, draws 2, Brasil DE Pelotas wins 1
Last matches: Independiente FSJ
28.06.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Cianorte
1
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Cianorte
0
1
L
07.06.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Marcílio Dias
0
0
D
31.05.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Sao Jose
0
1
L
19.05.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Azuriz
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Blumenau
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Blumenau
1
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Azuriz
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Sao Jose
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Marcílio Dias
0
0
D
Last matches: Brasil DE Pelotas
07.06.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Azuriz
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Blumenau
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Sao Jose
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Marcílio Dias
1
4
L
02.05.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Marcílio Dias
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Sao Jose
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Independiente FSJ
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Blumenau
2
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Azuriz
2
1
W
27.07.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Barra
1
0
W
20.07.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Azuriz
4
0
W
13.07.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Sao Jose
0
1
L
06.07.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
São Luiz
0
1
L
29.06.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Guarany de Bagé
0
1
L
14.06.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Marcílio Dias
2
1
W
08.06.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Joinville
1
0
W
01.06.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Joinville
0
1
L
25.05.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Marcílio Dias
1
2
L
18.05.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Guarany de Bagé
0
0
D
10.05.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
São Luiz
0
1
L
H2H: Independiente FSJ vs Brasil DE Pelotas
24.05.26
H2H
Independiente FSJ
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
0
D
19.04.26
H2H
Brasil DE Pelotas
Independiente FSJ
2
0
L
15.07.23
H2H
Independiente FSJ
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
0
W
14.05.23
H2H
Brasil DE Pelotas
Independiente FSJ
2
2
D
Last matches: Independiente FSJ
20.06.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Cianorte
0
1
L
07.06.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Marcílio Dias
0
0
D
19.05.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Azuriz
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Blumenau
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Sao Jose
1
0
W
H2H at home: Independiente FSJ
24.05.26
H2H
Independiente FSJ
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
0
D
15.07.23
H2H
Independiente FSJ
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
0
W
Last matches: Brasil DE Pelotas
07.06.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Azuriz
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Marcílio Dias
1
4
L
25.04.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Sao Jose
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Blumenau
2
3
L
27.07.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Barra
1
0
W
13.07.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Sao Jose
0
1
L
29.06.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Guarany de Bagé
0
1
L
14.06.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Marcílio Dias
2
1
W
01.06.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Joinville
0
1
L
10.05.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
São Luiz
0
1
L
26.04.25
Ser
Brasil DE Pelotas
Azuriz
0
1
L
H2H away: Brasil DE Pelotas
24.05.26
H2H
Independiente FSJ
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
0
D
15.07.23
H2H
Independiente FSJ
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
0
L

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)